Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) has experienced a significant decline of 8.20% in pre-market trading, primarily driven by technical signals rather than any specific company news. The stock has crossed below its 5-day simple moving average (SMA), a bearish indicator that often leads traders to sell.
The broader market context shows major benchmarks trading sideways with mixed signals, with an average decline of around 0.15% for the session. This lack of clear direction in the market can exacerbate individual stock movements, particularly for those that are technically weak.
Despite Burlington's recent positive earnings report, which highlighted a 23% increase in net income and a raised EPS guidance, the stock's current movement reflects the influence of technical factors over the optimistic financial outlook. Investors are advised to monitor both technical indicators and market conditions closely.
Wall Street analysts forecast BURL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BURL is 334.62 USD with a low forecast of 310.00 USD and a high forecast of 363.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BURL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BURL is 334.62 USD with a low forecast of 310.00 USD and a high forecast of 363.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 292.510
Low
310.00
Averages
334.62
High
363.00
Current: 292.510
Low
310.00
Averages
334.62
High
363.00
Deutsche Bank
Krisztina Katai
Hold
resume
$318
2026-01-08
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Krisztina Katai
Price Target
$318
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
resume
Hold
Reason
Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai resumed coverage of Burlington Stores with a Hold rating and $318 price target. The firm resumed coverage of global brands, off-price, and specialty beauty retail. Following a "surprisingly strong" year for retail, Deutsche is entering 2026 with optimism as it anticipates a "volatile but broadly risk-on" macro environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees solid top-line trends, particularly in the first half of the year, due to easier weather comparisons and a boost in tax refunds.
Bernstein
Bernstein
Outperform
maintain
$335 -> $350
2026-01-06
Reason
Bernstein
Bernstein
Price Target
$335 -> $350
2026-01-06
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Bernstein raised the firm's price target on Burlington Stores to $350 from $335 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Despite weak macro and consumer sentiment, Discretionary Goods spend held up in 2025, although the sector overall underperformed the market. The firm sees two specific pockets of opportunity into 2026, namely higher-income exposed names, which outperformed in 2025 and should continue to benefit from stronger consumer sentiment and fiscal stimulus; and clearly dislocated Sportswear brands that have derated despite positive revisions and guidance raises, and should benefit from a continued secular behavioral shift towards Sports Footwear in 2026.
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Guggenheim
Neutral
initiated
2025-12-09
Reason
Guggenheim
Price Target
2025-12-09
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Guggenheim initiated coverage of Burlington Stores with a Neutral rating and no price target. The retail sector still seems to be perceived as "structurally sick," but the firm says "holiday brought the cheer," tariffs have been manageable so far and "most importantly and likely going unnoticed" is the fact that the majority of the firm's coverage actually operates at, or close to, their gross margin peaks.
Goldman Sachs
Buy
maintain
$338 -> $331
2025-11-26
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$338 -> $331
2025-11-26
maintain
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs lowered the firm's price target on Burlington Stores to $331 from $338 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. While Goldman remains encouraged by Burlington's strengthening margin execution as the company executes its transformation initiatives and effectively mitigates tariffs and believes that key BURL 2.0 initiatives are enabling stronger merchandising and product, Burlington's relative performance vs. peers weakened sequentially and was not fully explainable by weather, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The company has not yet shown consistency in execution on a quarterly basis, the firm says.
About BURL
Burlington Stores, Inc. is an off-price retailer of branded merchandise at everyday low prices. The Company’s stores offer an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women’s ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts and coats. Its broad selection provides a wide range of apparel, accessories and furnishings for all ages. It sells a broad selection of merchandise acquired directly from manufacturers and other suppliers. It has six distribution centers. Its three east coast distribution centers are located in Edgewater Park, New Jersey; Burlington, New Jersey; and Logan, New Jersey. Its three west coast distribution centers are located in San Bernardino, California, Redlands, California, and Riverside, California. These six distribution centers occupy an aggregate of 5,135,000 square feet, and each includes processing, shipping and storage capabilities. It operates in about 1,108 stores.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
