Company Raises FY26 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook to $132M-$138M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 15 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy COCO?
Consensus $696.78M. Raises FY26 adjusted EBITDA view to $132M-$138M from $122M-$128M. Martin Roper, the Company's Chief Executive Officer, said, "Our healthy first quarter shipment performance was driven by very strong branded retail growth in all our major markets, reflective of solid underlying consumer demand and favorable promotional timing differences. Our improved pricing produced healthy gross margin and very strong adjusted EBITDA. Our increased full year guidance is based on expected continued brand strength in our major markets, with improving private label shipment trends. We expect significant adjusted EBITDA growth in 2026 due to our expected volume growth and gross margin improvement."
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Analyst Views on COCO
Wall Street analysts forecast COCO stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 51.630
Low
49.00
Averages
57.50
High
63.00
Current: 51.630
Low
49.00
Averages
57.50
High
63.00
About COCO
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. operates in the functional beverages industry. The Company specializes in the coconut and other plant waters category and is a supplier of private label coconut water. The Company's branded portfolio is led by its Vita Coco brand, which specializes in coconut water category in the United States with electrolytes, nutrients and vitamins, and also includes coconut oil, juice, and milk offerings. The Company's PWR LIFT brand is a protein-infused fitness drink. The Company's segments include Americas and International. The Company's Americas segment is comprised of its operations in the Americas region, primarily in the United States and Canada. The Company's International segment is comprised of its operations primarily in Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific regions, which includes its sourcing entity. The Company's products are distributed primarily through club, food, drug, mass, convenience, e-commerce, and food service channels.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Vita Coco to Announce Q1 Earnings on April 29
- Earnings Announcement: Vita Coco is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 29 before market open, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.32 and revenue expected to reach $148.36 million, reflecting a 13.3% year-over-year growth, which will provide crucial performance insights for investors.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Vita Coco has surpassed EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, demonstrating stability in profitability and market performance, thereby bolstering investor confidence.
- Expectation Adjustments: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced six upward revisions and one downward revision, indicating some divergence in market perceptions regarding the company's future performance.
- Market Position Change: Vita Coco is set to replace TEGNA in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, a move that not only enhances the company's market recognition but may also attract more institutional investors, potentially driving the stock price higher.
See More
Vita Coco Shares Surge 28.1% Following Strong Q1 Earnings
- Earnings Beat: Vita Coco reported a 37.4% revenue growth to $179.8 million in Q1, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, which underscores the strong demand in the coconut water market and solidifies its market leadership.
- Profitability Boost: Earnings per share surged 61.3% to $0.50, with gross margins increasing from 37% last year to 40%, reflecting successful cost control and market execution, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Raised Full-Year Guidance: Management raised its 2023 sales forecast to between $720 million and $735 million, up from the previous range of $680 million to $700 million, indicating optimism about future growth that may attract more investor interest.
- Tariff Relief Benefits: The Supreme Court's decision to strike down tariffs imposed by the Trump administration has provided Vita Coco with tariff relief, further enhancing profitability and likely driving continued growth in the daily consumer market.
See More
Vita Coco Shares Surge as Profit Margins Expand
- Significant Revenue Growth: Vita Coco's net sales surged 37% year-over-year to $49 million in Q1, exceeding expectations, primarily driven by a 32% increase in coconut water volume and a 27% rise in private label sales, indicating strong market performance.
- Margin Expansion: The company achieved a 300 basis point expansion in profit margins, with gross profit increasing by 50% despite rising finished goods, tariff, and logistics costs, showcasing effective cost control and pricing strategies.
- Optimistic Outlook: Vita Coco raised its FY26 sales outlook by 5.4%, now expecting sales between $720 million and $725 million, reflecting continued brand strength and improving private label shipment trends, further solidifying its market position.
- Earnings Per Share Growth: The company reported earnings of $0.50 per share, up 61% year-over-year and $0.18 above expectations, with non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA increasing by $16 million, demonstrating a significant enhancement in profitability.
