Exxon Mobil Gains from Middle East War Impacting Helium Supply
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 07 2026
0mins
Should l Buy XOM?
Source: CNBC
- Market Opportunity: The ongoing Middle East war has tightened global helium supply, with UBS analysts noting that Exxon Mobil stands to benefit as a net beneficiary of helium market conditions, particularly as Qatar's production is disrupted.
- Production Capacity: Exxon's LaBarge facility in Wyoming is capable of producing approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet of Grade A helium annually, remaining unaffected by Middle Eastern events, and is expected to play a significant role in helium supply for the next eight decades.
- Price Surge: Spot helium prices have soared to $1,000-$1,200 per thousand cubic feet due to the war, up from about $500 under older contracts, with UBS estimating that every $100 increase in prices could add $119 million to Exxon's EBITDA.
- Investment Rating: UBS reiterated a buy rating for Exxon Mobil with a 12-month price target of $171, implying about 5% upside from Monday's close of $163.37, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the company's growth prospects.
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Analyst Views on XOM
Wall Street analysts forecast XOM stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 154.330
Low
114.00
Averages
132.17
High
158.00
Current: 154.330
Low
114.00
Averages
132.17
High
158.00
About XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation is an energy provider and chemical manufacturer. The Company’s principal business involves exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas; the manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals and a wide variety of specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and other new business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima systems, carbon materials, and lithium. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments manufacture and sell petroleum products and petrochemicals. Energy Products segment includes fuels, aromatics, and catalysts and licensing. Chemical Products segment consists of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. Specialty Products segment includes finished lubricants, basestocks and waxes, synthetics, and elastomers and resins.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

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- Financial Performance: The revenue figures indicate a stronger performance than analysts had anticipated, reflecting positive trends in the company's operations.
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- EPS Expectations: Analysts estimate the company’s Q1 earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.01, reflecting the company's profitability amid fluctuations in the oil and gas market.
- Revenue Projections: The expected revenue for Exxon Mobil in Q1 is $85.29 billion, indicating strong performance against the backdrop of recovering global energy demand.
- Mixed Analyst Ratings: Despite the upcoming earnings report, analysts have mixed ratings on the company, highlighting market uncertainties regarding future oil prices and operational strategies.
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- Production Growth: Exxon Mobil achieved record production levels in Guyana while targeting 1.8 million oil equivalent barrels in the Permian Basin, indicating strong performance in the global oil and gas market and expected market share growth.
- Refining Capacity Increase: Refinery throughput increased by approximately 200,000 barrels per day in March compared to February, demonstrating the company's success in optimizing logistics and enhancing its competitiveness in a high-margin refining environment.
- Enhanced LNG Export Capacity: The Golden Pass project achieved its first LNG production in March, expected to increase U.S. export capacity by about 5%, which will help meet the growing global energy demand and elevate the company's position in international markets.
- Investment in Low Carbon Solutions: The company plans to start facilities capable of capturing an additional 4 million tonnes of CO2 per year over the next two years, showcasing its commitment to sustainability while laying the groundwork for future compliance with environmental regulations.
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- Dividend Yield Comparison: Among conservative investors, Chevron's 3.6% dividend yield is notably higher than Exxon's 2.6%, with both companies demonstrating strong performance across the energy cycle, supporting their dividend payments and showcasing financial robustness.
- Infrastructure Advantage: As North American midstream energy giants, Enterprise and Enbridge own energy infrastructure, and their fee-based model ensures that their financial performance is not reliant on oil and gas prices, maintaining strong throughput across the entire energy cycle.
- Long-term Dividend Payment Capability: Exxon, Chevron, Enterprise, and Enbridge have all proven their ability to continue paying and increasing dividends amid fluctuations in oil prices, emphasizing that investors should focus on long-term returns rather than short-term volatility in the current high oil price environment.
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- Boost in Energy Company Revenues: As May begins, high energy prices are expected to enhance the financial performance of most energy companies, although history indicates that oil prices typically fall after significant spikes, suggesting caution for investors.
- Positive Market Reaction: Wall Street's optimistic sentiment towards energy stocks has driven up prices, particularly for companies like Chevron and ExxonMobil, with Chevron's dividend yield at 3.6% significantly higher than Exxon's 2.6%, attracting more income-focused investors.
- Stability of Midstream Energy Giants: Enterprise Products Partners and Enbridge, as North American midstream energy giants, benefit from stable revenue streams since their fee-based model is not directly tied to oil and gas prices, ensuring strong financial performance throughout the energy cycle.
- Long-Term Dividend Payment Capability: Chevron, ExxonMobil, Enterprise, and Enbridge have all demonstrated the ability to maintain and increase dividends during both high and low oil price periods, highlighting their long-term investment value in the energy market.
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