What's Going On With ASML Stock Wednesday?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 17 2024
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Source: earning
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Analyst Views on ASML
Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1734.190
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Current: 1734.190
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
About ASML
ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Milestone Valuation: ASML has become the first publicly traded company in European history to surpass a $700 billion market value, with its stock climbing over 4% to approximately $1,830 on Tuesday, reflecting investor recognition of its central role in the AI-driven semiconductor boom.
- Strong Earnings Support: The company reported €8.8 billion in sales and a 53% gross margin for Q1 2026, both at the high end of guidance, while raising its full-year sales outlook to €36 billion to €40 billion, further solidifying bullish market sentiment.
- Institutional Interest: The Baron Opportunity Fund initiated a position in ASML during Q1, indicating strong institutional interest, especially following direct discussions with Elon Musk regarding the proposed $119 billion TeraFab semiconductor project, which enhances future demand expectations for ASML's EUV machines.
- Technical Trend Analysis: While ASML's stock remains in a long-term uptrend with support levels near $1,650, analysts express caution regarding delays in High-NA EUV adoption and geopolitical risks, indicating market uncertainty about future developments.
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- Historic IPO: SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share, raising approximately $75 billion by selling 555.6 million shares, making it the largest IPO in U.S. history and significantly boosting the company's valuation to $1.77 trillion.
- Market Rebound: U.S. stock indices surged as hopes for a resolution in the U.S.-Iran conflict led to a 1.8% rise in the S&P 500, a 3.3% increase in the Nasdaq 100, and a 1.9% gain in the Dow Jones, reflecting investor optimism about market prospects.
- Tech Stocks Lead Gains: Technology stocks saw significant gains, with Nvidia, Google, and Amazon all rising, and Micron Technology leading with an 11.6% increase, indicating strong confidence in the tech sector's performance.
- Oil Price Decline Impact: Following Trump's announcement to cancel military strikes against Iran, West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 2.58%, alleviating inflation concerns and providing support for recovery in other sectors.
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- Market Rebound: The S&P 500 rose 1.75%, the Dow Jones increased by 1.86%, and the Nasdaq 100 surged 3.29% as President Trump canceled military strikes on Iran, indicating a positive market response to easing geopolitical tensions.
- Chip Stocks Lead Gains: AI-related stocks drove chipmakers like Sandisk up over 14% and KLA Corp up over 13%, reflecting ongoing confidence in AI spending, which may further boost growth in the tech sector.
- Airline Stocks Benefit: With WTI crude oil prices falling more than 2%, airline stocks such as Alaska Air Group rose over 11%, and United Airlines and American Airlines increased over 9%, suggesting that lower fuel costs will enhance profitability prospects for these companies.
- Software Stocks Under Pressure: Oracle's stock fell over 8% due to higher-than-expected capital expenditures projected at $70 billion, exceeding market expectations by $20-25 billion, indicating concerns in the software sector that could impact overall tech stock performance.
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- Historic IPO: SpaceX plans to go public on June 12 with a target valuation of $1.77 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history; however, its valuation stands at 95 times its 2025 sales, indicating potential overvaluation risks.
- Oversubscription Phenomenon: The IPO is reportedly more than four times oversubscribed, suggesting that it could start trading at over 100 times sales, which raises concerns for an unprofitable company.
- Competitor Analysis: In contrast to SpaceX, Broadcom and ASML are viewed as more stable investment options, with Broadcom's AI chip sales surging 65% in fiscal 2025 and projected to reach $100 billion by 2027, highlighting its strong growth potential in the AI market.
- ASML's Market Position: As the sole producer of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, ASML is expected to see revenue and EPS grow at CAGRs of 17% and 26% from 2025 to 2028, solidifying its critical role in the semiconductor market.
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- Stock Price Surge: ASML shares rose 5.2% to $130.81 by 11:40 a.m. ET Thursday, primarily driven by Oracle's earnings report exceeding expectations, reflecting market confidence in ASML's future growth.
- Oracle's Strong Earnings: Oracle reported earnings of $2.11 per share and quarterly sales of $19.2 billion, both surpassing analyst expectations, which not only boosted Oracle's market performance but also indirectly benefited ASML.
- Capital Raising Plans: Oracle plans to raise an additional $20 billion through debt issuances and share sales, following $48 billion raised last year, which will fund its data center expansion and further drive AI chip demand.
- Positive Impact on ASML: Oracle's substantial spending is expected to increase demand for ASML's AI chip manufacturing equipment, with projections indicating a 23% earnings growth for ASML over the next five years, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
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- Earnings Beat: Oracle reported earnings of $2.11 per share and quarterly sales of $19.2 billion, both exceeding analyst expectations, indicating strong demand and competitive positioning in the AI sector.
- Funding Plans: Oracle intends to raise another $20 billion through debt issuances and share sales, in addition to the previously announced $20 billion and $48 billion raised last year, highlighting its significant funding needs for AI data center construction.
- Cash Flow Pressure: With Oracle burning $23.7 billion annually to support its long-term contracts worth hundreds of billions, investor concerns are rising; however, the company views these investments as essential for future growth.
- Positive Impact on ASML: Oracle's funding needs imply substantial cash flow to chip suppliers and manufacturing equipment companies like ASML, suggesting ASML could achieve 23% earnings growth over the next five years, contributing to its stock price increase.
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