Analysis of Nvidia's Financial Evolution and Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Fool
- Initial Growth Phase: Before the 1999 launch of the GeForce 256 GPU, Nvidia's revenue was modest, but from 1999 to 2003, sales skyrocketed 12-fold to $1.91 billion, with a profit of $91 million, indicating the initial release of its market potential.
- Post-Crisis Recovery: Despite achieving $4.1 billion in sales and nearly $800 million in profit in fiscal 2008, Nvidia faced consecutive losses in 2009 and 2010 due to rising R&D costs following the financial crisis, testing investor patience and confidence.
- Rapid AI Business Growth: Starting in 2017, Nvidia's AI-related business surged, with revenue nearly quadrupling and net income climbing almost sixfold from 2017 to 2022, resulting in a stock price increase of over 1,000%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 132% gain.
- Recent Financial Performance: Although sales growth stalled in fiscal 2023 with net income plunging over 50%, Nvidia's sales soared from $27 billion to $187 billion over the past 12 months, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 102%, demonstrating its strong market recovery capability.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 175.750
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 175.750
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surging Order Forecast: CEO Jensen Huang indicated that Nvidia expects approximately $1 trillion in purchase orders for its Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips by 2027, doubling last year's forecast of $500 billion, signaling sustained strong demand for AI chips.
- Future Revenue Expectations: Nvidia anticipates first-quarter revenue of $78 billion for fiscal year 2027, representing an almost 77% increase compared to the same period last year, reflecting strong growth potential in the Agentic AI applications sector, which will further drive demand for AI chips.
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- Surging Order Forecast: CEO Jensen Huang indicated that Nvidia expects approximately $1 trillion in purchase orders for its Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips by 2027, doubling last year's forecast of $500 billion, signaling sustained strong demand for AI chips.
- Future Revenue Expectations: Nvidia anticipates first-quarter revenue of $78 billion for fiscal year 2027, representing an almost 77% increase compared to the same period last year, reflecting strong growth potential in the Agentic AI applications sector, which will further drive demand for AI chips.
- High Market Valuation: Despite Nvidia's forward P/E ratio of 30, significantly above the average of 20.9 for the tech sector, investors believe the premium is justified given the company's outstanding financial results and its position in a rapidly growing market.
See More
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- Surging Market Demand: Taiwan Semiconductor expects the AI chip market to grow at a mid-to-high 50% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, planning to invest between $52 billion and $56 billion in capital expenditures in 2023 to meet rising demand, thereby solidifying its leadership in the AI sector.
- Memory Chip Outlook: Micron Technology anticipates the high-bandwidth memory market will expand from $35 billion to $100 billion between 2025 and 2028; despite price cooling due to Google's TurboQuant algorithm, the sustained demand for memory chips highlights its long-term investment value.
- Custom Chip Innovation: Broadcom focuses on designing custom AI chips, which are expected to generate over $100 billion in annual revenue by 2027, benefiting from the increasing demand for specific workloads in the AI industry, showcasing significant growth potential.
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- Policy and Investment Dialogue: According to founder Cosmano Lombardo, artificial intelligence has become a political and technological priority, and the summit aims to foster broad discussions among businesses, institutions, and the research community to drive targeted investments and clear regulations.
- Diverse Agenda Setting: The summit will include 13 thematic stages covering areas such as AI for Future, Robotics, and AI Commerce, with experts from Microsoft, LG Nova, and Google sharing insights to promote technological innovation.
- Exhibition Area Showcasing Cutting-edge Technologies: An expo area will complement the program, showcasing high-impact AI solutions from startups across over 90 countries, facilitating technology exchange and collaboration to address WMF's 14 Future Challenges.
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- Stable Dividend Growth: With a 70-year streak of dividend increases, Northwest Natural offers a relatively high dividend yield of 3.69%, providing investors with a reliable cash flow despite competition from larger multi-state utilities.
- Strong Financial Performance: Marzetti reported $1.01 billion in revenue for Q2 of fiscal 2026, reflecting a 3.6% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share of $3.86, up 13.5% from the previous year, indicating successful brand expansion efforts.
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See More
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- Surging Market Demand: Taiwan Semiconductor expects the AI chip market to grow at a mid- to high-50% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, planning to invest $52 billion to $56 billion in capital expenditures in 2023, thereby solidifying its leadership position in the AI competition.
- Memory Chip Demand: Micron Technology anticipates the high-bandwidth memory market will expand from $35 billion to $100 billion between 2025 and 2028, and despite price cooling due to Google's TurboQuant algorithm, the strong demand for memory indicates significant investment potential in the coming years.
- Custom Chip Innovation: Broadcom is set to benefit from the skyrocketing demand for custom AI chips, with projections indicating these chips could generate over $100 billion annually by the end of 2027, highlighting Broadcom's substantial growth potential with its $68 billion annual revenue.
- GPU Market Dominance: Nvidia's revenue is projected to rise by 71% this year and 30% next year, with its stock trading at a forward P/E of only 20.2, close to the S&P 500's 20.4, indicating a rare investment opportunity that investors should not overlook.
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- Geopolitical Impact: Gold contracts have plunged over 10% since the onset of the Iran war, yet Newmont's underlying business remains robust, suggesting that as geopolitical tensions ease, investors are likely to refocus on gold and Newmont stock.
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