Trump Weighs Options for Action on Iran
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 16 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: stocktwits
- High Oil Prices: As the U.S.-Iran conflict enters its third week, crude oil prices remain above $100 per barrel, which could significantly impact the global economy, particularly increasing volatility in energy markets.
- Federal Reserve Meeting Focus: Investors are closely watching this week's Federal Reserve meeting, where rates are expected to remain steady, potentially affecting market liquidity and investor confidence, especially amid pressures on tech stocks.
- Nvidia GTC Conference: Nvidia is set to host its annual GTC conference today, with CEO Jensen Huang's keynote expected to serve as a critical barometer for AI demand, particularly following a profit miss by partner Foxconn, raising market attention on Nvidia's outlook.
- Retail Sentiment Shift: Retail sentiment towards the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and Invesco QQQ Trust has shifted from 'bearish' to 'extremely bearish', reflecting investor concerns about market prospects, which may lead to short-term capital outflows.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 167.520
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 167.520
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Complete Exits: Harbor Capital fully exited four holdings in Q1, including Nike (NKE) and Boston Scientific (BSX), impacting the portfolio by -0.74% and -0.45% respectively, indicating a cautious outlook on these companies.
- Position Reductions: The fund reduced stakes in 34 stocks, notably cutting NVIDIA (NVDA) by 3,792,310 shares, resulting in a 20.42% decrease and a -2.61% portfolio impact, showcasing a strategic response to market volatility.
See More
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- Significant Financing: French AI startup Mistral has successfully secured $830 million in debt financing, which will be allocated towards building a data center near Paris, marking a substantial investment in AI infrastructure.
- Infrastructure Expansion Plans: The company plans to utilize these funds to acquire thousands of Nvidia chips to support the operation of its data center, aiming to enhance its competitiveness in AI model development, particularly against rivals like OpenAI and Anthropic.
- Demand-Driven Strategy: CEO Arthur Mensch stated that with surging demand from governments, enterprises, and research institutions for customized AI environments, Mistral will continue to invest in infrastructure to ensure that AI innovation and autonomy remain central to Europe.
- Strong Banking Support: The financing transaction was backed by a consortium of seven top-tier global banks, including Bpifrance, BNP Paribas, and Crédit Agricole CIB, reflecting strong market confidence in Mistral's future growth.
See More
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- Stock Performance Analysis: Nvidia's stock has risen 50% over the past year but has fallen nearly 20% from its 52-week high, indicating market concerns about its future, particularly amid intensifying competition in the AI sector.
- Valuation Comparison: Although Nvidia's current P/E ratio of 34x is lower than its five-year average of 64x, it still appears relatively expensive compared to the average tech stock's P/E of 34x and the S&P 500's 28x, which may deter value investors.
- Energy Price Impact: Rising oil and gas prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could increase electricity costs, thereby raising the overall expenses associated with AI usage, posing challenges for AI infrastructure development that relies heavily on power.
- Cautious Market Outlook: Given the risks of economic slowdown and the potential bursting of the AI bubble, investors may need to keep Nvidia on their watchlist rather than rushing to buy, to avoid losses amid market volatility.
See More
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- Market Pullback: The S&P 500 has pulled back 7% year-to-date, with AI stocks like Microsoft and Palantir down 26% and nearly 20%, respectively, indicating a market reassessment of these high-valuation stocks that may dampen investor confidence in the short term.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Despite the AI sector facing a reality check similar to the dot-com bubble of 2000, the strong demand for AI solutions suggests that this pullback could be short-lived, presenting a potential entry point for investors.
- Optimistic Earnings Projections: Analysts expect Nvidia to report earnings of $8.27 per share for the current fiscal year, a 74% increase year-over-year, while Microsoft's revenue growth is projected to exceed 16%, indicating that despite high valuations, future profit potential remains robust.
- Market Repricing Process: Many analysts believe the current price adjustments are more of a
See More
Market Dynamics of Artificial Intelligence Stocks
- Market Pullback Analysis: The S&P 500 has seen a 7% year-to-date decline as AI stocks are perceived as liabilities, with Microsoft down 26% from last year-end, indicating heightened investor concerns over high valuations that may lead to short-term market volatility.
- Optimistic Earnings Projections: Despite facing a price reset, analysts expect Nvidia to report earnings of $8.27 per share for the current fiscal year, a 74% increase year-over-year, suggesting that the market remains optimistic about the profitability of the AI sector, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Improved Industry Fundamentals: Unlike the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, current AI companies possess real cash flows and stronger fundamentals, allowing them to remain stable during adjustments and reducing investment risks.
- Emerging Investment Opportunities: Although enthusiasm for AI stocks has waned, the long-term outlook remains positive as the market gains a clearer understanding of these companies' profit potential, presenting savvy investors with opportunities to identify undervalued investments.
See More
Current Status of AI Investment Hype
- Market Volatility: Despite the S&P 500's nearly 80% rise over the past three years, recent concerns about an AI bubble and geopolitical uncertainties have led to fluctuations in AI stock performance, reflecting the complexity of market sentiment.
- AWS Revenue Surge: Amazon's AWS has reached an annual revenue run rate of $142 billion due to surging demand for AI, demonstrating significant impacts on operational efficiency and customer purchasing behavior, thereby reinforcing its market leadership.
- Palantir Contract Growth: Palantir Technologies' AI platform has enabled existing customers to expand contracts significantly, with a utility company increasing its annual contract value from $7 million to $31 million, showcasing the tangible value of AI applications.
- Investment Trends: Major tech companies are expected to invest nearly $700 billion this year to support the demand for AI products and services, indicating strong market confidence and potential growth opportunities for AI, despite challenges faced by individual companies.
See More
