Gold Market Enters Bear Territory, Long-Term Outlook Remains Optimistic
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 24 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NEM?
Source: CNBC
- Gold Price Decline: Spot gold prices fell to $4,335.97 per ounce on Tuesday, down approximately 21% from the January peak, indicating market sensitivity to short-term fluctuations, although long-term demand remains robust.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: The stronger U.S. dollar and easing geopolitical tensions prompted investors to unwind positions, leading to a drop in gold prices, with market participants viewing this as a compelling entry point for investors.
- Strong Central Bank Demand: Analysts highlight that persistent demand from emerging market central banks is expected to provide a floor for gold prices, especially as they may increase purchases following the recent selloff.
- Optimistic Long-Term Forecast: Despite short-term pressures on gold prices, analysts remain bullish, predicting a rebound to $5,375 per ounce by year-end, reflecting ongoing concerns about geopolitical risks and the need for investor diversification.
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Analyst Views on NEM
Wall Street analysts forecast NEM stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 113.790
Low
89.00
Averages
110.85
High
125.00
Current: 113.790
Low
89.00
Averages
110.85
High
125.00
About NEM
Newmont Corporation is a gold company and a producer of copper, zinc, lead, and silver with operations and/or assets in the Africa, Australia, Latin America & Caribbean, North America, and Papua New Guinea regions. The Company's operations include Brucejack, Red Chris, Penasquito, Merian, Cerro Negro, Yanacocha, Boddington, Tanami, Cadia, Lihir, Ahafo, and NGM. The Brucejack operation includes four mining leases and six core mineral claims which cover 8,169 acres (3,306 hectares) and 337 mineral claims covering 298,795 acres (120,918 hectares). The Red Chris operation includes five mining leases which cover 12,703 acres and 199 mineral claims, encompassing an area of 164,903 acres (66,734 hectares). Penasquito includes 20 mining concessions for operations comprising 113,231 acres (45,823 hectares) and 60 mining concessions for exploration of 107,456 acres (43,486 hectares). The Merian operation includes one right of exploitation encompassing an area of 41,687 acres (16,870 hectares).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Stock Price Opportunities: Despite fluctuations in gold prices since the beginning of the year, Newmont's stock surged 11.7% since last Friday's close, indicating that investors are refocusing on precious metals amid geopolitical tensions, which could further drive stock price increases.
- Future Performance Outlook: Newmont is set to report its first-quarter results on April 23, and the market will closely watch its performance; while macroeconomic and geopolitical factors may sway stock prices, investors should focus on the company's fundamentals.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As geopolitical issues ease, investors may reconsider investing in Newmont stock, especially against the backdrop of strong company performance, attracting more investors seeking safe assets.
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- Gold Market Dynamics: Despite gold contracts plummeting over 10% since the onset of the Iran war, Newmont's underlying business remains robust, showcasing the company's resilience in uncertain market conditions and likely attracting more investors back.
- Outstanding Cash Flow Performance: Newmont achieved a record $7.3 billion in free cash flow in 2025, with nearly half returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, indicating effective capital management and commitment to shareholders.
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- Strong Cash Flow: Newmont achieved a record free cash flow of $7.3 billion in 2025, with nearly half returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, demonstrating the company's financial health and ability to attract more investor attention.
- Geopolitical Impact: Gold contracts have plunged over 10% since the onset of the Iran war, yet Newmont's underlying business remains robust, suggesting that as geopolitical tensions ease, investors are likely to refocus on gold and Newmont stock.
- Future Earnings Outlook: Newmont is set to report its first-quarter results on April 23, and while macroeconomic and geopolitical factors may sway stock prices, investors should concentrate on the earnings results to seize potential investment opportunities.
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- Stock Price Opportunities: Despite fluctuations in gold prices since the beginning of the year, Newmont's stock surged 11.7% since last Friday's close, indicating that investors are refocusing on precious metals amid geopolitical tensions, which could further drive stock price increases.
- Future Performance Outlook: Newmont is set to report its first-quarter results on April 23, and the market will closely watch its performance; while macroeconomic and geopolitical factors may sway stock prices, investors should focus on the company's fundamentals.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As geopolitical issues ease, investors may reconsider investing in Newmont stock, especially against the backdrop of strong company performance, attracting more investors seeking safe assets.
See More
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- Significant Stock Movement: Newmont's stock price surged by 11.7% since last Friday, reflecting renewed investor interest in the gold market, particularly as geopolitical tensions enhance gold's appeal as a safe haven asset.