See More
Vita Coco Q1 Earnings Beat Expectations, 2026 Outlook Raised
- Earnings Beat: Vita Coco reported Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.50, surpassing expectations by $0.18, with revenue of $180 million reflecting a 37.4% year-over-year increase, exceeding market forecasts by $31.64 million, indicating robust market performance and consumer demand.
- Sales Growth: Coconut water net sales surged by 42%, not only highlighting the product's popularity but also demonstrating the company's significant competitive advantage, which has driven overall revenue growth.
- 2026 Outlook Raised: The company has raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to between $720 million and $735 million, up from the previous range of $680 million to $700 million, driven by mid-to-high teens growth in coconut water and recovery in new business.
- Cost and Profit Outlook: Gross margin is expected to be approximately 38%, benefiting from lower tariffs and higher pricing, although offset by adverse product mix, inflationary pressures, and increased brand promotion costs, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $132 million and $138 million, reflecting confidence in future profitability.
See More
Wall Street Bullish on Three Stocks
- Vita Coco Growth Potential: Vita Coco's consensus price target is $61.89, suggesting a 31.1% implied return, with unit sales averaging a robust 9.9% growth over the past two years, indicating strong market demand that is expected to drive further performance growth.
- Limbach Market Share Gains: Limbach's consensus price target is $116.60, with a 17.1% implied return, as its annual revenue growth rate of 11.9% and earnings per share growth of 46.5% demonstrate exceptional performance in the current economic cycle, indicating sustainable profitability.
- First Solar Capital Returns Rising: First Solar's consensus price target is $246.03, implying a 25.2% return, with annual revenue growth of 25.4% and positive free cash flow over the last five years, showcasing the company's strong competitive position in the renewable energy market.
- Investment Timing Analysis: All three companies exhibit strong financial performance and market potential, with analysts generally optimistic about their future prospects, suggesting that investors consider establishing positions at current price levels for substantial returns.
See More
Vita Coco Releases 2025 Impact Report Highlighting Sustainability Efforts
- Sustainability Progress: Vita Coco has distributed over 1.15 million seedlings through its Seedlings for Sustainability program, aiming for 10 million by 2030, thereby supporting regenerative agriculture and farmer livelihoods globally, which underscores the company's commitment to environmental protection.
- Community Building Achievements: The company reported that 95% of its co-manufacturers passed SMETA social accountability audits, and it granted 46 scholarships to students in coconut-growing communities in Sri Lanka and Brazil, enhancing educational opportunities and overall community welfare.
- Employee Engagement Improvement: Vita Coco achieved an employee engagement score of 84%, which is 12 points higher than the average for similar companies, reflecting positive outcomes in employee satisfaction and corporate culture development.
- Health and Wellness Advocacy: All of the company's products are certified non-GMO, with 20% being organic certified, and it donated over $439,800 worth of in-kind donations to community partners, reaching 506,900 community members, further solidifying its image of social responsibility.
See More
Vita Coco to Announce Q1 Earnings on April 29
- Earnings Announcement: Vita Coco is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 29 before market open, with consensus EPS estimated at $0.32 and revenue expected to reach $148.36 million, reflecting a 13.3% year-over-year growth, which will provide crucial performance insights for investors.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Vita Coco has surpassed EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time, demonstrating stability in profitability and market performance, thereby bolstering investor confidence.
- Expectation Adjustments: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced six upward revisions and one downward revision, indicating some divergence in market perceptions regarding the company's future performance.
- Market Position Change: Vita Coco is set to replace TEGNA in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, a move that not only enhances the company's market recognition but may also attract more institutional investors, potentially driving the stock price higher.
See More
Vita Coco Shares Surge 28.1% Following Strong Q1 Earnings
- Earnings Beat: Vita Coco reported a 37.4% revenue growth to $179.8 million in Q1, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, which underscores the strong demand in the coconut water market and solidifies its market leadership.
- Profitability Boost: Earnings per share surged 61.3% to $0.50, with gross margins increasing from 37% last year to 40%, reflecting successful cost control and market execution, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Raised Full-Year Guidance: Management raised its 2023 sales forecast to between $720 million and $735 million, up from the previous range of $680 million to $700 million, indicating optimism about future growth that may attract more investor interest.
