AST SpaceMobile Downgraded by Scotiabank, Stock Drops 12.06%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 09 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ASTS?
Source: PRnewswire
- Downgrade Impact: On January 7, 2026, Scotiabank downgraded AST SpaceMobile to Sell, primarily due to significant competition from SpaceX's Starlink, slow customer adoption, and delays in satellite launches, which directly undermines investor confidence.
- Stock Volatility: Following the downgrade, AST's stock price fell by $11.76, or 12.06%, closing at $85.73 per share, reflecting market concerns about the company's future prospects, which may impact its financing capabilities and market position.
- Legal Investigation: Pomerantz LLP is investigating whether AST SpaceMobile and its executives have engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices, potentially exposing the company to legal risks and exacerbating investor anxiety.
- Investor Response: Investors are advised to contact Pomerantz LLP to join the class action, indicating heightened market scrutiny regarding corporate governance and transparency, which could affect future investor trust and shareholder structure.
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Analyst Views on ASTS
Wall Street analysts forecast ASTS stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 83.990
Low
43.00
Averages
91.68
High
137.00
Current: 83.990
Low
43.00
Averages
91.68
High
137.00
About ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is engaged in building a global cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices based on its intellectual property (IP) and patent portfolio and designed for both commercial and government applications. The Company is engaged in designing and developing the constellation of BlueBird (BB) satellites and has planned space-based Cellular Broadband network distributed through a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. Its SpaceMobile Service is being designed to provide high-speed cellular broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices. The Company intends to continue testing capabilities of the BW3 test satellite, including further testing with cellular service providers and the government. The Company has operations in India, Scotland, Spain, and Israel.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
AST SpaceMobile Faces Pullback but Outlook Remains Positive
- Stock Price Decline: AST SpaceMobile's shares have fallen over 30% from their January peak, primarily due to uncertainties from the Middle East conflict and distractions from SpaceX's upcoming IPO, compounded by overall market weakness.
- Significant Tech Potential: The company is developing a satellite-based mobile broadband network, planning to launch between 45 and 60 satellites by the end of this year, addressing connectivity needs in remote areas, with the satellite broadband market projected to exceed $70 billion by 2035.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts forecast AST SpaceMobile's revenue to rise from $71 million last year to over $180 million this year, with projections of at least $785 million next year, indicating strong business growth potential.
- Market Reaction Pattern: Despite the 30% pullback, historical trends show that AST SpaceMobile's stock typically rebounds to new highs after similar declines, suggesting that investor sentiment will likely turn positive in response to this year's scheduled satellite launches.
See More
Clearwater and Super Micro See Active Options Trading
- Clearwater Options Volume: Clearwater Analytics saw options trading volume of 35,505 contracts, equating to approximately 3.6 million shares, which is about 76% of its average daily trading volume of 4.7 million shares over the past month, indicating strong market interest in its future performance.
- High-Frequency Trading Insight: Within Clearwater, the $20 strike put option has been particularly active, with 17,734 contracts traded today, representing around 1.8 million shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential price declines.
- Super Micro Options Activity: Super Micro Computer experienced options trading volume of 343,082 contracts, representing approximately 34.3 million shares, or about 73.1% of its average daily trading volume of 46.9 million shares over the past month, showcasing significant market interest in its stock.
- Bullish Call Option Trend: For Super Micro, the $25 strike call option saw trading of 33,405 contracts today, equating to approximately 3.3 million shares, indicating investor confidence in the company's potential for future price increases.
See More
U.S. Space Force Budget Sees Significant Increase
- Significant Budget Increase: The U.S. Space Force's budget for fiscal 2026 reaches approximately $40 billion, more than doubling from $15 billion in 2021, reflecting Congress's heightened focus on space defense and expected to drive growth for related companies.
- Investment in Hypersonic Weapons: The Air Force allocates $387.1 million to resume production of the Air-Launched Rapid Response Weapon and $802.8 million for the Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile flight testing, indicating a shift in defense spending towards advanced technology weapons.
- Strategic Partnership: Starfighters Space announces a strategic partnership with Blackstar Orbital to advance flight testing of reusable hypersonic systems, marking a critical transition from simulation to real-world flight validation, enhancing its competitive edge in the defense market.
- Expanding Market Opportunities: Starfighters Space operates the only commercial fleet of F-104 aircraft capable of sustained Mach 2+ speeds, positioning itself as a unique provider of flight testing environments, likely attracting more defense contracts and commercial partnerships to solidify its market position.
See More
Starfighters Space Partners with Blackstar Orbital to Advance Hypersonic Testing
- Defense Budget Surge: The U.S. Space Force's budget for FY2026 reaches approximately $40 billion, more than doubling from $15 billion in FY2021, reflecting urgent needs for hypersonic weapons and space infrastructure, which is expected to drive market opportunities for related companies.
