Will Oil Stocks Experience a Decline? Insights from the Charts.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 06 2026
0mins
Source: Barron's
Crude Oil Price Surge: Crude oil prices have increased significantly, with the United States Brent Oil Fund rising nearly 25% in a week due to heightened tensions in the Middle East.
Investor Sentiment: Investors are preparing for potential supply disruptions, leading to increased activity in the oil market.
Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, stocks in the oil sector may be due for a pause or a tactical pullback.
Market Outlook: The current market conditions suggest a cautious approach as volatility in the oil sector continues.
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Analyst Views on MPC
Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 250.860
Low
184.00
Averages
201.50
High
213.00
Current: 250.860
Low
184.00
Averages
201.50
High
213.00
About MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream, and midstream energy company. The Company's segment includes Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, to buyers on the spot market and through long-term supply contracts with dealers who operate locations under the ARCO brand.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Call Scheduled: Marathon Petroleum Corporation will host a conference call on August 4, 2026, at 11 a.m. EDT to discuss its second-quarter financial results for 2026, which is expected to attract significant attention from investors and analysts alike.
- Webcast Availability: Interested parties can listen to the conference call by visiting Marathon Petroleum's website, and a replay of the webcast will be available for two weeks post-event, allowing investors who cannot attend live to catch up on the discussion.
- Financial Information Release: Prior to the conference call and webcast, Marathon Petroleum will publish financial information online, including the earnings release and other investor-related materials, ensuring that investors have timely access to critical information for informed decision-making.
- Company Overview: Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated energy company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio, operating the largest refining system in the U.S. and managing a network of branded retail outlets nationwide, underscoring its strong market position in the energy sector.
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- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.11%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.57%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index fell by 0.18%, indicating a complex market sentiment particularly influenced by the pressure on energy stocks due to declining oil prices.
- Oil Price Impact: WTI crude oil prices dropped over 3% to a 3.25-month low, easing inflation expectations and providing support for stocks and bonds, reflecting a cautious market outlook on future economic growth.
- Weak Housing Data: US May housing starts fell by 15.4% month-over-month to a six-year low of 1.177 million, below the expected 1.430 million, indicating potential challenges for economic recovery stemming from a sluggish real estate market.
- FOMC Meeting Focus: Market attention shifts to the two-day FOMC meeting, where rates are expected to remain unchanged, but the press conference led by new Chair Kevin Warsh will be pivotal in shaping future monetary policy directions.
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- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 rose by 1.65%, the Nasdaq 100 surged by 3.06%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new record high, reflecting investor optimism about market prospects, particularly driven by gains in technology stocks.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell over 4% to a three-month low due to the US-Iran peace agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing inflation expectations and boosting risk appetite in the equity markets.
- Weak Economic Data: The US June Empire Manufacturing Survey index dropped to 5.7, below the expected 13.7, indicating weakness in manufacturing that could pressure stocks, yet simultaneously supported gains in Treasury bonds.
- Tech Stocks Lead Gains: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks performed strongly, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF rising over 5% and Western Digital up more than 15%, demonstrating strong market confidence in the technology sector.
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- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 rose by 1.67% and the Nasdaq 100 by 2.79%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting a new record high, reflecting optimistic market sentiment driven primarily by gains in technology stocks.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell over 5% to a three-month low due to the US-Iran peace agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, easing inflation expectations and providing support for equity markets.
- Weak Economic Data: The US June Empire Manufacturing Index dropped to 5.7, below the expected 13.7, while May manufacturing production remained unchanged, and the June NAHB housing market index unexpectedly fell to 35, indicating fragility in the economic recovery that could impact future market confidence.
- Tech Stocks Lead Gains: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks surged, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF up over 4% and Western Digital soaring more than 14%, demonstrating strong market confidence in the tech sector, particularly amid rising risk appetite.
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- SpaceX IPO Performance: SpaceX shares surged 19% on their Nasdaq debut from the IPO price of $135 per share and gained an additional 9% on the second day, reflecting strong investor confidence and raising a total of $85.7 billion, including the underwriters' greenshoe overallotment.
- Ferrari Stock Upgrade: Morgan Stanley upgraded Ferrari from equal weight to overweight with a price target of $438, resulting in a 5% stock increase, as analysts noted that the brand's decline over the past year was due to value compression rather than earnings deterioration, indicating sustained demand for its luxury models.
- Tripadvisor Strategic Sale: Tripadvisor's stock rose nearly 7% following the announcement of the sale of its European online restaurant reservation platform, The Fork, to American Express, a move driven by activist investor Starboard's push for strategic options to enhance overall company value.
- Energy Stocks Decline: Energy stocks fell sharply as U.S. oil prices dropped 5% to around $80 per barrel due to a U.S.-Iran deal, with shares of APA, Devon Energy, Marathon Petroleum, and EOG Resources all declining, reflecting market concerns about the energy sector's outlook.
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- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 index rose by 1.62%, the Nasdaq 100 increased by 2.73%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new high, reflecting investor optimism about market prospects, particularly driven by gains in technology stocks.
- Impact of Plummeting Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices fell over 5% to a three-month low, easing inflation expectations and pushing global bond yields lower, which provided support for the stock market, especially benefiting airline and mining stocks.
- Weak Economic Data: The US June Empire manufacturing index dropped to 5.7, below the expected 13.7, indicating signs of economic slowdown; however, the market remains optimistic about future economic recovery.
- Tech Stocks Lead Gains: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks performed strongly, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF up over 4% and Western Digital soaring more than 15%, indicating a robust recovery in the tech sector and an increase in investor risk appetite.
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