GOODNOW Investment Group Increases Stake in Maplebear
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy CART?
Source: Fool
- Investment Increase: GOODNOW Investment Group added 131,723 shares of Maplebear (CART) in Q4 2025, raising its stake to 5.78%, with the investment value increasing by $16.17 million, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Market Performance: As of February 16, 2026, Maplebear's share price stood at $36.30, down 27.4% over the past year and lagging the S&P 500 by 39.18 percentage points, reflecting market concerns about its future growth.
- Business Model Shift: Maplebear connects consumers with personal shoppers for rapid online grocery shopping and delivery, and as consumers return to physical stores, investor focus has shifted from delivery growth to the underlying marketplace economics.
- Advertising Revenue Growth: Instacart's profitability increasingly relies on advertising revenue rather than delivery fees, with brands significantly increasing spending on promotions within the app, making advertising a key driver of earnings and potentially reducing reliance on delivery economics in the future.
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Analyst Views on CART
Wall Street analysts forecast CART stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
9 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 36.780
Low
36.00
Averages
50.83
High
66.00
Current: 36.780
Low
36.00
Averages
50.83
High
66.00
About CART
Maplebear Inc., doing business as Instacart, is a grocery technology company in North America, works with grocers and retailers to transform how people shop. The Company partners with more than 1,800 national, regional, and local retail banners to facilitate online shopping, delivery and pickup services from more than 100,000 stores across North America on the Instacart Marketplace. The Instacart Platform offers retailers a suite of enterprise-grade technology products and services to power their e-commerce experiences, fulfill orders, digitize brick-and-mortar stores, provide advertising services, and glean insights. With Instacart Ads, thousands of consumer-packaged goods (CPG) brands - from category leaders to emerging brands - partner with the Company to connect directly with consumers online, right at the point of purchase. The Company, through its Instacart Health, provides tools to increase nutrition security and make healthy choices easier for consumers.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Investment Increase: GOODNOW Investment Group added 131,723 shares of Maplebear (CART) in Q4 2025, raising its stake to 5.78%, with the investment value increasing by $16.17 million, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Market Performance: As of February 16, 2026, Maplebear's share price stood at $36.30, down 27.4% over the past year and lagging the S&P 500 by 39.18 percentage points, reflecting market concerns about its future growth.
- Business Model Shift: Maplebear connects consumers with personal shoppers for rapid online grocery shopping and delivery, and as consumers return to physical stores, investor focus has shifted from delivery growth to the underlying marketplace economics.
- Advertising Revenue Growth: Instacart's profitability increasingly relies on advertising revenue rather than delivery fees, with brands significantly increasing spending on promotions within the app, making advertising a key driver of earnings and potentially reducing reliance on delivery economics in the future.
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- Increased Stake: GOODNOW Investment Group acquired an additional 131,723 shares of Maplebear (NASDAQ:CART) during Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $5.39 million, indicating confidence in the company's potential.
- Value Growth: The position's value increased by $16.17 million at quarter-end, reflecting both trading activities and stock price changes, suggesting a positive market outlook for Maplebear's future.
- Asset Management Proportion: The new stake totals 1,377,881 shares valued at $61.98 million, representing 5.78% of GOODNOW's 13F reportable AUM, which, while not in the top five holdings, still signifies a strategic investment decision.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 16, 2026, Maplebear's shares were priced at $36.30, down 27.4% over the past year and lagging the S&P 500 by 39.18 percentage points, highlighting investor concerns regarding its evolving profitability model.
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- Stake Increase: Goodnow Investment Group added 131,723 shares of Maplebear (NASDAQ: CART) in Q4 2025, raising its stake to 5.78%, with the investment value increasing by $16.17 million, reflecting confidence in Instacart's growth potential.
- Market Performance: As of February 16, 2026, CART shares were priced at $36.30, down 27.4% over the past year and lagging the S&P 500 by 39.18 percentage points, indicating market concerns regarding its evolving profitability model.
- Profitability Shift: Instacart's profitability increasingly relies on advertising revenue rather than delivery fees, as consumer packaged goods companies pay to promote products within the app, offering significantly higher margins, which may influence investor perceptions of its future value.
- Market Competition: As more retailers join the Instacart platform and brands increase marketing spend, advertising inventory grows with transaction volume, potentially strengthening Instacart's position in the grocery ecosystem and reducing reliance on delivery economics.
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- Insider Transaction Overview: Maplebear director Lily Sarafan sold 3,500 shares of common stock for approximately $128,000 on February 25, 2026, retaining 21,554 shares valued at about $788,000 post-transaction, indicating her continued confidence in the company.
- Holding Proportion Analysis: This sale represented 13.97% of Sarafan's direct holdings, matching the median percentage for sell transactions historically, suggesting that her selling activity did not significantly alter her overall ownership structure.
- Market Performance Correlation: The transaction occurred when Maplebear shares were priced around $36.53, following a 25.1% decline in stock value over the past year, potentially reflecting Sarafan's liquidity needs rather than a strategic market timing decision.
- Investor Considerations: Despite Instacart projecting first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of at least $280 million, which shows minimal growth from last year's $244 million, raising concerns about slowing growth, the company still reported an 11% revenue increase in 2025, demonstrating resilience in a competitive market.
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- Sale Details: On February 25, 2026, Lily Sarafan sold 3,500 shares for approximately $128,000 at an average price of $36.53 per share, reducing her direct holdings to 21,554 shares, indicating a cautious market stance.
- Ownership Change Analysis: This sale represented 13.97% of Sarafan's direct holdings, and while she retains over 21,000 shares, the transaction may reflect concerns about Instacart's future growth amid intensifying competition.
- Market Performance Impact: Instacart's stock has dropped to a 52-week low of $32.73 in 2026, and despite an 11% revenue increase to $3.7 billion in 2025, the projected first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $280 million shows only a slight improvement over the previous year's $244 million, indicating signs of slowing growth.
- Investor Recommendations: Given the current stock price, while there may be buying opportunities, analysts note that Instacart is not listed among the top investment stocks, urging investors to carefully consider whether to hold or purchase shares to avoid potential losses.
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