Rivian (RIVN) Q3 Earnings Preview: Anticipations and Insights
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 03 2025
0mins
Should l Buy RIVN?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Rivian's Upcoming Earnings Report: Rivian is set to report its earnings this Tuesday, with analysts expecting a revenue growth of 69.9% year on year to $1.49 billion, following a previous quarter where it beat revenue expectations by 2%.
Analyst Expectations and Performance: Despite a strong revenue forecast, Rivian has missed Wall Street's revenue estimates twice in the past two years, and its adjusted loss is anticipated to be -$0.71 per share.
Comparison with Peers: Rivian's peers, Ford and General Motors, have recently reported their Q3 results, with Ford showing a 9.4% revenue growth and General Motors reporting flat revenue, both exceeding analysts' expectations.
Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment: Rivian's stock price has remained stable over the past month, with an average analyst price target of $14.35 compared to its current price of $13.55, indicating cautious optimism among investors.
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Analyst Views on RIVN
Wall Street analysts forecast RIVN stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
7 Hold
3 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 14.000
Low
10.00
Averages
17.78
High
25.00
Current: 14.000
Low
10.00
Averages
17.78
High
25.00
About RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an automotive manufacturer, which is engaged in developing and building category-defining electric vehicles (EVs) and accessories, as well as software and services that address the entire lifecycle of the vehicle. The Company’s R1 platform consists of two vehicles: the R1T, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck, and the R1S, a three-row seven-passenger sport utility vehicle (SUV). In the commercial market, the Company offers a Rivian Commercial Vehicle (RCV) platform. The vehicle on this platform is the Electric Delivery Van (EDV), designed and engineered by Rivian in collaboration with Amazon. The Company also offers FleetOS, its proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. It also offers a variety of services, including vehicle repair and maintenance, financing, insurance, software subscriptions and FleetOS solutions. Its value-added services include vehicle electrical architecture and software development services, and more.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of Current Electric Vehicle Market Trends
- Sales Growth: Global EV sales surged 21% in 2025, with a notable 33% increase in Europe, indicating strong demand that could enhance market share for related companies.
- China's Market Dominance: EV sales in China grew by 19%, with Tesla holding a 4.4% market share, surpassing Nio, which highlights increasing competitive pressure on Nio in a rapidly consolidating market.
- Challenges for Nio: Nio reported a 15% year-over-year increase in vehicle sales in the latest quarter, yet its net losses reached $488.9 million, indicating a precarious position amid market consolidation and a lack of profitability.
- Rivian's Market Opportunity: Rivian ranks sixth in the U.S. market, achieving an 8% revenue growth in 2025, and while still unprofitable, it is approaching profitability faster than Nio, suggesting a stronger competitive position.
See More
Ten Large-Cap Stocks Shine Last Week
- Magna International Surge: Magna International (NYSE:MGA) shares rose 26.81% this week after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and issuing FY26 adjusted EPS guidance above estimates, indicating strong profitability and market confidence.
- Generac Holdings Jump: Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC) saw a 22.25% increase this week, driven by robust fourth-quarter financial results, while Barclays analyst Christine Cho maintained an Equal-Weight rating and raised the price target from $186 to $213, reflecting optimism about future growth.
- BorgWarner's Strong Performance: BorgWarner (NYSE:BWA) shares gained 20.15% this week after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and announcing a master supply agreement with TurboCell, further solidifying its position in the automotive parts market.
- Smurfit WestRock's Recovery: Smurfit WestRock (NYSE:SW) experienced a 16.81% rise this week after releasing fourth-quarter results, with multiple analysts raising their price forecasts, demonstrating market confidence in its future performance.
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Lucid Group's Strategic Outlook for the Next Decade
- New Model Launch Plans: Lucid Group plans to release several new models in the coming years, particularly an electric SUV priced under $50,000, with production expected to start in late 2026 at its newly upgraded factory in Saudi Arabia, aiming to attract a broader consumer base and increase market share.
- Market Competition Pressure: Currently, Lucid's models are priced over $100,000, making them unaffordable for most consumers, while Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y account for 90% of its sales, indicating that Lucid must quickly adjust its strategy to remain competitive in the market.
