Hanover Insurance Group Reports Record Q4 2025 Earnings and Strong Outlook
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy THG?
Source: seekingalpha
- Outstanding Financial Performance: Hanover Insurance Group achieved record quarterly operating earnings per share and an operating return on equity of 20% in Q4 2025, demonstrating exceptional financial management and further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Premium Growth: Personal Lines net written premiums grew by 4.4% in the quarter, while Small Commercial net written premiums increased nearly 5%, attributed to pricing strategies and targeted deconcentration actions in the Midwest, indicating the company's agile response to market competition.
- Significant Investment Income: The company reported a 24.9% increase in net investment income for the fourth quarter, totaling $454.4 million for the year, reflecting successful asset investment strategies that enhance its capital base and future growth potential.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects overall consolidated net written premium growth to accelerate to mid-single-digit growth in 2026, alongside a combined ratio target of 88%-89%, showcasing confidence in sustained profitability and market expansion.
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Analyst Views on THG
Wall Street analysts forecast THG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for THG is 200.80 USD with a low forecast of 194.00 USD and a high forecast of 210.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 174.050
Low
194.00
Averages
200.80
High
210.00
Current: 174.050
Low
194.00
Averages
200.80
High
210.00
About THG
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is the holding company, which is engaged in the business of property and casualty insurance products and services. The Company operates through three segments: Core Commercial, Specialty, Personal Lines and Other. Core Commercial product suite provides agents and customers with products designed for small and mid-sized businesses. Core Commercial segment coverage includes commercial multiple peril, workers’ compensation, and other commercial lines. Specialty segment offers a comprehensive suite of products focused predominately on small to mid-sized businesses. This includes various specialized products that are organized into four distinct divisions: Professional and Executive Lines, Specialty Property & Casualty, Marine, and Surety and Other. Personal Lines segment coverage includes Personal automobile, and Homeowners and other personal lines. The Other segment primarily includes Opus, which provides investment advisory services to affiliates.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Outstanding Financial Performance: Hanover Insurance Group achieved record quarterly operating earnings per share and an operating return on equity of 20% in Q4 2025, demonstrating exceptional financial management and further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Premium Growth: Personal Lines net written premiums grew by 4.4% in the quarter, while Small Commercial net written premiums increased nearly 5%, attributed to pricing strategies and targeted deconcentration actions in the Midwest, indicating the company's agile response to market competition.
- Significant Investment Income: The company reported a 24.9% increase in net investment income for the fourth quarter, totaling $454.4 million for the year, reflecting successful asset investment strategies that enhance its capital base and future growth potential.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects overall consolidated net written premium growth to accelerate to mid-single-digit growth in 2026, alongside a combined ratio target of 88%-89%, showcasing confidence in sustained profitability and market expansion.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: Hanover Insurance reported a Q4 2025 Non-GAAP EPS of $5.79, beating expectations by $0.76, indicating robust profitability that is likely to enhance investor confidence moving forward.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $1.67 billion in Q4, a 5.7% year-over-year increase that exceeded market expectations by $140 million, demonstrating sustained competitiveness in the insurance market and promising future growth potential.
- Increased Investment Income: Net investment income rose to $125.8 million, up 24.9% from the prior year, reflecting a healthy investment portfolio that could support future shareholder returns and enhance financial stability.
- Dividend Increase: On December 1, 2025, the Board approved a 5.6% increase in the ordinary quarterly cash dividend, signaling confidence in future cash flows while providing higher returns to shareholders, which may attract further investor interest.
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- Net Income Surge: Hanover Insurance reported a net income of $198.5 million in Q4 2025, translating to $5.47 per diluted share, which marks an 18.2% increase from $167.9 million and $4.59 per share in the prior year, showcasing the company's robust performance and enhanced profitability in the market.
- Record Operating Income: The full-year operating income reached $696.2 million, or $19.09 per share, up 43.3% from $485.9 million and $13.34 per share in 2024, reflecting the company's effective execution across various business segments and significant improvement in profitability.
- Steady Premium Growth: The total net written premiums for 2025 amounted to $6.32 billion, representing a 3.9% year-over-year increase, with Personal Lines and Specialty growing by 3.7% and 4.9% respectively, indicating the company's competitive position and strong customer retention capabilities in the market.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its quarterly dividend by 5.6% to $0.95 per share in Q4 and repurchased approximately $130 million worth of shares in 2025, reflecting a balanced approach to capital management and a strong commitment to shareholder value.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: Hanover Insurance is set to announce its Q4 2025 earnings on February 3rd after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $5.03, reflecting a 5.5% year-over-year decline, and revenue estimate at $1.53 billion, down 3.2% year-over-year.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Hanover has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a relatively stable financial performance and market confidence in the company.
- Recent Estimate Adjustments: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have had no upward revisions and one downward revision, suggesting a cautious market outlook on the company's future profitability.
- External Factors Impact: Although Hanover's Q4 2025 earnings expectations appear solid, severe winter weather may negatively impact financial results, underscoring the ongoing importance of property/casualty insurance demand.
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- Executive Participation: Hanover Insurance Group's CEO John C. Roche and CFO Jeffrey M. Farber are scheduled to participate in the Bank of America Securities Financial Services Conference on February 10, 2026, showcasing the company's leadership in the insurance sector.
- Investor Engagement: The executives will host several one-on-one and group meetings with investors during the conference, aiming to strengthen relationships and boost market confidence.
- Live Broadcast: The fireside chat will be broadcast live on Hanover's website, ensuring broader investor access and enhancing the company's transparency.
- Forward-Looking Statements: The discussion may include forward-looking statements, with Hanover emphasizing that actual results could differ materially from expectations, highlighting the company's commitment to compliance and transparency.
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- Stock Fluctuation: THG's 52-week low is $145.17, with a high of $188.18, and the last trade at $173.46 indicates stability within this range, which may impact investor confidence and decision-making.
- Market Performance: The current price of $173.46 is close to the 52-week high, suggesting a cautiously optimistic market outlook for THG, potentially attracting more investor attention to its stock movements.
- Technical Indicators: THG's stock price has fallen below the 200-day moving average, which could trigger technical selling pressure, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market reactions to assess potential risks.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the current stock price fluctuations within the 52-week range, investor sentiment may be influenced by overall market trends, necessitating close attention to related market dynamics for informed decision-making.
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