Should I Buy GBTG? GBTG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Global Business Travel Group Inc (GBTG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

5.610

1 Day change

-0.36%

52 Week Range

9.020

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: momentum is still bearish (MACD worsening) and price is weak below the key pivot (6.837).
Oversold RSI (11.88) can trigger a short bounce, but without a proprietary buy signal and with downside-biased pattern stats, the risk is that weakness continues toward 5.63 support.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.147 and negatively expanding = bearish momentum still building.
RSI: RSI_6 at 11.881 = deeply oversold; bounce potential exists, but oversold alone is not a confirmed reversal.
Moving averages: converging MAs suggest consolidation after a drop, not a confirmed uptrend restart.
Levels: Pivot 6.837 (price below = bearish), near S1 6.091 (already slightly under at 6.01 post-market); next support S2 5.629. Upside resistances: R1 7.584, R2 8.046.
Statistical pattern read-through: similarity-based odds skew negative (next week -2.59%, next month -2.36%).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call OI ratio 0.24 indicates more call OI than put OI (bullish tilt), but today’s options volume is 0 (very low/illiquid signal quality).
Volatility: 30D IV 112.29 vs historical vol 47.65 and IV percentile 96.81 = options are pricing very large moves; this often coincides with uncertainty ahead of an event window.
Takeaway: bullish OI skew, but lack of volume and extremely elevated IV make sentiment harder to trust and option buying expensive.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

citing strategic moves/partnerships and synergy/efficiency-driven EBITDA upside.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

while volume is absent—adds “event risk” without clear directional confirmation.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $674M, +12.90% YoY (clear top-line growth).
Earnings/Profitability: Net Income - $62M (down -51.94% YoY), EPS -0.13 (down -53.57% YoY) — losses deepened despite revenue growth.
Margins: Gross margin 52.67%, down 0.81% YoY — slight margin compression.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: price targets have been raised.
- 2025-12-02: Evercore ISI raised PT to $12 from $10; rating Outperform.
- 2025-11-11: Morgan Stanley raised PT to $8 from $7; rating Equal Weight.
Wall Street pros: synergy/efficiency upside (notably tied to acquisitions) and improving longer-term EBITDA trajectory; stock seen as under-followed.
Wall Street cons: despite higher PTs, at least one major firm stays neutral (Equal Weight), and the current financial profile still shows widening losses—limiting near-term conviction.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GBTG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GBTG is 10.25 USD with a low forecast of 8 USD and a high forecast of 12 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 5.630

Low

Averages

10.25

High

Current: 5.630

Low

Averages

10.25

High

Evercore ISI

Outperform

maintain

$10 -> $12

AI Analysis

2025-12-02

Reason

Evercore ISI

Price Target

$10 -> $12

AI Analysis

2025-12-02

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Evercore ISI raised the firm's price target on Global Business Travel to $12 from $10 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. GBTG's strategic moves and partnerships are "positioning it well for future growth," but the stock is "still flying under the radar" despite a "notable" increase in adjusted EBITDA projections for 2027, driven by acquisition synergies and operational efficiencies, the analyst tells investors.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

maintain

$7 -> $8

2025-11-11

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$7 -> $8

2025-11-11

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Global Business Travel to $8 from $7 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Following the Q3 report, the firm increased its FY25 and FY26 adjusted EBITDA estimates by 3% and 14%, respectively, to reflect the CWT acquisition, the analyst tells investors.

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GBTG Should I Buy

GBTG Should I Buy

Should You Buy Global Business Travel Group Inc (GBTG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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