- Strategic Shift Direction: Lucid's management has indicated a long-term goal of shifting sales focus from hardware to software, planning to supply advanced driving software to other EV manufacturers; however, the current financial constraints raise concerns about the feasibility of this transition, which is seen as crucial for long-term growth.
- Investor Focus: As Lucid gradually implements its strategic shift, investors should closely monitor its investments and developments in the software sector, particularly under the competitive pressure from rivals like Tesla, as the success of this pivot will directly impact its future market performance.
See More
Lucid Plans to Introduce Cheaper Models
- New Model Strategy: Lucid plans to introduce several new models over the next few years, including an SUV with a starting price under $50,000, aimed at attracting a broader consumer base to address its current high pricing issues and enhance market competitiveness.
- Production Timeline: Although Lucid has committed to starting production of the new models by late 2026, given the company's history of missing production milestones, this timeline may extend to 2027, reflecting its tight financial situation.
- Software and AI Development: Lucid's long-term strategy will shift focus towards software and artificial intelligence, aiming to gradually reduce hardware sales, emulating Tesla's successful model, and striving for a business transformation that enhances overall company value over the next decade.
- Market Competition Pressure: With Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y accounting for over 90% of sales, Lucid must accelerate the launch of more competitive models to ensure survival and growth in the EV market, especially in the face of challenges from competitors like Rivian.
See More
Rivian's Future Outlook in the EV Market
- Competitive Edge: Rivian plans to launch its R2 model in 2026, priced under $50,000, which is expected to enable it to compete with Tesla in the mass market, thereby opening new sales channels and increasing market share.
- Market Demand Opportunity: Surveys indicate that nearly 70% of American consumers want their next vehicle priced under $50,000, and Rivian's R2 model will meet this demand, potentially driving significant sales growth.
- AI Technology Strategy: Rivian's recent key announcements in artificial intelligence indicate that the company is positioning its AI platform at the core of its growth strategy, which is expected to enhance its competitiveness in the future EV market.
- Advancements in Autonomous Driving: With the rapid development of AI technologies, Rivian is poised to improve its self-driving capabilities over the next three years, narrowing the gap with Tesla and securing a more advantageous position in the electric vehicle industry.
See More
TD Cowen Raises Rivian Price Target to $17 Amid Positive Outlook
- Price Target Increase: TD Cowen analyst Itay Michaeli raised Rivian's price target from $13 to $17 while maintaining a Hold rating, indicating confidence in the company's outlook despite market challenges.
- Positive Performance: Rivian's results were encouraging against a backdrop of recent sentiment weakness, suggesting an improvement in its competitive position within the electric vehicle market.
- Optimistic 2026 Guidance: The company's guidance for 2026 aligns closely with consensus expectations, alleviating fears regarding EV and R1 model cannibalization, which reflects management's confidence in future growth.
- Analyst Rating Consistency: In addition to TD Cowen, firms like Cantor Fitzgerald, Benchmark, Mizuho, and Wells Fargo have also raised their price targets for Rivian, highlighting a broader market recognition of its long-term growth potential.
See More
Analysis of Current Electric Vehicle Market Trends
- Sales Growth: Global EV sales surged 21% in 2025, with a notable 33% increase in Europe, indicating strong demand that could enhance market share for related companies.
- China's Market Dominance: EV sales in China grew by 19%, with Tesla holding a 4.4% market share, surpassing Nio, which highlights increasing competitive pressure on Nio in a rapidly consolidating market.
- Challenges for Nio: Nio reported a 15% year-over-year increase in vehicle sales in the latest quarter, yet its net losses reached $488.9 million, indicating a precarious position amid market consolidation and a lack of profitability.
- Rivian's Market Opportunity: Rivian ranks sixth in the U.S. market, achieving an 8% revenue growth in 2025, and while still unprofitable, it is approaching profitability faster than Nio, suggesting a stronger competitive position.
See More
Ten Large-Cap Stocks Shine Last Week
- Magna International Surge: Magna International (NYSE:MGA) shares rose 26.81% this week after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and issuing FY26 adjusted EPS guidance above estimates, indicating strong profitability and market confidence.
