HYLN and DFH among Consumer Discretionary movers
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 23 2024
0mins
Should l Buy DHI?
Source: SeekingAlpha
- 涨幅最大股票：Nuvve Holding Corp (NVVE)上涨39%，Yunhong Green CTI Ltd (YHGJ)上涨12%，Hyliion Holdings Corporation (HYLN)上涨10%，Dada Nexus Ltd (DADA)上涨10%，Baozun (BZUN)上涨9%。
- 跌幅最大股票：ONE Group Hospitality (STKS)下跌11%，D.R. Horton (DHI)下跌9%，Pinstripes Holdings (PNST)下跌9%，Fitell Corp (FTEL)下跌8%，Dream Finders Homes (DFH)下跌7%。
- S&P 500消费者自由裁量权行业：下跌0.11%至1388.44，其中汽车和零部件上涨0.95%至117.94，耐用品和服装下跌1.93%至413.76，消费服务上涨0.15%至1634.02，零售（占指数的52%）下跌0.22%至3950.98。
- 更多关于消费者自由裁量权选择部门SPDR ETF XLY：包括12月的消费者自由裁量权仪表板、华尔街早餐中的催化剂观察、Seeking Alpha Quant在第四季度财报前对消费者自由裁量权部门的首选以及雷蒙德詹姆斯表示2024年上半年将看到向防御性行业的轮换，下半年将看到向周期性行业的轮换等内容。
- Seeking Alpha对消费者自由裁量权选择部门SPDR ETF的Quant评级。
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Analyst Views on DHI
Wall Street analysts forecast DHI stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 147.630
Low
117.00
Averages
160.58
High
195.00
Current: 147.630
Low
117.00
Averages
160.58
High
195.00
About DHI
D.R. Horton, Inc. is a homebuilding company. The Company is primarily engaged in the acquisition and development of land and the construction and sale of residential homes, with operations in over 126 markets across 36 states. The Company’s segments include Homebuilding, Rental, Forestar, Financial Services, and Other. The Homebuilding division is primarily engaged in the acquisition and development of land and the construction and sale of residential homes. The Company’s rental segment consists of single-family and multifamily rental operations. The single-family rental operations construct and lease single-family homes within a community and then generally market each community for a bulk sale of rental homes. The Forestar segment is a residential lot development company with operations in 64 markets across 23 states. The Financial services segment provides mortgage financing and title agency services to homebuyers in many of the Company’s homebuilding markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
US Housing Market Faces Continued Stagnation Amid High Mortgage Rates
- Stagnant Home Sales: Since the pandemic, existing home sales in the US have averaged around 4 million annually, significantly lower than the pre-pandemic level of 5.5 million, with insufficient inventory pushing prices up and indicating weak market demand.
- Rising Mortgage Rates: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has reached 6.45%, the highest since April, and with inflation pressures, further increases are likely, which could suppress home-buying interest and exacerbate market stagnation.
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- Oil Price Rebound Impact: WTI crude oil prices rebounded by over 2% after Iran announced it would not attend peace talks, raising fears of a deepening global energy crisis, which could further hinder economic recovery.
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- Sales Order Growth: Net sales orders increased by 11% year-over-year to 24,992 homes, with total order value rising 10% to $9.2 billion, aligning with the company's business plan and indicating a gradual recovery in market demand.
- Future Outlook Adjustment: The company expects Q3 revenues to range between $8.8 billion and $9.3 billion, with full-year revenue guidance adjusted to approximately $33.5 billion to $34.5 billion, reflecting cautious optimism regarding market conditions.
- Shareholder Return Plan: In Q2, D.R. Horton repurchased 6 million shares for $904 million, reducing outstanding shares by 8%, while also planning approximately $2.5 billion in stock buybacks and $500 million in dividend payments, underscoring the company's commitment to shareholder returns.
See More
Market Declines Amid Rising Oil Prices
- Oil Price Impact: The U.S. oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude rose about 4% to $93 per barrel ahead of the Iran war ceasefire agreement, causing the stock market to turn lower after Tuesday's Morning Meeting, indicating market sensitivity to oil price fluctuations.
- CrowdStrike Upgrade: KeyBanc upgraded CrowdStrike from hold to buy with a price target of $525, citing AI-driven cybersecurity demand as a catalyst, although Jim Cramer noted that the market's reaction to this upgrade was tepid, reflecting skepticism about AI's impact on the company.
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US Housing Market Faces Continued Stagnation Amid High Mortgage Rates
- Stagnant Home Sales: Since the pandemic, existing home sales in the US have averaged around 4 million annually, significantly lower than the pre-pandemic level of 5.5 million, with insufficient inventory pushing prices up and indicating weak market demand.
