Trump's Social Media Post Triggers Market Volatility
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 24 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MSFT?
Source: CNBC
- Market Reaction: Trump's social media announcement regarding a five-day halt on energy strikes in Iran triggered significant market volatility, despite Iranian state media denying any negotiations, indicating a high level of skepticism among traders.
- Stock Market Instability: The 600-point rally in the Dow quickly faded in Asia, with early indicators suggesting European and U.S. stocks are set to open lower, primarily due to rising oil prices, as Brent crude surpassed $100 per barrel.
- Gold Market Decline: Gold prices continued to slide into bear market territory as a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields diminished the metal's appeal, prompting investors to unwind positions.
- Ongoing M&A Activity: The announcement of merger talks between U.S. beauty giant Estée Lauder and Spanish beauty group Puig led to an almost 8% drop in Estée Lauder's shares, while Puig's shares rose about 3%, reflecting the market's sensitivity to M&A news.
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Analyst Views on MSFT
Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
32 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 420.260
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
Current: 420.260
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company. The Company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The Company’s segments include Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services. This segment primarily comprises: Office Commercial, Office Consumer, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business solutions. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of server products and cloud services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses (CALs), and Nuance and GitHub; and Enterprise Services, including enterprise support services, industry solutions and Nuance professional services. The More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows, Devices, Gaming, and search and news advertising.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Upcoming Earnings Report: Microsoft is set to release its fiscal 2026 Q3 earnings on April 29, which is expected to provide crucial updates on AI products and services like the Copilot virtual assistant and Azure cloud platform, potentially acting as a bullish catalyst for the stock.
- Copilot Adoption Surge: As of December 31, only 15 million Copilot for 365 licenses were sold, reflecting a modest penetration rate of 3.7%, yet this represents a 160% year-over-year increase, indicating strong market demand, with investors looking for higher growth figures in the earnings report.
- Azure as Growth Engine: Microsoft invested $118 billion in data centers over the past four quarters, with Azure revenue growing at least 39% year-over-year in the first two quarters of fiscal 2026, highlighting its status as the fastest-growing segment, despite facing significant order backlogs.
- Valuation Appeal: With a current P/E ratio of 26.4, below its five-year average of 32.9, Microsoft appears undervalued, and if it can alleviate concerns regarding its cloud order backlog in the earnings report, the stock could rise by 24%, offering substantial returns for investors.
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- Microsoft's Strong Performance: Microsoft's shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer Software industry over the past year with a 16.3% increase, driven by robust AI business momentum and widespread adoption of Copilot, which has propelled growth in Productivity and Business Processes revenue, showcasing the company's strategic advantage in cloud infrastructure expansion.
- AbbVie's Successful New Drugs: AbbVie's stock has outperformed the Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry with a 25.9% increase over the past year, successfully navigating the loss of exclusivity for Humira by launching new immunology drugs Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are expected to support revenue growth in the coming years despite facing some market pressures.
- BHP's Continued Growth: BHP's shares have risen 79.8% over the past year, with a 2% increase in iron ore output in the first half of fiscal 2026, and the company projects annual production between 258-269 million tons, indicating its strategic positioning in the global decarbonization trend.
- CBL Properties' Outstanding Performance: CBL & Associates Properties' shares have surged 98.4% over the past year, with a market capitalization of $1.33 billion, as management enhances financial flexibility through capital recycling and asset optimization strategies, despite challenges from tenant disruptions and economic slowdowns.
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- New Revenue Catalyst: Utility companies are experiencing a new revenue source driven by increasing energy and resource demands from data centers, which could not only boost stock prices but also maintain or even grow dividend payouts, enhancing investor confidence.
- Infrastructure Investment: American Electric Power plans to invest $72 billion in infrastructure over the next five years to support its operations and capitalize on the growth of the data center market, which is projected to rise from approximately $300 billion in 2026 to around $699 billion by 2034.
- Strategic Merger: The merger between American Water Works and Essential Utilities will enable the combined entity to meet the demand for water and cooling solutions from data centers, with expectations that the new entity will continue to follow American Water's dividend growth targets, further enhancing market competitiveness.
- M&A Potential: Black Hills is planning a merger with NorthWestern Energy Group, which, if approved, will create Bright Horizon Energy, expected to continue paying dividends with a current yield of 3.7%, the highest among the three highlighted companies, indicating strong cash flow and investment appeal.
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- Revenue Growth Potential: Utility companies have traditionally faced revenue growth constraints due to regulated pricing structures; however, the increasing demand from data centers is changing this dynamic, which is expected to drive sales growth and enhance stock prices.
- Infrastructure Investment: American Electric Power plans to invest $72 billion in infrastructure over the next five years to support its operations and capitalize on the growth opportunities in the data center market, with the global data center market projected to grow from $300 billion in 2026 to $699 billion by 2034.
- Strategic Merger: The merger between American Water Works and Essential Utilities will enable the company to meet the demand for water and cooling solutions from data centers, further strengthening its market position in the utility sector while maintaining a 2.5% dividend yield.
- M&A Outlook: Black Hills' planned merger with NorthWestern Energy Group, if approved, will create Bright Horizon Energy, which is expected to continue paying a 3.7% dividend, further solidifying its competitive position in the electricity and natural gas markets.
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- AI Infrastructure Costs: This year, spending on GPUs and CPUs is expected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars, causing investor anxiety regarding tech stocks, particularly amid increasing market volatility.
- Microsoft Financial Pressure: Microsoft reported capital expenditures of $37.5 billion in the latest quarter, leading to a 12% decline in stock price year-to-date, despite its core productivity software business remaining robust with nearly 345 million paid Microsoft 365 subscribers.
- Alphabet Market Reaction: Alphabet's announcement of a $185 billion investment in cloud infrastructure this year resulted in a nearly 10% stock drop in March, yet its advertising revenue reached $82.2 billion in Q4, indicating the stability of its core business.
- Palantir Revenue Growth: Although Palantir's stock fell 20% in 2026, its revenue surged 70% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, and it secured $4.26 billion in total contract value this quarter, highlighting its strong market potential and business growth foundation.
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- Microsoft Stock Decline: Microsoft shares are down 12% year-to-date and nearly 22% from all-time highs, despite a robust core business with Microsoft 365 boasting nearly 345 million paid subscribers and a 17% revenue increase in Q2.
- Alphabet's Cloud Investment: Alphabet plans to spend $185 billion on cloud infrastructure this year, leading to a nearly 10% stock drop in March; however, its advertising revenue reached $82.2 billion in Q4, accounting for 72% of total revenue, indicating strong core business health.
- Palantir's Contract Value Growth: Palantir's total contract value reached $4.26 billion this quarter, with a 70% revenue increase to $1.4 billion year-over-year, despite a 20% stock decline, showcasing strong market demand.
- Overreaction in the Market: The author believes that despite short-term volatility in tech stocks, the market often overreacts, presenting opportunities for long-term investors to capitalize on potential recoveries without panicking.
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