From Mag 7 to Lag 7: What Lies Ahead for These Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 05 2026
0mins
Source: Barron's
- Finality of a Situation: The phrase "stick a fork in it" suggests that something is finished or no longer viable.
- Closure and Departure: Expressions like "turn out the lights" and "hasta la vista" indicate a sense of closure and farewell.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 399.150
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 399.150
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- SpaceX IPO Performance: Priced at $135 per share, SpaceX opened around $150 and ended its first trading day with a valuation exceeding $2 trillion, raising approximately $75 billion, indicating strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Tesla and SpaceX Relationship: Tesla holds a small stake in SpaceX, which is also a customer for Tesla's Megapack batteries and Cybertrucks, highlighting the increasingly intertwined business operations and strategic positioning of Musk across both companies.
- Shift in Investor Focus: With SpaceX's public debut, investors can now directly bet on Musk's ambitions in space and AI without the risks associated with Tesla's slowing growth, potentially impacting Tesla's stock performance and market expectations.
See More
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- Peace Agreement Reached: The U.S. and Iran have finalized a peace deal aimed at an immediate and permanent end to hostilities, with Trump announcing its completion on social media, marking a significant shift in regional dynamics that could stabilize the global economy.
- Positive Market Reaction: The news of the agreement has triggered a global stock market rally, with U.S. stock futures surging and the Nikkei leading gains in the Asia-Pacific region, reflecting investor optimism about future economic prospects.
- International Support: Leaders from the U.K., France, Germany, and Italy issued a joint statement welcoming the agreement, viewing it as an opportunity to restore regional stability and global economic health, and expressing readiness to lift sanctions contingent on Iran's verifiable actions.
- Trade War Concerns: Despite the positive impact of the peace deal, Trump warned of a potential new trade war with France, demanding the repeal of a digital tax on U.S. tech companies or facing 100% tariffs on French wines, highlighting the complexities of international trade relations.
See More
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- Autonomous Driving Roadmap: Rivian plans to introduce a supervised point-to-point driving system this year, with unsupervised driving expected by 2027, aiming to enhance user experience and strengthen market competitiveness through this technology.
- Partnership with Uber: Rivian's collaboration with Uber will facilitate the deployment of 50,000 R2 robotaxis, with paid rides anticipated to start in 2028, further expanding its market share and enhancing brand influence.
- Positive Market Reaction: Rivian's shares rose 2% following CEO Scaringe's announcement of new plans, marking a fourth consecutive week of gains at 3%, reflecting investor confidence in its autonomous driving technology and market potential.
- Optimistic Outlook for R2 Model: Needham reiterated a 'Buy' rating and a $23 price target for Rivian, believing the newly launched R2 model will drive future growth, despite criticisms regarding lease pricing and missing software features at launch.
See More
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- First Day Performance: SpaceX's IPO on Nasdaq closed at $161, a 19% increase from its $135 offer price, indicating strong investor optimism and solidifying its position in the tech sector.
- Retail Investor Enthusiasm: Following the IPO, SpaceX attracted retail investors who purchased $100 billion in shares, although analysts caution that investors may panic if the company fails to deliver expected results in the coming quarters.
- Valuation Controversy: Despite SpaceX's valuation reaching $1.75 trillion, reflecting a nearly 100 times P/E ratio, analysts like Matthew Maley and Morningstar's Nicolas Owens argue that the stock is significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of only $63 per share.
- Future Outlook: Despite valuation concerns, analysts remain optimistic about SpaceX's long-term prospects, believing that under the leadership of Gwynne Shotwell and Elon Musk, the company has the potential to overcome challenges and achieve sustainable growth.
See More
Tesla's Share Price Potential Analysis and Merger Controversy
- Price Potential Forecast: Ferguson asserts that Tesla's share price should be valued at $3,640, indicating a potential 796% upside from current levels, primarily based on the anticipated growth of its Robotaxi and Optimus businesses, reflecting a bullish market sentiment regarding Tesla's future profitability.
- Merger Impact Analysis: Ferguson opposes a near-term merger with SpaceX, arguing that if it were to occur now, Tesla shareholders would see their ownership stake drop from 90% in 2021 to just 40%, significantly undermining long-term shareholder value and emphasizing the importance of timing in any merger discussions.
- Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment: Tesla's stock rose 4% last week, marking its best weekly performance in over a month, which reflects investor confidence in the company's growth potential while also highlighting the divide in market sentiment regarding the merger proposal, with some investors expressing skepticism.
- Retail Investor Perspectives: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for SpaceX is extremely bullish, while sentiment for Tesla remains positive, indicating differing views on the future developments of both companies, particularly concerning the uncertainties that a merger might introduce.
See More
Musk Denies Government Support Boosted Tesla and SpaceX
- Musk Disputes Subsidy Claims: Musk asserts that government subsidies have had a negligible impact on Tesla and SpaceX, claiming that all government incentives combined account for less than 2% of the companies' value, emphasizing his commitment to their independence and competitive edge.
- EV Sales Surge: Following the Trump administration's removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit, Tesla's sales actually increased, indicating a shift of consumers from rival EV makers to Tesla, which reflects the brand's strong market appeal and customer loyalty.
- SpaceX Funding Overview: SpaceX has received over $500 million in government grants, including a $278 million NASA award in 2006 and a $1.6 billion contract in 2008; while Musk acknowledges NASA's role, he stresses that these funds did not determine the company's success.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for SpaceX is extremely bullish, while Tesla maintains a positive outlook despite its underperformance this year, indicating investor confidence in future growth prospects.
See More
