Breakingviews - This Week's Highlights: The Ongoing Fight Over Pharmaceuticals
U.S. Stock Market Decline: The U.S. stock market is experiencing a downturn, with the S&P 500 down 4% and the Nasdaq down 6% from their recent peaks, raising questions about whether this is a temporary setback or the start of a larger correction.
M&A Activity in Biotech: A competitive bidding war has emerged between Pfizer and Novo Nordisk for U.S. biotech Metsera, highlighting the aggressive nature of cross-border mergers and acquisitions in the current market environment.
Legal and Regulatory Challenges: Pfizer's legal attempts to block Novo's bid for Metsera were unsuccessful, and U.S. competition authorities have shown support for Pfizer's offer, indicating a complex regulatory landscape for such deals.
Optimism in Hong Kong's Financial Summit: The mood at Hong Kong's financial summit has improved compared to previous years, although U.S. banks are struggling to capture the benefits of increased activity, which are primarily going to local Chinese advisers.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on NVDA
About NVDA
About the author

NVIDIA's Q4 Earnings Performance: NVIDIA's Q4 earnings report for fiscal 2026 shows strong revenue growth driven by AI, with a revenue of $68.3 billion, surpassing market expectations and indicating robust cash flow and investment potential.
Market Segments Growth: The company experienced significant growth across critical markets, particularly in data centers, automotive, and gaming, with data center revenue accounting for over 90% of total revenue and growing by 75% year-over-year.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued strong performance for NVIDIA, forecasting $78 billion in revenue for Q1 FY 2027, reflecting a 14.7% sequential increase and a 77% year-over-year growth, excluding China.
Investor Sentiment and Stock Outlook: Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on NVIDIA's stock, with a consensus target price suggesting significant upside potential, supported by strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet, positioning the company well for future growth.
- Strong Performance: Nvidia reported an adjusted earnings per share of $1.62 for the quarter ending January 25, with revenue soaring 73% year-over-year to $68.13 billion, significantly exceeding Wall Street's forecast of $65.91 billion, indicating robust market demand and execution.
- Data Center Revenue Surge: Data center revenue reached $62.13 billion, surpassing expectations of $60.36 billion, reflecting a surge in enterprise demand for AI computing, further solidifying Nvidia's leadership in the AI sector.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company anticipates revenue of $78 billion for the upcoming fiscal first quarter, excluding any revenue from China, showcasing confidence in global markets while also indicating a cautious stance towards the Chinese market.
- Dividend Announcement: Nvidia declared a quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share to be paid on April 1, enhancing investor confidence and demonstrating the company's ability to return value to shareholders supported by strong cash flow.
- Market Underestimation: Dan Ives from Wedbush Securities pointed out that Wall Street analysts have severely underestimated Nvidia's valuation, particularly ahead of the upcoming fourth-quarter earnings report, indicating a neglect of the company's potential.
- Surge in AI Demand: Ives emphasized that with the skyrocketing demand for artificial intelligence, Nvidia's chips play a crucial role in driving the AI revolution, making its future earnings pivotal.
- Performance Expectations: Ives anticipates a 'gold medal performance' from Nvidia, reflecting not only his confidence in the company's strong earnings but also potentially influencing investor perceptions of its stock.
- Stock Price Reaction: At the time of writing, Nvidia's shares were trading 2% higher, indicating a positive market response to the optimistic expectations surrounding the upcoming earnings report and analyst sentiments.
- Bitcoin Investment Opportunity: Currently priced at $67,000, Bitcoin has dropped 47% from its all-time high, yet it constitutes 60% of the total crypto market cap, with analysts predicting it could reach $1 million by 2030, indicating significant long-term investment potential.
- Ethereum Value Recovery: Ethereum is trading at $2,000, down 60% from $5,000 in August, yet it maintains a 56% market share in the decentralized finance sector, underscoring its importance in the future integration of traditional and blockchain finance.
- Rise of Gold Stablecoins: PAX Gold, a gold-backed stablecoin, has surged 16% this year, showcasing strength in the current crypto market and reflecting investor demand for gold as a safe haven, providing additional downside protection.
- ETF Portfolio Construction: With the introduction of spot crypto ETFs, constructing a 70/20/10 portfolio is straightforward, allowing for $700 in Bitcoin ETF, $200 in Ethereum ETF, and $100 in Gold ETF, aimed at diversifying risk while capturing potential market recovery.
- Nvidia Stock Decline: Despite Nvidia reporting a strong quarter and even stronger forward guidance, its shares fell 7.3% in February, primarily due to concerns about whether its major clients can sustain their capital expenditure plans, which negatively impacted investor confidence.
- Tech Sector Downturn: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped 0.4% and nearly 1% respectively, with monthly declines of nearly 1% for the S&P 500 and 3.4% for the Nasdaq marking the worst performance since March 2025, highlighting the disruptive impact of AI on the market.
- Geopolitical Market Influence: The future direction of the markets may hinge on geopolitical developments, particularly regarding Iran, as President Trump expressed dissatisfaction with the nuclear deal negotiations, potentially increasing market uncertainty, even as oil prices have risen about 17% year to date.
- Upcoming Earnings Reports: Next week will see Berkshire Hathaway's first earnings report under new CEO Greg Abel, alongside earnings from Norwegian Cruise Line and Target, with market expectations high for these companies' performances in a competitive retail landscape.
- New Menu Item: Sweetgreen is introducing wraps at select locations, expanding its menu beyond salads.
- Brand Identity: The fast-casual chain is known for its high-quality greens and aims to innovate its offerings while maintaining its brand identity.