- Strategic Partnership: On March 30, 2026, Starfighters Space announced a strategic partnership with Blackstar Orbital to advance the testing of reusable hypersonic space systems from simulation to real-world flight validation, enhancing its competitiveness in the defense market.
- Technological Advancements: The integration of Starfighters' F-104 aircraft with Blackstar's SpaceDrone aims for flight tests at speeds up to Mach 2, which, if successful, will provide the U.S. Space Force with rapid reconstitution and on-orbit flexibility capabilities, aligning with its core strategic needs.
- Market Opportunities: As the defense and commercial space sectors converge, Starfighters Space is well-positioned in a rapidly growing market due to its unique operational capabilities and government relationships, which are expected to attract more investment and secure key contracts.
See More
Market Volatility and Amazon's Acquisition Talks
- Market Volatility: Stocks experienced significant declines at the open on Thursday due to President Trump's hawkish remarks on the Iran war, which raised concerns and caused oil prices to surge; however, news of Iran working with Oman on a shipping protocol eased oil price pressures, allowing the S&P 500 to briefly trade higher, reflecting the market's high uncertainty.
- Amazon Acquisition Talks: Amazon is in negotiations to acquire satellite company Globalstar to advance its internet-from-space service, Leo, having launched about 200 low Earth orbit satellites despite competition from SpaceX's Starlink, which has over 10,000 satellites; this move is expected to enhance rural internet access and make Prime membership more attractive.
- Microsoft's AI Investment Lag: A profile on Microsoft CFO Amy Mood highlighted the company's conservative approach to AI spending, which has led to a competitive disadvantage, with the stock down 23% year-to-date; nevertheless, analysts remain optimistic about management's ability to address these challenges, maintaining a $600 price target.
- Rapid Stock Review: Stocks mentioned in Thursday's rapid-fire segment included Brinker, Texas Roadhouse, and Constellation Brands, indicating a focus on diversified investment strategies while emphasizing Jim Cramer's long-term holding approach in specific stocks within his charitable trust.
See More
Analyzing Risks and Investment Insights for SpaceX IPO
- Valuation Risks: SpaceX's current valuation of $1.25 trillion is primarily based on unproven future promises like global internet coverage and Mars colonization, which may face severe scrutiny in public markets, especially as investors shift focus to actual revenue growth and profitability.
- Leadership Risks: Investing in SpaceX means investing in Elon Musk's leadership, whose attention is divided among Tesla, X (formerly Twitter), and other ventures; any controversial remarks or shifts in focus could lead to significant stock price volatility, increasing investment uncertainty.
- Regulatory and Execution Risks: Space exploration requires stringent regulatory approvals, and any changes in policy or international disruptions could delay launch schedules and escalate costs, with public investors typically lacking the patience for such major setbacks, potentially leading to sell-offs.
- Alternative Investment Opportunities: Given the potential risks associated with a SpaceX IPO, investors might consider alternatives like AST SpaceMobile, Rocket Lab, Alphabet, or Nvidia, which offer smoother and more predictable growth opportunities while still providing exposure to technologies driving the space economy.
See More
AST SpaceMobile Faces Pullback but Outlook Remains Positive
- Stock Price Decline: AST SpaceMobile's shares have fallen over 30% from their January peak, primarily due to uncertainties from the Middle East conflict and distractions from SpaceX's upcoming IPO, compounded by overall market weakness.
- Significant Tech Potential: The company is developing a satellite-based mobile broadband network, planning to launch between 45 and 60 satellites by the end of this year, addressing connectivity needs in remote areas, with the satellite broadband market projected to exceed $70 billion by 2035.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts forecast AST SpaceMobile's revenue to rise from $71 million last year to over $180 million this year, with projections of at least $785 million next year, indicating strong business growth potential.
- Market Reaction Pattern: Despite the 30% pullback, historical trends show that AST SpaceMobile's stock typically rebounds to new highs after similar declines, suggesting that investor sentiment will likely turn positive in response to this year's scheduled satellite launches.
See More
Clearwater and Super Micro See Active Options Trading
- Clearwater Options Volume: Clearwater Analytics saw options trading volume of 35,505 contracts, equating to approximately 3.6 million shares, which is about 76% of its average daily trading volume of 4.7 million shares over the past month, indicating strong market interest in its future performance.
- High-Frequency Trading Insight: Within Clearwater, the $20 strike put option has been particularly active, with 17,734 contracts traded today, representing around 1.8 million shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential price declines.
- Super Micro Options Activity: Super Micro Computer experienced options trading volume of 343,082 contracts, representing approximately 34.3 million shares, or about 73.1% of its average daily trading volume of 46.9 million shares over the past month, showcasing significant market interest in its stock.