- Rising Mortgage Rates: The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has reached 6.45%, the highest since April, and with inflation pressures, further increases are likely, which could suppress home-buying interest and exacerbate market stagnation.
- Declining Builder Stocks: Homebuilder stocks, which initially benefited from market opportunities, have slumped since late 2024, with significant revenue declines reported by D.R. Horton and NVR, highlighting the ongoing weakness in the housing market.
- Uncertain Market Outlook: Despite a housing shortage, the recovery in home sales and construction activity remains distant due to high rates and a weak labor market, suggesting that significant growth is unlikely in the near term.
See More
D.R. HORTON INC.: BARCLAYS INCREASES TARGET PRICE FROM $128 TO $140
- Barclays Raises Price Target: Barclays has increased its price target for a specific stock from $128 to $140.
- Market Implications: This adjustment reflects Barclays' positive outlook on the stock's performance and potential growth in the market.
See More
US Stocks Rise on Strong Retail Sales and Earnings Reports
- Strong Retail Sales: US March retail sales rose 1.7% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 1.4% and marking the largest increase in a year, indicating robust consumer spending that could bolster economic recovery and market confidence.
- Earnings Support: UnitedHealth Group (UNH) reported Q1 adjusted EPS of $9.23, significantly above the consensus of $6.57, raising its full-year forecast to above $18.25, which has driven health insurance stocks higher and reflects industry resilience.
- Fed Nomination in Focus: Kevin Warsh's confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee is drawing attention; despite facing an investigation hurdle, Warsh's commitment to an independent Fed and prioritizing inflation control could influence future monetary policy directions.
- International Tensions Impact Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices fell over 1% as Iran is set to attend peace talks with the US, while the closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens to exacerbate the global energy crisis, affecting market sentiment.
See More
US Stocks Close Lower as Oil Prices Rebound Impact Market
- Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.63%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.59%, and the Nasdaq 100 index decreased by 0.42%, reflecting investor concerns over the uncertainty surrounding Iran's geopolitical situation, which dampened market sentiment.
- Oil Price Rebound Impact: WTI crude oil prices rebounded by over 2% after Iran announced it would not attend peace talks, raising fears of a deepening global energy crisis, which could further hinder economic recovery.
- Supportive Economic Data: March retail sales rose by 1.7% month-over-month, surpassing expectations of 1.4%, indicating robust consumer spending that may provide some support for the stock market, despite overall market pressures.
- Fed Nominee Supports Independence: Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh emphasized the importance of monetary policy independence and controlling inflation in his Senate Banking Committee statement, which could positively influence market confidence.
See More
D.R. Horton Reports Strong Q2 Earnings Amid Market Challenges
- Revenue and Profit Performance: D.R. Horton reported a consolidated pretax income of $867 million and revenues of $7.6 billion for Q2 FY2026, achieving a pretax profit margin of 11.5%, demonstrating resilience amid market pressures.
- Sales Order Growth: Net sales orders increased by 11% year-over-year to 24,992 homes, with total order value rising 10% to $9.2 billion, aligning with the company's business plan and indicating a gradual recovery in market demand.
- Future Outlook Adjustment: The company expects Q3 revenues to range between $8.8 billion and $9.3 billion, with full-year revenue guidance adjusted to approximately $33.5 billion to $34.5 billion, reflecting cautious optimism regarding market conditions.
- Shareholder Return Plan: In Q2, D.R. Horton repurchased 6 million shares for $904 million, reducing outstanding shares by 8%, while also planning approximately $2.5 billion in stock buybacks and $500 million in dividend payments, underscoring the company's commitment to shareholder returns.
See More
Market Declines Amid Rising Oil Prices
- Oil Price Impact: The U.S. oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude rose about 4% to $93 per barrel ahead of the Iran war ceasefire agreement, causing the stock market to turn lower after Tuesday's Morning Meeting, indicating market sensitivity to oil price fluctuations.
- CrowdStrike Upgrade: KeyBanc upgraded CrowdStrike from hold to buy with a price target of $525, citing AI-driven cybersecurity demand as a catalyst, although Jim Cramer noted that the market's reaction to this upgrade was tepid, reflecting skepticism about AI's impact on the company.
- Cautious Outlook for Capital One: Capital One is set to report earnings Tuesday night, and Jim Cramer expressed concerns about the stock's recent rally ahead of earnings, emphasizing the need for a more aggressive stock buyback strategy and rationalization of its acquisitions.
- Market Snapshot: Stocks mentioned in Tuesday's rapid-fire segment included GE Aerospace, RTX, UnitedHealth Group, 3M, and D.R. Horton, highlighting investor interest across diverse sectors and reflecting a broad market engagement.
See More
