Blue Owl Capital Stock Rises 4.62% Amid Sector Gains
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy OWL?
Source: Fool
- Stock Rebound: Blue Owl Capital's stock rose 4.62% to $9.15, despite a more than 50% drop over the past year, indicating a slight improvement in market sentiment.
- Surge in Trading Volume: Today's trading volume reached 41.8 million shares, exceeding the three-month average by 57%, suggesting increased investor interest and a potential reassessment of the private credit sector.
- Peer Performance: In the alternative asset management space, Ares Management and Blackstone rose 6.68% and 4.42%, respectively, reflecting strong rebounds across the industry that may support Blue Owl's stock price.
- Strategic Investment: Blue Owl recently lent $550 million to life sciences firm Scholar Rock, indicating efforts to diversify its investments, although investors remain cautious amid ongoing pressures in private credit.
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Analyst Views on OWL
Wall Street analysts forecast OWL stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 8.760
Low
18.00
Averages
21.13
High
28.00
Current: 8.760
Low
18.00
Averages
21.13
High
28.00
About OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management company. The Company deploys private capital across Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. Its product platforms include Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate. Its credit products offer private financing solutions primarily to upper-middle-market companies. Its credit products are offered through a mix of business development companies, long-dated private funds, managed accounts and collateralized loan obligations. It is focused on acquiring equity stakes in or providing debt financing to private capital firms. Its Real Estate products are focused on acquiring triple net lease real estate occupied by investment-grade or creditworthy tenants. Its Real Estate products are offered through Permanent Capital vehicles, including its real estate investment trusts, and long-dated private funds. It offers asset management services to the insurance industry.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Rebound: Blue Owl Capital's stock rose 4.62% to $9.15, despite a more than 50% drop over the past year, indicating a slight improvement in market sentiment.
- Surge in Trading Volume: Today's trading volume reached 41.8 million shares, exceeding the three-month average by 57%, suggesting increased investor interest and a potential reassessment of the private credit sector.
- Peer Performance: In the alternative asset management space, Ares Management and Blackstone rose 6.68% and 4.42%, respectively, reflecting strong rebounds across the industry that may support Blue Owl's stock price.
- Strategic Investment: Blue Owl recently lent $550 million to life sciences firm Scholar Rock, indicating efforts to diversify its investments, although investors remain cautious amid ongoing pressures in private credit.
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- Minor Stock Increase: Blue Owl Capital closed at $9.15 on Tuesday, up 4.45%, with no clear drivers, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment that may indicate renewed investor confidence in the sector.
- Significant Trading Volume: Trading volume reached 41.8 million shares, 57% above the three-month average of 26.6 million shares, indicating increased market interest in Blue Owl Capital, which could support future price movements.
- Strong Industry Performance: Within the alternative asset management sector, peers Ares Management and Blackstone saw increases of 6.57% and 4.56%, respectively, reflecting robust performance across the industry that may provide external support for Blue Owl Capital's stock price.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Despite receiving an “outperform” rating from Oppenheimer, investor sentiment remains cautious due to pressures in private credit, which may affect Blue Owl Capital's stock price recovery prospects.
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- Rising Private Credit Risks: The bankruptcies of First Brands and Tricolor have caused volatility in the private credit market, leading to share price declines of approximately 22% for Brookfield and 43.5% for Blackstone, putting pressure on their asset management capabilities.
- Investor Withdrawal Phenomenon: In Q1, Blackstone's private credit fund BCRED experienced $3.7 billion in capital outflows, reflecting investor concerns about private credit, despite the firm's impressive 10% net annual return over the past 20 years.
- Brookfield's Growth Potential: By acquiring Oaktree, Brookfield has established a robust credit platform, ending last year with $363 billion in credit assets under management, and anticipates a 25% annual earnings per share growth over the next five years.
- KKR's Long-Term Growth Driver: Although KKR's direct lending assets account for less than 5% of its AUM, its $41 billion in direct lending and $102 billion in private credit assets are set to be significant growth drivers for the firm moving forward.
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- Private Credit AUM Growth: The private credit industry currently manages approximately $2 trillion in assets, having doubled since 2020, with forecasts suggesting it could double again to over $4 trillion by 2030, indicating significant market potential but also increasing risks.
- Blackstone's Investment Performance: Blackstone has achieved a 10% net annual return over the past 20 years in non-investment-grade private credit, and despite concerns in the sector, it manages $520 billion in corporate and real estate credit assets, reflecting its strong investment capabilities with a 15% increase over the past year.
- Brookfield's Credit Platform: Brookfield established a leading credit investment platform through its acquisition of Oaktree, ending last year with $363 billion in credit assets under management, and it anticipates a 25% annualized earnings per share growth over the next five years, showcasing its ongoing expansion potential in private credit.
- KKR's Market Challenges: KKR is in the early stages of its private credit business, with $41 billion in direct lending assets, representing less than 5% of its AUM, and despite facing market pressures, its private credit business is viewed as a major long-term growth driver for the firm.
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- Surge in Redemption Requests: Recent redemption requests in private credit have surged to 14%, prompting Cliffwater to limit withdrawals from its flagship Cliffwater Corporate Lending Fund, indicating a strong demand for liquidity that could lead to a broader liquidity crisis.
- Active Secondary Market: Saba Capital, in collaboration with Cox Capital Partners, is launching tender offers to buy 6.9% of shares in Blue Owl Capital Corporation II at $3.80 per share in cash, highlighting the secondary market as a crucial avenue for investors seeking liquidity, although concerns remain about the market's capacity to handle large-scale redemptions.
- Necessity of Liquidity Restrictions: Chris Kotowski from Oppenheimer emphasizes that liquidity limitations in private credit funds are designed to achieve total return over time, and despite the market's lack of understanding of these structures, historically, these firms have shown resilience during downturns, indicating their strength.
- Rising Default Rate Risks: Industry experts warn that default rates in private credit could double in the coming years, with Morgan Stanley analysts suggesting defaults may reach 8%, reflecting growing concerns over loan quality, particularly as AI disrupts software companies.
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- Market Volatility Impact: The Iran war has led to soaring oil prices, putting pressure on financial stocks, particularly Goldman Sachs, which has dropped 11% in 2026, and Wells Fargo, down over 20% year-to-date, reflecting market concerns about economic outlook.
- Rising Credit Risks: Higher fuel costs may reduce loan demand from consumers and businesses, leading to a slowdown in banks' growth prospects; analysts warn that entering a stagflationary environment could increase default rates, raising downside risks for banks.
- AI Impact Analysis: Despite growing concerns about AI, analysts believe its adoption could create more jobs and enhance bank profitability, with both Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo embedding AI technologies internally to improve efficiency, indicating a positive outlook for the future.
- Private Credit Concerns: Liquidity issues in the private credit market have raised tensions, although Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo are well-capitalized and private credit is not a primary revenue source, the overall health of the market remains a concern.
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