Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of ABNB stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock recently experienced a significant decline of 5.95% to close at $152.66 on February 23rd. The stock has shown increased volatility with a trading range between $150.83 and $155.30.

Fundamental Strengths

• Strong Financial Performance:

  • Q4 2024 revenue: $2.50 billion (+12% YoY)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $765 million
  • Free cash flow: $458 million
  • Gross booking value: $17.6 billion (+13% YoY)

• Robust Balance Sheet:

  • $8.1 billion in net cash
  • Generated $638 million in net interest income (2023)
  • Superior position compared to competitors like Hyatt (-$2.3B net debt) and Marriott (-$11.5B net debt)

Growth Catalysts

1. International Expansion:

• Focusing on new markets including Japan, South Korea, Latin America, India, and Southeast Asia
• Currently has 5 million+ hosts globally
• 7.7 million active listings (+18% YoY)

2. Product Development:

• Relaunching Experiences segment
• Continued platform improvements
• Focus on global market penetration

Risk Factors

1. Regulatory Challenges:

• Increasing regulations in major cities
• New York's recent restrictions impacting operations
• 80% of top 200 cities now have some form of regulation

2. Market Concerns:

• Slowing demand in North America
• Longer booking lead times showing weakness
• Competitive pressures in the travel industry

Valuation

The stock currently trades at:

• Forward P/E: 28x
• P/FCF: 25.9x (compared to industry peers Hyatt at 32.8x and Marriott at 28x)

Analyst Consensus

Based on 21 analysts:

• Strong Buy: 19.05% (4 analysts)
• Buy: 19.05% (4 analysts)
• Hold: 42.86% (9 analysts)
• Strong Sell: 19.05% (4 analysts)
• Average Price Target: $150.48 (+3.02% upside)

Conclusion

HOLD/ACCUMULATE. While ABNB shows strong fundamentals and healthy financials, current market conditions and regulatory headwinds suggest a cautious approach. The stock appears fairly valued at current levels, with limited near-term upside potential based on analyst consensus.

Based on the provided web search results and data, here is the analysis for ABNB's price prediction in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current price of ABNB is $146.07. The stock shows the following technical signals:

• RSI (14) at 56.42 indicates neutral momentum [Relevant Data]
• MACD is positive at 5.69 with histogram at 1.98, suggesting bullish momentum
• Key support at $135.93 and resistance at $159.72 based on Fibonacci levels

Fundamental Drivers & Growth Catalysts

According to recent analyst reports:

• Strong operational performance with in-app bookings accounting for 60% of nights booked
• 12.3% year-over-year growth in booked nights and experiences
• Robust consumer demand and market share gains
• Global average daily rate (ADR) increased 0.7% in Q4 2024

2025 Price Predictions from Multiple Sources

Based on analyst consensus and forecasts:

1. Near-term (Q1-Q2 2025):

• Expected range of $140-155
• Potential upside of 11.76% from current levels by mid-2025

2. Year-end 2025:

• Base case: $170-175 range
• Bull case: Could reach $190-200 if travel demand remains strong
• Bear case: May drop to $120-130 if economic conditions worsen

Key Risk Factors

1. Short-term headwinds:

• Q1 2025 revenue guidance of $2.23-2.27B below expectations
• Slight declines expected in average daily rates
• Potential decrease in nights booked year-over-year

2. Long-term concerns:

• Increased competition in online booking space
• Regulatory challenges in key markets
• Economic recession risks

Conclusion

Based on comprehensive analysis of multiple forecasts and current market conditions, ABNB is expected to trade in the range of $170-175 by end of 2025, representing approximately 15-20% upside from current levels. The positive outlook is supported by:

• Strong operational metrics and market share gains
• Stabilizing occupancy rates around mid-50% levels
• Slowing supply growth reducing competitive pressure
• Growing demand for large, budget-friendly properties

The S1 support level for ABNB Stock is $136.47 ,The R1 resistant level for ABNB Stock is $160.26.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of ABNB Stock was $142.58.

The target price for ABNB Stock according to analyst rating is 161.33, with the highest price target at 225.00 and the lowest at 120.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on ABNB Stock overall.

The market cap of ABNB is $89.3B.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze whether ABNB is overvalued in 5 concise sentences:

ABNB appears overvalued with a forward P/E ratio of 33.3x against an expected earnings growth rate of 12.7%, resulting in a relatively high PEG ratio of 2.63. The company's current valuation metrics are trading at a premium compared to the leisure and recreation services industry average, with ABNB's forward P/E significantly higher than the industry average of 20.2x. While Airbnb boasts impressive gross margins of 82.6% and strong fundamentals with $11 billion in cash against only $2.3 billion in debt, the company faces increasing regulatory headwinds in major tourist cities worldwide that could impact its growth trajectory. The stock is currently trading above analysts' average price target of $148.85, suggesting limited upside potential at current levels. Despite being a great business with robust cash flow generation, the combination of rich valuation multiples, regulatory challenges, and potential interest income pressure in 2024 due to expected rate cuts indicates the stock is overvalued at current prices.

Airbnb, Inc. operates a global platform for stays and experiences. The Company’s marketplace model connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences around the world. It built its platform to onboard new hosts, especially those who previously had not considered hosting. It partners with hosts throughout the process of setting up their listing and provides them with a suite of tools to manage their listings, including scheduling, merchandising, integrated payments, community support, host protection, pricing guidance, and feedback from reviews. Its Website and mobile applications provide its guests with a way to explore a variety of homes and experiences and an easy way to book them. Its technology platform powers its two-sided marketplace and enables its global network of hosts and guests. The Company owns a trademark portfolio with protection in 170 countries in which it operates for its primary brands, AIRBNB, and its Belo logo.

Based on the provided data and market research, here is a comprehensive analysis for ABNB's stock price prediction for 2030:

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show:

• RSI at 56.42 indicating neutral momentum
• MACD showing positive trend with value at 5.69
• Stock trading above key moving averages (50-day, 200-day)

Growth Fundamentals & Market Position

2030 Price Target Analysis

Based on multiple analyst forecasts and growth projections:

• Base Case: $350 Expected to be driven by:

• Continued expansion in global markets

• Growth in long-term stays segment

• Enhanced platform capabilities through AI integration

• Bull Case: $400-450 [1, 2] Potential catalysts:

• Successful expansion into new verticals

• Higher than expected margin expansion

• Accelerated adoption of remote work trends

• Bear Case: $250-300 [1, 3] Risk factors:

• Increased competition from traditional hotels

• Regulatory headwinds in key markets

• Economic slowdown impacting travel demand

Key Growth Drivers

1. Market Expansion

• Strong international growth potential
• Focus on underpenetrated markets
• Enhanced product-market fit initiatives

2. Platform Innovation

• AI integration for improved user experience
• New revenue streams from additional services
• Enhanced host and guest features

3. Financial Strength

• Robust free cash flow generation
• Asset-light business model
• Strong balance sheet for strategic investments

Conclusion

Based on the analysis of multiple forecasts and growth drivers, ABNB has a strong probability of reaching the $350 price target by 2030, representing a ~140% increase from current levels. This projection is supported by:

• Continued market leadership in alternative accommodations
• Strong execution of growth initiatives
• Robust financial position

ABNB has a total of 6907 employees.