- Gold Market Dynamics: Despite gold contracts plummeting over 10% since the onset of the Iran war, Newmont's underlying business remains robust, showcasing the company's resilience in uncertain market conditions and likely attracting more investors back.
- Outstanding Cash Flow Performance: Newmont achieved a record $7.3 billion in free cash flow in 2025, with nearly half returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, indicating effective capital management and commitment to shareholders.
- Future Earnings Outlook: Newmont is set to report its first-quarter results on April 23; while macroeconomic and geopolitical factors may sway stock prices, investors should focus on performance results to capitalize on opportunities to add Newmont shares during price dips.
See More
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- Stock Volatility: Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have shown significant fluctuations, with Newmont (NYSE: NEM) shares rising 11.7% since last Friday's close, indicating renewed investor interest in gold and reflecting a growing demand for safe-haven assets.
- Strong Cash Flow: Newmont achieved a record free cash flow of $7.3 billion in 2025, with nearly half returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, demonstrating the company's financial health and ability to attract more investor attention.
- Geopolitical Impact: Gold contracts have plunged over 10% since the onset of the Iran war, yet Newmont's underlying business remains robust, suggesting that as geopolitical tensions ease, investors are likely to refocus on gold and Newmont stock.
- Future Earnings Outlook: Newmont is set to report its first-quarter results on April 23, and while macroeconomic and geopolitical factors may sway stock prices, investors should concentrate on the earnings results to seize potential investment opportunities.
See More
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- Oil Price Surge: Crude oil prices soared over 13% as President Trump took a tougher stance on Iran, reaching a 3.5-week high, which not only heightened inflation fears but also pushed bond yields higher, with the 10-year T-note yield rising by 2 basis points to 4.34%.
- Unemployment Claims Drop: Weekly initial unemployment claims unexpectedly fell by 9,000 to 202,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the anticipated increase to 212,000, which could provide support for the stock market amid rising inflation concerns.
- Global Market Decline: Overseas stock markets are lower, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 2.25%, China's Shanghai Composite down 0.74%, and Japan's Nikkei 225 sharply falling 2.38% from a two-week high, reflecting global economic uncertainty and investor caution.
- Airline Stocks Plummet: Airline stocks are sharply lower as crude oil prices surged over 10%, raising fuel costs; United Airlines and American Airlines Group both fell more than 6%, highlighting the direct impact of rising oil prices on airline profitability.
See More
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- Tesla Delivery Decline: Tesla reported first-quarter deliveries of 358,000 vehicles, a 14% drop from the previous quarter and below the expected 370,000, leading to a 4% decline in stock price, indicating market concerns over its growth outlook.
- Nike's Bleak Sales Outlook: Nike anticipates a 20% decline in sales in China for the current quarter, resulting in a more than 2% drop in stock price, highlighting increasing challenges the company faces in the global market that could impact future profitability.
- Globalstar Stock Surge: Globalstar shares rose 9% following reports that Amazon is in talks to acquire the company, although Amazon declined to comment, the optimism surrounding the potential acquisition boosted the stock price significantly.
- Penguin Solutions Earnings Beat: Penguin Solutions reported adjusted earnings of 52 cents per share, exceeding the analyst consensus of 42 cents, with revenue of $343 million surpassing expectations, reflecting strong performance in the computing and memory markets, resulting in a 13% stock price increase.
See More
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- Microsoft Upgrade: Envision Research upgrades Microsoft to Buy, arguing that its current 22x forward P/E is attractive compared to peers, with an expected long-term annual return of 11%, which will bolster its leadership in the PaaS/IaaS market.
- Newmont Investment Opportunity: JR Research upgrades Newmont to Buy, noting that amid the selloff in gold mining stocks, Newmont's valuation is below historical averages, with production growth projects supporting future expansion, enticing patient investors to double down.
- Micron Downgrade: The Techie downgrades Micron Technology to Sell, stating that despite exceptional Q2 results, the market's negative reaction indicates that positives were already priced in, with rising capex expected to compress free cash flow.
- Cheniere Energy Rating Adjustment: Zoltan Ban downgrades Cheniere Energy to Hold, noting that its share price has nearly doubled and fully reflects the benefits from tight LNG markets, making its valuation stretched compared to peers, with potential stagnation in the US shale patch impacting profitability.
See More
