Investment Opportunities in Rocket Lab and Fluor
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 05 2026
0mins
Should l Buy RKLB?
Source: Fool
- Rocket Lab Financial Growth: Rocket Lab reported full-year revenue of $602 million in 2022 with 21 launches completed, and is projected to reach $880 million in revenue by 2026, achieving profitability by early 2027, indicating strong market demand and growth potential.
- Significant Contract Backlog: Rocket Lab's contract backlog has reached $1.85 billion, a 73% year-over-year increase, and it recently signed an $816 million contract for missile-warning satellites, enhancing its competitive position in the space industry.
- Fluor's Strong Financials: Fluor is expected to generate $15.5 billion in revenue by 2025, with a backlog of $25.5 billion, of which 81% are reimbursable contracts, reducing company risk and enhancing financial stability.
- Share Buyback Plan: Fluor plans to execute a $1.4 billion share buyback in 2026, funded by the sale of NuScale Power shares, demonstrating the company's confidence in future growth.
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Analyst Views on RKLB
Wall Street analysts forecast RKLB stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 82.930
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
Current: 82.930
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
About RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation is an end-to-end space company. The Company designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets, spacecraft and spacecraft components, and related software and services to support the space economy. The Company delivers reliable launch services, satellite manufacture, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions that make it easier to access space. Its Launch Services segment provides launch and launch-related services to customers on a dedicated mission or ride-share basis. Its Space Systems segment comprises the design and manufacture of spacecraft components and spacecraft program management services, space data applications, and mission operations. Its space systems solutions are the building blocks for spacecraft, which include composite structures, reaction wheels, star trackers, solar solutions, radios, separation systems, and command and control spacecraft software.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Stock Surge: Rocket Lab's stock has surged nearly 250% over the past year, climbing from around $21 to over $73, indicating strong market confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Record Revenue Achievement: The company posted a record revenue of $602 million in 2025, up 38% year-over-year, with a backlog soaring 73% to nearly $1.9 billion, showcasing robust business growth potential.
- Strategic Importance of Neutron: The upcoming Neutron rocket will enable Rocket Lab to compete directly with SpaceX's Falcon 9, with an expected launch cost approximately $15 million lower, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape.
- Investment Risks and Opportunities: Despite the high stock price with a P/S ratio of 66 and ongoing losses, the successful rollout of Neutron could enhance profitability, necessitating careful risk-reward assessment by investors.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Rocket Lab achieved record revenue of $602 million in 2025, marking a 38% year-over-year increase, while its backlog surged 73% to nearly $1.9 billion, indicating strong market demand and future growth potential.
- Successful Launch Record: The company executed 21 missions last year with a 100% success rate, which not only enhanced its market credibility but also laid the groundwork for securing an $816 million contract from the Space Development Agency, further solidifying its position in the aerospace sector.
- New Product Driving Growth: The upcoming Neutron medium-lift rocket will enable Rocket Lab to directly compete with SpaceX's Falcon 9 at a launch price of approximately $15 million less, expected to significantly boost the company's market share and revenue potential.
- Investment Risks to Consider: Despite the promising outlook, the stock is currently trading at about 66 times sales and is still operating at a loss, with a nearly $200 million loss in 2025, prompting investors to carefully assess the implications of Neutron's successful launch on future revenue.
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- Technological Advancements: The concept of space-based data centers has shifted from impractical to ideal due to advancements in technology, particularly as terrestrial data centers generate excessive heat that requires efficient cooling, which the cold environment of space can provide.
- Solar Power Advantage: Space data centers can utilize solar energy as a continuous power source, addressing the electricity demands of terrestrial AI data centers, indicating significant sustainability benefits for this technology.
- Decreasing Launch Costs: Since 2010, SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket has reduced launch costs to $2,600 per kilogram, with Falcon Heavy further lowering it to $1,500, and projections suggest costs could drop below $1,000, establishing a solid economic foundation for space data centers.
- Significant Market Potential: Although the realization of space data centers is still a few years away, companies like Rocket Lab are preparing reusable medium-lift rockets capable of launching 13,000 kilograms into orbit, attracting investor interest in this promising market.
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- Cost Reduction Trend: Since 2010, SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket has reduced launch costs from $5,400 per kilogram to $2,600, and further down to $1,500 in 2018, with expectations of dropping below $1,000, making the establishment of space-based data centers increasingly feasible.
- Technology Readiness: AST SpaceMobile has successfully provided broadband internet connectivity from satellites to ordinary mobile phones, demonstrating the maturity of space communication technology, which lays a reliable communication foundation for future space data center operations.
- Significant Environmental Benefits: Space data centers powered by solar energy avoid the high heat and environmental impact generated by terrestrial data centers, showcasing a more eco-friendly operational model that aligns with global sustainability demands.
- Huge Market Potential: As launch costs decrease and technology advances, the concept of space data centers is gradually becoming a reality, attracting attention from industry leaders including Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos, indicating an increase in future investment opportunities.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Rocket Lab (RKLB) reported a record revenue of $602 million for 2025, reflecting a 38% year-over-year increase, showcasing its vertical integration across launch vehicles, spacecraft systems, and orbital infrastructure, with a market cap nearing $49 billion, despite ongoing losses, indicating rapid operational leverage.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) generated $70.9 million in revenue for 2025 and projects revenue between $150 million and $200 million for 2026, holding over $1.2 billion in contracted revenue, highlighting its strong growth potential in building a space-based cellular broadband network.
- Increased Contract Value: Planet Labs (PL) posted $307.7 million in revenue for fiscal 2026, up 26% year-over-year, with a backlog of $900 million and 98% recurring contract value, demonstrating its strong competitive position in the Earth observation market and expected benefits from the SpaceX IPO.
- Industry Restructuring Expectations: SpaceX's IPO is set to reprice the entire space ecosystem, with companies like Rocket Lab, AST SpaceMobile, and Planet Labs positioned to gain greater attention and investment opportunities due to their tight ties to the infrastructure layer.
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- Valuation and Fundraising Goals: SpaceX aims for a $1.75 trillion valuation in its IPO, seeking to raise $75 billion, which would position it as the eighth most valuable company globally; however, such a high valuation necessitates substantial profits to justify it.
- Revenue and Profit Data: Reports indicate that SpaceX generated $15 billion to $16 billion in revenue in 2022, with around $8 billion in profit, and projections suggest that by 2026, its rocket launch and Starlink businesses could yield approximately $20 billion in revenue, highlighting its strong market potential.
- Market Risk Warning: While SpaceX's IPO may initially attract investors, a price-to-sales ratio of 87 suggests excessive optimism about future growth, as historically similar IPOs often surge initially before declining, posing risks for retail investors.
- Alternative Investment Options: For those interested in space exploration investments, it is advisable to consider space-themed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like the Ark Space and Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF, which mitigate risk through diversified holdings while outperforming the S&P 500.
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