Costco Reports Strong Q3 Sales Growth Despite Market Weakness
Costco's stock fell by 3.00% and hit a 20-day low amid broader market gains, with the Nasdaq-100 up 0.46% and the S&P 500 up 0.28%.
Despite the stock's decline, Costco reported significant sales growth in Q3, with net sales reaching $69.15 billion, an 11.6% increase year-over-year, although it fell short of Wall Street's expectations. The company also saw a net income increase to $2.19 billion, reflecting effective cost control and strong consumer demand for essentials, which positions Costco favorably in the retail market.
The strong sales performance indicates that Costco is maintaining its competitive edge, particularly as consumers prioritize essential goods during economic uncertainty. This could lead to continued growth in future quarters, despite the current stock price decline.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on COST
About COST
About the author

- Price Fluctuation Analysis: IWF's 52-week low is $100.4703 per share, with a high of $129.14, while the last trade was at $122.79, indicating price volatility near the high point that may influence investor buying decisions.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest share price to the 200-day moving average provides valuable insights for investors, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buying opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF shares outstanding focuses on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and market sentiment.
- New Fed Chair: Kevin Warsh's assertive tone at his first press conference indicates a potential shift in monetary policy, leading to an overreaction in the market, as evidenced by rising futures this morning, which may influence investor sentiment moving forward.
- Apple Price Increase: Apple plans to raise prices on its iPhone Pro model by approximately $270 due to surging memory costs, while carriers may still offer attractive deals to cushion the impact on consumers, which could affect Apple's competitive positioning in the market.
- Intel Collaboration News: President Trump announced on social media that Apple has agreed to collaborate with Intel to design and manufacture chips in America, resulting in a surge in Intel's stock price, reflecting a strong support for domestic manufacturing and potential growth opportunities.
- Marvell Price Target Increase: KeyBanc raised Marvell's price target from $260 to $385, with analysts expressing optimism about the company's prospects in server networking, indicating strong confidence in its future growth potential.
- Dividend Growth: Target has approved an annual dividend of $4.64 per share, reflecting a modest 1.8% increase, the smallest in 55 years, which may disappoint some investors but still demonstrates the company's commitment to shareholders.
- Sales Recovery: In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Target's net sales surged nearly 7%, contrasting sharply with a 2% decline in fiscal 2025, indicating a gradual recovery under the new CEO's leadership.
- Investment and Costs: Despite a 25% drop in Q1 profit to $781 million, the company's $5 billion investment in technology and product mix led to a 21% increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses, explaining the modest dividend hike.
- Liquidity Assurance: With $3.5 billion in liquidity, Target can cover its $516 million dividend payments in the near term, even though it reported negative free cash flow of $319 million, as its $2.8 billion free cash flow in fiscal 2025 sufficiently covered nearly $2.1 billion in dividend costs.
- Strong Performance by TJX: In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, TJX reported a 9% year-over-year sales increase, with comparable sales up 6% and earnings per share rising 29% to $1.29, reflecting robust performance in a high-inflation environment, prompting management to raise full-year guidance.
- Diverse Business Model: With over 5,000 stores across 10 countries and six e-commerce sites, TJX attracts a large number of value-seeking consumers by purchasing overstock and post-season merchandise, enhancing its market share and competitive edge.
- Costco's Price Advantage: Costco's sales grew 11.6% year-over-year in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, with comparable sales up 9.8% and e-commerce sales rising 21.5%, demonstrating its strong appeal and profitability during inflationary periods.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Costco aims to open 30 new stores annually, currently operating only 639 locations in the U.S. and not yet in every state, indicating significant future growth opportunities, with a dividend yield of 0.6% at present.
- Sales Recovery: Target's net sales surged nearly 7% in Q1, contrasting with a 2% decline in fiscal 2025, indicating a gradual recovery under new CEO leadership, although overall profitability remains under pressure.
- Dividend Policy: The company approved an annual dividend of $4.64 per share, with a modest 1.8% increase marking the smallest hike in 55 years, yet it maintains its 'Dividend King' status, reflecting a commitment to shareholders.
- Investment Commitment: The new CEO has pledged $5 billion to upgrade stores and improve product mix, aiming to enhance long-term competitiveness and market share despite challenges like high inventory and rising operational costs.
- Financial Position: Although Q1 free cash flow was negative at $319 million, the company holds $3.5 billion in liquidity, sufficient to cover quarterly dividend expenses, indicating short-term financial stability.
- TJX Sales Growth: In the first quarter of fiscal 2027, TJX reported a 9% year-over-year sales increase and a 6% rise in comparable store sales, with earnings per share (EPS) up 29% to $1.29, demonstrating strong performance during high inflation and an expectation to capture more market share.
- Costco Pricing Strategy: Costco is lowering prices on staple items to attract customers, reporting an 11.6% year-over-year sales increase and a 9.8% rise in comparable sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, along with a 21.5% growth in e-commerce sales, showcasing its strong market appeal.
- Long-Term Growth Potential: Costco aims to open 30 new stores annually, currently operating only 639 locations in the U.S. and just beginning its international expansion, providing a robust growth trajectory that will further solidify its market position.
- Dividend Yields: Both TJX and Costco offer growing dividends, with current yields of 1% and 0.6% respectively, providing additional returns for shareholders and bolstering investor confidence amid economic uncertainties.