- Generac Holdings Jump: Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC) saw a 22.25% increase this week, driven by robust fourth-quarter financial results, while Barclays analyst Christine Cho maintained an Equal-Weight rating and raised the price target from $186 to $213, reflecting optimism about future growth.
- BorgWarner's Strong Performance: BorgWarner (NYSE:BWA) shares gained 20.15% this week after reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and announcing a master supply agreement with TurboCell, further solidifying its position in the automotive parts market.
- Smurfit WestRock's Recovery: Smurfit WestRock (NYSE:SW) experienced a 16.81% rise this week after releasing fourth-quarter results, with multiple analysts raising their price forecasts, demonstrating market confidence in its future performance.
See More
Lucid Group's Strategic Outlook for the Next Decade
- New Model Launch Plans: Lucid Group plans to release several new models in the coming years, particularly an electric SUV priced under $50,000, with production expected to start in late 2026 at its newly upgraded factory in Saudi Arabia, aiming to attract a broader consumer base and increase market share.
- Market Competition Pressure: Currently, Lucid's models are priced over $100,000, making them unaffordable for most consumers, while Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y account for 90% of its sales, indicating that Lucid must quickly adjust its strategy to remain competitive in the market.
- Strategic Shift Direction: Lucid's management has indicated a long-term goal of shifting sales focus from hardware to software, planning to supply advanced driving software to other EV manufacturers; however, the current financial constraints raise concerns about the feasibility of this transition, which is seen as crucial for long-term growth.
- Investor Focus: As Lucid gradually implements its strategic shift, investors should closely monitor its investments and developments in the software sector, particularly under the competitive pressure from rivals like Tesla, as the success of this pivot will directly impact its future market performance.
See More
Lucid Plans to Introduce Cheaper Models
- New Model Strategy: Lucid plans to introduce several new models over the next few years, including an SUV with a starting price under $50,000, aimed at attracting a broader consumer base to address its current high pricing issues and enhance market competitiveness.
- Production Timeline: Although Lucid has committed to starting production of the new models by late 2026, given the company's history of missing production milestones, this timeline may extend to 2027, reflecting its tight financial situation.
- Software and AI Development: Lucid's long-term strategy will shift focus towards software and artificial intelligence, aiming to gradually reduce hardware sales, emulating Tesla's successful model, and striving for a business transformation that enhances overall company value over the next decade.
- Market Competition Pressure: With Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y accounting for over 90% of sales, Lucid must accelerate the launch of more competitive models to ensure survival and growth in the EV market, especially in the face of challenges from competitors like Rivian.
See More
Rivian's Future Outlook in the EV Market
- Competitive Edge: Rivian plans to launch its R2 model in 2026, priced under $50,000, which is expected to enable it to compete with Tesla in the mass market, thereby opening new sales channels and increasing market share.
- Market Demand Opportunity: Surveys indicate that nearly 70% of American consumers want their next vehicle priced under $50,000, and Rivian's R2 model will meet this demand, potentially driving significant sales growth.
- AI Technology Strategy: Rivian's recent key announcements in artificial intelligence indicate that the company is positioning its AI platform at the core of its growth strategy, which is expected to enhance its competitiveness in the future EV market.
- Advancements in Autonomous Driving: With the rapid development of AI technologies, Rivian is poised to improve its self-driving capabilities over the next three years, narrowing the gap with Tesla and securing a more advantageous position in the electric vehicle industry.
See More
TD Cowen Raises Rivian Price Target to $17 Amid Positive Outlook
- Price Target Increase: TD Cowen analyst Itay Michaeli raised Rivian's price target from $13 to $17 while maintaining a Hold rating, indicating confidence in the company's outlook despite market challenges.
- Positive Performance: Rivian's results were encouraging against a backdrop of recent sentiment weakness, suggesting an improvement in its competitive position within the electric vehicle market.
- Optimistic 2026 Guidance: The company's guidance for 2026 aligns closely with consensus expectations, alleviating fears regarding EV and R1 model cannibalization, which reflects management's confidence in future growth.
- Analyst Rating Consistency: In addition to TD Cowen, firms like Cantor Fitzgerald, Benchmark, Mizuho, and Wells Fargo have also raised their price targets for Rivian, highlighting a broader market recognition of its long-term growth potential.
See More