- Bullish Call Option Trend: For Super Micro, the $25 strike call option saw trading of 33,405 contracts today, equating to approximately 3.3 million shares, indicating investor confidence in the company's potential for future price increases.
See More
U.S. Space Force Budget Sees Significant Increase
- Significant Budget Increase: The U.S. Space Force's budget for fiscal 2026 reaches approximately $40 billion, more than doubling from $15 billion in 2021, reflecting Congress's heightened focus on space defense and expected to drive growth for related companies.
- Investment in Hypersonic Weapons: The Air Force allocates $387.1 million to resume production of the Air-Launched Rapid Response Weapon and $802.8 million for the Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile flight testing, indicating a shift in defense spending towards advanced technology weapons.
- Strategic Partnership: Starfighters Space announces a strategic partnership with Blackstar Orbital to advance flight testing of reusable hypersonic systems, marking a critical transition from simulation to real-world flight validation, enhancing its competitive edge in the defense market.
- Expanding Market Opportunities: Starfighters Space operates the only commercial fleet of F-104 aircraft capable of sustained Mach 2+ speeds, positioning itself as a unique provider of flight testing environments, likely attracting more defense contracts and commercial partnerships to solidify its market position.
See More
Starfighters Space Partners with Blackstar Orbital to Advance Hypersonic Testing
- Defense Budget Surge: The U.S. Space Force's budget for FY2026 reaches approximately $40 billion, more than doubling from $15 billion in FY2021, reflecting urgent needs for hypersonic weapons and space infrastructure, which is expected to drive market opportunities for related companies.
- Strategic Partnership: On March 30, 2026, Starfighters Space announced a strategic partnership with Blackstar Orbital to advance the testing of reusable hypersonic space systems from simulation to real-world flight validation, enhancing its competitiveness in the defense market.
- Technological Advancements: The integration of Starfighters' F-104 aircraft with Blackstar's SpaceDrone aims for flight tests at speeds up to Mach 2, which, if successful, will provide the U.S. Space Force with rapid reconstitution and on-orbit flexibility capabilities, aligning with its core strategic needs.
- Market Opportunities: As the defense and commercial space sectors converge, Starfighters Space is well-positioned in a rapidly growing market due to its unique operational capabilities and government relationships, which are expected to attract more investment and secure key contracts.
See More
Market Volatility and Amazon's Acquisition Talks
- Market Volatility: Stocks experienced significant declines at the open on Thursday due to President Trump's hawkish remarks on the Iran war, which raised concerns and caused oil prices to surge; however, news of Iran working with Oman on a shipping protocol eased oil price pressures, allowing the S&P 500 to briefly trade higher, reflecting the market's high uncertainty.
- Amazon Acquisition Talks: Amazon is in negotiations to acquire satellite company Globalstar to advance its internet-from-space service, Leo, having launched about 200 low Earth orbit satellites despite competition from SpaceX's Starlink, which has over 10,000 satellites; this move is expected to enhance rural internet access and make Prime membership more attractive.
- Microsoft's AI Investment Lag: A profile on Microsoft CFO Amy Mood highlighted the company's conservative approach to AI spending, which has led to a competitive disadvantage, with the stock down 23% year-to-date; nevertheless, analysts remain optimistic about management's ability to address these challenges, maintaining a $600 price target.
- Rapid Stock Review: Stocks mentioned in Thursday's rapid-fire segment included Brinker, Texas Roadhouse, and Constellation Brands, indicating a focus on diversified investment strategies while emphasizing Jim Cramer's long-term holding approach in specific stocks within his charitable trust.
See More
Analyzing Risks and Investment Insights for SpaceX IPO
- Valuation Risks: SpaceX's current valuation of $1.25 trillion is primarily based on unproven future promises like global internet coverage and Mars colonization, which may face severe scrutiny in public markets, especially as investors shift focus to actual revenue growth and profitability.
- Leadership Risks: Investing in SpaceX means investing in Elon Musk's leadership, whose attention is divided among Tesla, X (formerly Twitter), and other ventures; any controversial remarks or shifts in focus could lead to significant stock price volatility, increasing investment uncertainty.
- Regulatory and Execution Risks: Space exploration requires stringent regulatory approvals, and any changes in policy or international disruptions could delay launch schedules and escalate costs, with public investors typically lacking the patience for such major setbacks, potentially leading to sell-offs.
- Alternative Investment Opportunities: Given the potential risks associated with a SpaceX IPO, investors might consider alternatives like AST SpaceMobile, Rocket Lab, Alphabet, or Nvidia, which offer smoother and more predictable growth opportunities while still providing exposure to technologies driving the space economy.
See More
