Analysts Predict DFUV Will Reach $49
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 02 2025
0mins
Should l Buy GBTG?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Analysis: The Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF (DFUV) has an implied analyst target price of $49.07, indicating a potential upside of 9.69% from its current trading price of $44.73.
Notable Holdings: Key underlying holdings with significant upside potential include Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (38.84% upside), Riverview Bancorp, Inc. (31.58% upside), and Global Business Travel Group Inc (23.94% upside), based on their respective analyst target prices.
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Analyst Views on GBTG
Wall Street analysts forecast GBTG stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.260
Low
8.00
Averages
10.25
High
12.00
Current: 5.260
Low
8.00
Averages
10.25
High
12.00
About GBTG
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (Amex GBT) is a business-to-business (B2B) software and services company for travel, expense, and meetings and events. The Company operates American Express Global Business Travel. The Company provides a full suite of differentiated, technology-enabled solutions to business travelers and clients, suppliers of travel content (such as airlines, hotels, ground transportation providers and aggregators) and third-party travel agencies. The Company manages end-to-end logistics of business travel and provides a link between businesses and their employees, travel suppliers, and other industry participants. Its range of travel and expense solutions are underpinned by specialized professional services, including Amex GBT Meetings & Events and GBT Consulting. With its GBT Partner Solutions program, the Company extends its software and service platform to third-party travel management companies (TMCs) and independent advisors (Network Partners).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Executive Sale Details: John David Thompson, CTO of Global Business Travel Group, sold 109,020 shares on March 4, 2026, for approximately $626,000, representing 12.91% of his direct holdings, indicating a cautious stance amid market fluctuations.
- Transaction Context: This sale marks Thompson's largest open-market transaction to date, with his previous sale involving only 4,239 shares, suggesting that his confidence in the stock may be influenced by current market conditions.
- Company Performance Overview: Despite the sale, Global Business Travel Group achieved a 12% year-over-year revenue growth in 2025, reaching $2.7 billion with a net income of $111 million, demonstrating resilience in challenging times.
- Market Outlook: The company anticipates a revenue increase of about 20% in 2026, projecting around $3.2 billion, and given the current low stock valuation, investors may find it an opportune time to buy rather than sell.
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- Significant Performance Growth: In 2025, total transaction value (TTV) surged by 45% to $10 billion, while revenue increased by 34% to $792 million, demonstrating strong performance in core business and post-CWT acquisition, which is expected to drive sustained growth going forward.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: The company doubled its share repurchase authorization to $600 million, with management asserting that this move will significantly enhance shareholder value at current stock prices, reflecting strong confidence in long-term growth prospects.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management reiterated guidance for 2026 revenue between $3.235 billion and $3.295 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 19% to 21%, while adjusted EBITDA is projected to reach between $615 million and $645 million, showcasing confidence in future performance.
- AI-Driven Innovation: The upcoming next-gen Egencia platform will leverage AI technology, expected to enhance user experience and drive business efficiency, with management emphasizing that AI will be a key driver for profit and operational efficiency improvements.
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- Strong Earnings Report: Global Business Travel Group reported Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.22, beating expectations by $0.18, indicating a significant improvement in profitability and boosting market confidence in future performance.
- Robust Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $792 million, a 34% year-over-year increase, aligning with market expectations and demonstrating sustained strong demand in the recovery phase, further solidifying its industry position.
- 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed: The company reiterated its 2026 revenue growth guidance of 19% to 21%, projecting revenue between $3.235 billion and $3.295 billion, reflecting management's confidence in future growth and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Free Cash Flow Expectations: The projected free cash flow for 2026 is between $125 million and $155 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 20% to 49%, which will provide ample funding for future investments and shareholder returns.
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- Buyback Program Expansion: American Express Global Business Travel has expanded its share repurchase program from $300 million to $600 million, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth and aiming to enhance shareholder value and market sentiment.
- Q4 Revenue Growth: The company anticipates a 34% increase in fourth-quarter revenue to $792 million, surpassing the market consensus of $789.48 million, indicating strong market demand and effective business strategies.
- Full-Year Performance Outlook: Revenue for the full year is expected to grow by 12% to $2.718 billion, with Total Transaction Value (TTV) projected to increase by 17% to $36 billion, and adjusted EBITDA expected to rise by 11% to $532 million, showcasing the company's sustained profitability and competitive position.
- Future Growth Guidance: The company has guided for FY2026 revenue growth of 19% to 21%, targeting a range of $3.235 billion to $3.295 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to grow between 16% to 21%, further solidifying its leadership in the industry.
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Company Overview: American Express Global Business Travel (Amex GBT) is a leading travel management company.
Financial Performance: The company reported a preliminary net income of USD 111 million.
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- Successful Refinancing: American Express Global Business Travel has successfully refinanced and upsized its senior secured first lien term loan facility to $1 billion, demonstrating strong company performance and investor confidence.
- Best-in-Class Terms: The terms of this refinancing are considered best-in-class for companies with similar credit ratings, reflecting the company's opportunistic approach in a favorable credit market, enhancing its financial flexibility.
- Enhanced Integration Capability: By increasing the loan capacity, the company is better positioned to integrate CWT and execute its strategies for growth, margin expansion, and cash generation while maintaining a strong balance sheet.
- Increased Market Confidence: CFO Karen Williams stated that this financing not only enhances the company's market position but also lays a solid foundation for future growth, boosting investor confidence.
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