Analysis of Upcoming Dividend Increases
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy SYF?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Nasdaq Dividend Growth: Nasdaq (NDAQ) is projected to increase its dividend by 12.5% in 2025, with a current yield of 1.3%, reflecting strong profitability and a consistent dividend growth potential despite its long-term performance mirroring tech-heavy indices.
- Synchrony Financial Outlook: Synchrony Financial (SYF) plans a 20% dividend increase in 2025, with a current yield of 1.8%, and its payout represents only 13% of estimated 2026 earnings, indicating room for further dividend expansion despite earnings variability.
- Victory Capital's Investment Strategy: Victory Capital (VCTR) is expected to raise its dividend by 4.2% in 2025, currently yielding 3.0%, and despite a recent failed acquisition attempt, the company maintains a strong history of dividend growth, with an announcement anticipated in early May.
- Paychex Market Performance: Paychex (PAYX) is projected to increase its dividend by 10.2% in 2025, with a yield of 4.7%, and despite facing economic headwinds, the company is expected to announce a dividend increase in early May, reflecting management's confidence in the current employment landscape.
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Analyst Views on SYF
Wall Street analysts forecast SYF stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 76.200
Low
83.00
Averages
94.60
High
101.00
Current: 76.200
Low
83.00
Averages
94.60
High
101.00
About SYF
Synchrony Financial is a consumer financial services company focused on delivering digitally enabled product suites. The Company provides a range of credit products through financing programs it has established with a diverse group of national and regional retailers, local merchants, manufacturers, buying groups, industry associations and healthcare service providers. It offers private label, dual card, co-brand, and general-purpose credit cards, as well as short- and long-term installment loans, and savings products through Synchrony Bank (the Bank). The Company primarily manages its credit products through five sales platforms such as Home & Auto, Digital, Diversified & Value, Health & Wellness and Lifestyle. The Bank offers directly to retail, affinity relationships and commercial customers, a range of deposit products, including certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts (IRAs), money market accounts, savings accounts and sweep and affinity deposits.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Partnership Expansion: Synchrony has expanded its partnership with Lowe's by launching the MyLowe's Pro Rewards American Express® Card, aimed at providing professional customers with broader spending rewards and flexible financing options, thereby enhancing customer purchasing power and loyalty.
- Versatile Usage: The new card can be used not only at Lowe's stores but also anywhere American Express is accepted, which is expected to significantly enhance the convenience of spending and rewards earning potential for professional customers, further boosting Lowe's competitiveness in the professional market.
- Simplified Application: Professional customers can apply for the new card through Lowe's website or in-store, streamlining the application process and improving customer experience, which is anticipated to attract more small and medium-sized business clients and increase Lowe's market share.
- Reward Mechanism: The card offers MyLowe's Pro rewards points with an annual spending cap of $1.5 million, designed to meet the needs of professional customers who rely on Lowe's by providing tangible everyday value, thereby further solidifying Lowe's leadership position in the industry.
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- New Card Launch: Synchrony has partnered with Lowe's to introduce the MyLowe's Pro Rewards American Express® Card, designed to help professional customers maximize rewards and savings at Lowe's and beyond, thereby enhancing purchasing power.
- No Annual Fee Benefit: The new card offers MyLowe's Pro rewards points with no annual fee, attracting more small to medium-sized business customers, which is expected to boost customer loyalty and purchase frequency.
- Enhanced Application Convenience: Customers can apply for the new card in Lowe's stores or online, streamlining the application process, which is anticipated to accelerate purchasing decisions and increase overall sales.
- Deepened Strategic Partnership: This collaboration with American Express not only strengthens Lowe's financial product offerings but also meets the diverse needs of professional customers through flexible financing options, further solidifying Lowe's leadership position in the home improvement market.
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- Stable Rate Policy: The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds rate between 3.5%-3.75% is generally positive for savers; however, some banks have still lowered their high-yield savings account rates, indicating competitive pressures in the market.
- Yield Cuts by Banks: According to a BTIG report, three major banks—Capital One, Synchrony, and Marcus by Goldman Sachs—have recently reduced their annual percentage yields, following a cut by Ally Financial, reflecting adjustments in banking strategies under yield pressure.
- Shifting Market Expectations: While analysts believe the Fed will not cut rates, bank earnings reports indicate robust consumer spending and lending in the U.S., suggesting that growth expectations remain intact, which could influence future rate decisions.
- Deposit Product Yield Comparison: Despite some banks lowering rates, Bread Financial and LendingClub maintain a 4% yield, but they are expected to follow suit with cuts, highlighting the ongoing competition for high-yield deposit products in the market.
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- Delinquency Rate Decline: According to Seeking Alpha, the delinquency rate for credit cards at major U.S. banks dropped from 2.81% in February to 2.70% in March, which is not only below the March 2025 average of 2.84% but also lower than the pre-pandemic level of 2.76%, indicating an improvement in consumer credit conditions.
- Charge-Off Rate Decrease: The average net charge-off rate for March was 3.38%, down from 3.83% in February and significantly lower than the 4.34% recorded in March 2025, suggesting a reduction in household borrowing and a decrease in credit risk.
- Consumer Behavior Shift: Households are pulling back on borrowing and reducing revolving balances, reflecting a trend of debt repayment and moderated spending, supported in part by seasonal inflows such as tax refunds.
- Credit Card Usage Trends: Average credit card balances and utilization rates declined month-over-month in March, further confirming the trend of consumer deleveraging, indicating a more cautious approach to credit card usage in the market.
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- Rating Downgrade: BTIG analyst Vincent Caintic downgraded Synchrony Financial (SYF) from Buy to Neutral, indicating that the current stock price adequately reflects both positive and negative factors, suggesting a cautious outlook for the next 12 months.
- Stock Fluctuation: Following a 17% rise over the past month, Synchrony Financial (SYF) shares slipped 0.9% in Wednesday's premarket trading, reflecting market sensitivity to the rating change.
- Buyback Program: Synchrony's buyback program represents 13% of its market cap, providing support for its business despite concerns over higher revenue-sharing arrangements and compressed net interest margins due to strong credit performance.
- Market Expectations: Caintic noted that the current Neutral rating aligns with the SA Quant Hold rating and contrasts with the average Wall Street Buy rating, indicating a divergence in market expectations regarding Synchrony's future performance.
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- Record Purchase Volume: Synchrony Financial achieved a record purchase volume of $43 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase, which not only demonstrates strong market demand but also lays a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Strong Co-branded Card Performance: Co-branded credit cards accounted for 51% of total purchase volume, increasing by 20% year-over-year, indicating a sustained enhancement in customer loyalty and market share, further solidifying the company's position in the credit card market.
- New Share Buyback Program: The Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program of up to $6.5 billion, commencing in Q2 2026 with no expiration date, which is expected to boost investor confidence and potentially enhance shareholder returns.
- Net Earnings and Outlook: The company reported net earnings of $805 million, or $2.27 per diluted share, while management anticipates full-year earnings per share to range between $9.10 and $9.50, reflecting optimism regarding the company's profitability and growth potential moving forward.
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