Similarweb Reports Q4 Results, Revenue Misses Expectations
Similarweb Ltd's stock fell sharply, crossing below its 5-day SMA, as the company reported its Q4 financial results. The firm posted a Non-GAAP EPS of $0.03, meeting expectations, but its revenue of $72.8 million fell short by $3.57 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth. Additionally, the GAAP operating loss widened to $23.6 million, reflecting ongoing pressure on cost control and a decline in the dollar-based net retention rate for high-value customers.
The disappointing revenue results and widening losses have raised concerns among investors, leading to a significant drop in the stock price. Despite a year-over-year revenue increase of 11% and a total customer count of 6,128, the challenges in maintaining high-value customer retention and the overall financial performance have overshadowed these positives.
As the market remains strong, with the Nasdaq-100 up 0.51%, Similarweb's decline appears to be a case of sector rotation, as investors react to the company's financial struggles amidst broader market gains.
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- Revenue Growth: Similarweb reported $72.8 million in revenue for Q4 2025, marking an 11% year-over-year increase, although this fell short of expectations due to the delayed closure of two major LLM data training contracts, which remain active and are anticipated to become significant multi-year revenue opportunities.
- Profitability Improvement: The company achieved a non-GAAP operating profit of $3.4 million in Q4, reflecting a 5% margin, an improvement from $2.6 million and a 4% margin in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability through disciplined cost management.
- AI Revenue Growth: AI-related revenue constituted 11% of total sales in Q4, up from 8% at the end of Q2 2025, demonstrating that investments in innovative AI solutions are driving business growth, with 60% of annual recurring revenue now derived from multi-year contracts.
- Future Outlook: Similarweb expects total revenue for 2026 to range between $305 million and $315 million, representing a 10% year-over-year growth, while Q1 revenue guidance is set at $72 million to $74 million, reflecting a cautiously optimistic outlook despite uncertainties in market demand.
- Market Performance: U.S. stocks broadly rose on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining over 1% and the Dow up 0.57% to close at 49,814.98, indicating positive market sentiment and increased investor confidence.
- Sector Dynamics: Energy stocks rose by 1.6% on Wednesday, reflecting optimistic expectations for energy demand, while real estate stocks fell by 1.2% on Tuesday, highlighting challenges faced by the sector amid market uncertainties.
- Durable Goods Orders: U.S. durable goods orders fell by 1.4% month-over-month in December, contrasting sharply with a revised 5.4% gain in November, suggesting a potential slowdown in economic growth that could impact future consumer and investment decisions.
- Commodity Markets: Oil prices increased by 4.2% to $64.93 per barrel, gold rose by 2.3% to $5,020.40, and silver climbed 6.2% to $78.120, indicating a rising demand for commodities as investors seek safe-haven assets.
- Strong Earnings Report: Palo Alto Networks reported fiscal Q2 revenue of $2.59 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.58 billion, indicating robust performance in the cybersecurity sector despite a challenging market environment.
- Earnings Beat: The company posted adjusted earnings of $1.03 per share, exceeding analyst estimates of 94 cents, demonstrating its continued profitability amidst fierce market competition.
- Guidance Downgrade: Palo Alto lowered its full-year adjusted earnings guidance from a range of $3.80 to $3.90 per share to a new range of $3.65 to $3.70, below the market estimate of $3.86, which may impact investor confidence.
- Stock Price Volatility: In pre-market trading, Palo Alto's shares fell 7.5% to $151.20, reflecting the market's negative reaction to the lowered guidance, potentially leading to subdued investor sentiment in the short term.
- Earnings Surprise: Pitney Bowes reported an adjusted EPS of 45 cents for Q4, surpassing the analyst consensus of 38 cents, indicating strong profitability and boosting investor confidence.
- Sales Miss: The quarterly sales of $478 million fell short of the expected $486.68 million, highlighting some market demand challenges that could impact future revenue growth.
- Stock Surge: The company's shares jumped 7.9% to $11.05 in pre-market trading, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding its future prospects and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Positive Guidance: Pitney Bowes issued FY26 adjusted EPS guidance with a midpoint above estimates, further strengthening market confidence in its long-term growth potential.
- Financial Overview: Similarweb reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.03, meeting expectations, but revenue of $72.8 million, up 11% year-over-year, fell short by $3.57 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth.
- Annual Financial Highlights: Total revenue for FY 2025 reached $282.6 million, a 13% increase from $249.9 million in FY 2024; however, GAAP operating loss widened to $23.6 million or 8% of revenue, reflecting pressure on cost control.
- Customer Growth Metrics: As of December 31, 2025, the total number of customers reached 6,128, an 11% increase year-over-year, with 454 customers generating annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $100,000 or more, up 12%, highlighting the appeal of high-value clients.
- Retention Rate Analysis: The dollar-based net retention rate for customers with ARR over $100,000 was 103% in Q4 2025, down from 112% in Q4 2024, indicating challenges in maintaining high-value customer retention.
- Figma Stock Performance: Figma's RSI stands at 26.9, indicating an oversold condition, with a 28% decline in stock price over the past month; analysts have lowered the price target from $65 to $48, reflecting cautious market sentiment regarding its future performance.
- Similarweb Rating Adjustment: Similarweb's RSI is at 29, nearing oversold territory, with a 10% drop in stock price over the past five days; analysts have reduced the price target from $12 to $10, indicating concerns about its short-term growth potential.
- Nutanix Downgrade: Nutanix's RSI is at 27.9, also indicating oversold status, with a 14% decline in stock price over the past five days; analysts have lowered the price target from $64 to $53, reflecting a reassessment of its future profitability.
- Market Rebound Signs: Despite recent declines in Figma and Nutanix's stock prices, both saw increases of 5% and 3.4% respectively on Thursday, suggesting potential rebound interest from the market, which may present buying opportunities for investors.










