1st Source To Achieve Superior Operating Leverage, Profitability In 2025: Analyst
Analyst Upgrade: Piper Sandler upgraded 1st Source Corp's rating from Neutral to Overweight, raising the price target from $70.00 to $72.50, anticipating a 10% growth in pre-provision net revenue and a 1.6% return on assets for 2025.
Market Performance: Shares of 1st Source increased by 4.24% to $59.97, with management indicating potential loan growth adjustments based on deposit gathering capabilities.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: 1st Source reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.63 for Q1, indicating a significant increase compared to the previous year, which boosts investor confidence in the company's profitability.
- Robust Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $113.14 million in Q1, reflecting an 8.7% year-over-year increase, showcasing its competitive position and sustained customer demand in the market, thereby solidifying its market presence.
- Improved Financial Health: With ongoing revenue growth and enhanced profitability, 1st Source's financial condition has strengthened, providing robust support for future investments and expansions, signaling the company's growth potential ahead.
- Strong Dividend Performance: The company demonstrated solid dividend payment capabilities in its earnings report, attracting more investors seeking stable returns, which further enhances its appeal in the capital markets.
- Dividend Stability: 1st Source has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share, consistent with the previous quarter, demonstrating the company's stability and ongoing profitability in the current economic environment.
- Yield Performance: The forward yield of 2.37% provides investors with a relatively attractive return, enhancing the company's appeal in the capital markets.
- Shareholder Rights Assurance: The dividend will be payable on February 13, with a record date of February 3 and an ex-dividend date also on February 3, ensuring timely protection of shareholder rights.
- Consecutive Dividend Payments: The company has now announced a $0.40 dividend for two consecutive quarters, reflecting its stable cash flow and commitment to shareholders, which may attract more long-term investors' attention.
- Earnings Highlight: 1st Source reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $1.67, reflecting a year-over-year increase that demonstrates the company's sustained profitability, likely boosting shareholder confidence.
- Revenue Performance: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $110.83 million, indicating robust business growth, particularly driven by rising demand in core markets, which may facilitate future investment and expansion plans.
- Historical Data Comparison: Compared to historical financial data, the current quarter's performance underscores the company's competitive advantage in the market, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Dividend Scorecard: 1st Source's strong dividend score indicates a commitment to shareholder returns, which is expected to enhance long-term investor retention and loyalty.

Stock Performance: 1st Source (SRCE) has seen a 13% increase in stock price this year and a 31% rise over the past three years, outperforming many regional peers, with a current price of $65.48.
Valuation Insights: The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9x, which is modestly cheaper than the US banking sector average, suggesting it may be undervalued despite a fair value estimate of $132.36 based on discounted cash flow analysis.
Growth Potential: Continued growth in earnings and loan demand is crucial for sustaining SRCE's performance, as any economic downturn could challenge its current valuation.
Investment Opportunities: The article encourages investors to explore additional opportunities, including undervalued stocks, healthcare AI stocks, and dividend stocks with yields over 3%, while emphasizing that the analysis is not financial advice.
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF Analysis: The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) has an implied analyst target price of $244.73 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 13.17% from its recent trading price of $216.26.
Notable Holdings with Upside Potential: Key underlying holdings of VIG, such as 1st Source Corp (SRCE), Veralto Corp (VLTO), and German American Bancorp Inc (GABC), show significant upside potential, with target prices exceeding their current trading prices by 19.11%, 16.03%, and 15.94%, respectively.
Analyst Target Price Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high target prices could lead to downgrades if they are based on outdated information.
Investor Research Recommendation: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analysts' targets in light of recent company and industry developments.
- 52 Week Range: SRCE's stock has a 52-week low of $52.14 and a high of $68.125, with the last trade recorded at $61.22.
- Dividend Stocks: The article mentions a link to find 9 other dividend stocks that have recently crossed above their 200-day moving average.
- Author's Opinion: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
- Market Analysis: The information provided reflects a snapshot of SRCE's stock performance within the context of broader market trends.