- Tariff Relief Benefits: The Supreme Court's decision to strike down tariffs imposed by the Trump administration has provided Vita Coco with tariff relief, further enhancing profitability and likely driving continued growth in the daily consumer market.
See More
Vita Coco Shares Surge as Profit Margins Expand
- Significant Revenue Growth: Vita Coco's net sales surged 37% year-over-year to $49 million in Q1, exceeding expectations, primarily driven by a 32% increase in coconut water volume and a 27% rise in private label sales, indicating strong market performance.
- Margin Expansion: The company achieved a 300 basis point expansion in profit margins, with gross profit increasing by 50% despite rising finished goods, tariff, and logistics costs, showcasing effective cost control and pricing strategies.
- Optimistic Outlook: Vita Coco raised its FY26 sales outlook by 5.4%, now expecting sales between $720 million and $725 million, reflecting continued brand strength and improving private label shipment trends, further solidifying its market position.
- Earnings Per Share Growth: The company reported earnings of $0.50 per share, up 61% year-over-year and $0.18 above expectations, with non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA increasing by $16 million, demonstrating a significant enhancement in profitability.
See More
Vita Coco Q1 Earnings Beat Expectations, 2026 Outlook Raised
- Earnings Beat: Vita Coco reported Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.50, surpassing expectations by $0.18, with revenue of $180 million reflecting a 37.4% year-over-year increase, exceeding market forecasts by $31.64 million, indicating robust market performance and consumer demand.
- Sales Growth: Coconut water net sales surged by 42%, not only highlighting the product's popularity but also demonstrating the company's significant competitive advantage, which has driven overall revenue growth.
- 2026 Outlook Raised: The company has raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to between $720 million and $735 million, up from the previous range of $680 million to $700 million, driven by mid-to-high teens growth in coconut water and recovery in new business.
- Cost and Profit Outlook: Gross margin is expected to be approximately 38%, benefiting from lower tariffs and higher pricing, although offset by adverse product mix, inflationary pressures, and increased brand promotion costs, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $132 million and $138 million, reflecting confidence in future profitability.
See More
Wall Street Bullish on Three Stocks
- Vita Coco Growth Potential: Vita Coco's consensus price target is $61.89, suggesting a 31.1% implied return, with unit sales averaging a robust 9.9% growth over the past two years, indicating strong market demand that is expected to drive further performance growth.
- Limbach Market Share Gains: Limbach's consensus price target is $116.60, with a 17.1% implied return, as its annual revenue growth rate of 11.9% and earnings per share growth of 46.5% demonstrate exceptional performance in the current economic cycle, indicating sustainable profitability.
- First Solar Capital Returns Rising: First Solar's consensus price target is $246.03, implying a 25.2% return, with annual revenue growth of 25.4% and positive free cash flow over the last five years, showcasing the company's strong competitive position in the renewable energy market.
- Investment Timing Analysis: All three companies exhibit strong financial performance and market potential, with analysts generally optimistic about their future prospects, suggesting that investors consider establishing positions at current price levels for substantial returns.
See More
Vita Coco Releases 2025 Impact Report Highlighting Sustainability Efforts
- Sustainability Progress: Vita Coco has distributed over 1.15 million seedlings through its Seedlings for Sustainability program, aiming for 10 million by 2030, thereby supporting regenerative agriculture and farmer livelihoods globally, which underscores the company's commitment to environmental protection.
- Community Building Achievements: The company reported that 95% of its co-manufacturers passed SMETA social accountability audits, and it granted 46 scholarships to students in coconut-growing communities in Sri Lanka and Brazil, enhancing educational opportunities and overall community welfare.
- Employee Engagement Improvement: Vita Coco achieved an employee engagement score of 84%, which is 12 points higher than the average for similar companies, reflecting positive outcomes in employee satisfaction and corporate culture development.
- Health and Wellness Advocacy: All of the company's products are certified non-GMO, with 20% being organic certified, and it donated over $439,800 worth of in-kind donations to community partners, reaching 506,900 community members, further solidifying its image of social responsibility.
See More
