Fed Warns of Inflation Risks, Markets React Sharply
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy IBM?
Source: Fool
- Fed Policy Uncertainty: Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted rising inflation expectations during the latest meeting, leading to a 1.63% drop in the Dow Jones, marking its worst month since 2022, as the market adjusted its outlook on future rate hikes despite rates being held steady.
- Rocket Lab Record Contract: Rocket Lab secured a $190 million defense contract, the largest single launch contract in its history, with CEO Peter Beck emphasizing the company's advanced technology and production capabilities, resulting in a total order backlog exceeding $2 billion, positioning it as a key player in the new space era.
- Micron Earnings Miss: Micron reported record revenue and profit, yet its stock fell over 5% as it failed to meet high investor expectations, raising concerns about its ability to sustain memory demand amidst a competitive landscape.
- Alibaba's Performance Decline: Alibaba's adjusted EBITDA fell by 57%, partly due to increased investments in user experience and technology, although AI-related product revenue achieved triple-digit growth for the tenth consecutive quarter, indicating ongoing innovation efforts despite financial setbacks.
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Analyst Views on IBM
Wall Street analysts forecast IBM stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 253.710
Low
210.00
Averages
315.80
High
375.00
Current: 253.710
Low
210.00
Averages
315.80
High
375.00
About IBM
International Business Machines Corporation is a provider of global hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence (AI) and consulting expertise. The Company’s segments include Software, Consulting, Infrastructure and Financing. The Software segment includes hybrid cloud and AI platforms, which allow clients to realize their digital and AI transformations across the applications, data, and environments in which they operate. The Consulting segment focuses on integrating skills on strategy, experience, technology and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment is focused on the hybrid cloud infrastructure market, providing on-premises and cloud-based server and storage solutions. In addition, it offers a portfolio of life-cycle services for hybrid cloud infrastructure deployment. The Financing segment provides client and commercial financing, facilitating its clients’ acquisition of hardware, software and services. It helps clients in more than 175 countries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement: IBM is set to announce its earnings this Wednesday after market close, with the market expecting an 8% year-on-year revenue growth, indicating a recovery from last year's flat revenue and showcasing the company's potential in the tech services sector.
- Performance Beat: Last quarter, IBM reported revenues of $19.69 billion, up 12.1% year-on-year, exceeding analyst expectations and also showing strong performance in earnings per share, reflecting the company's competitiveness in the market.
- Positive Market Sentiment: In the IT services and other tech segments, investor sentiment has been optimistic, with related stocks rising an average of 10.8% over the past month, while IBM's stock has also increased by 2.5%, indicating market confidence in its future performance.
- Stable Analyst Expectations: Despite IBM missing Wall Street's revenue estimates multiple times over the past two years, analysts have generally reaffirmed their expectations over the last 30 days, suggesting a cautiously optimistic outlook for the company's upcoming earnings report.
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- Market Sentiment Stabilizes: U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday morning, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.7% and Dow futures up 0.5%, indicating a stabilizing investor sentiment amid geopolitical pressures, potentially supporting upcoming earnings reports.
- Tesla Earnings Anticipation: Tesla (TSLA) is set to report Q1 earnings after the bell, with market expectations high for its performance in AI and autonomous driving, particularly following reports that Samsung is quadrupling DRAM production for Tesla, reflecting strong confidence in its technological demands.
- IBM Earnings Watch: IBM will also report Q1 earnings early today, with investors closely monitoring commentary on enterprise AI demand and software growth to assess its competitiveness in the rapidly evolving tech landscape.
- Economic Data Catalyst: Traders will be watching for the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report at 10:30 AM ET, which could influence market sentiment and provide critical insights for subsequent trading activities.
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- Earnings Performance: United Airlines reported solid earnings on Tuesday afternoon, yet lowered its guidance partly due to high jet fuel prices, indicating cost pressures impacting profitability.
- Stock Fluctuations: The stock ticked up slightly after hours, but remains 19% below its January high, although it has risen 12% over the past month, reflecting market confidence in its short-term performance.
- Industry Dynamics: Boeing's shares have dropped 12% in the last three months and are 14% off their 52-week high, highlighting concerns in the aerospace manufacturing sector.
- Dividend Yield: AT&T offers a quarterly dividend of 28 cents per share, yielding 4.29%, and despite a 13% decline since its September peak, it continues to attract some investor interest.
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- Executive Transition: Apple has announced that hardware chief John Ternus will take over as CEO on September 1, succeeding Tim Cook, indicating a significant leadership change that may impact the company's strategic direction.
- Chip Strategy Enhancement: Johny Srouji has been appointed as Chief Hardware Engineer, overseeing the development of Apple's in-house chips, signaling the company's commitment to reducing reliance on external suppliers and strengthening its autonomy in chip design.
- AI Capability Boost: Apple's chip team has scaled to thousands of engineers focused on enhancing AI performance on devices, which is expected to further solidify its competitive edge in the smart device market.
- Supply Chain Localization: Apple has committed to a $600 billion investment in the U.S. to establish an end-to-end silicon supply chain, reflecting its emphasis on American manufacturing while potentially enhancing supply chain stability in the global market.
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- Executive Appointments: Apple has appointed Johny Srouji as Chief Hardware Officer while naming John Ternus as the new CEO, marking a significant step in the company's push towards in-house chip development, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the market.
- Chip Autonomy Strategy: Srouji's new role underscores Apple's commitment to in-house chip design, reducing reliance on external suppliers, particularly in the AI sector, which is anticipated to improve product performance and user experience.
- Global Engineering Team Expansion: Apple's chip team has scaled to thousands of engineers across multiple countries, including Israel, Germany, and the U.S., demonstrating its capability and resource integration in global R&D efforts.
- Future Development Direction: Apple plans to continue investing in domestic chip production over the next few years, which is expected to drive innovation in AI and other high-tech fields, further solidifying its market position.
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- Earnings Announcement: IBM is set to release its Q1 earnings on April 22 after market close, with analysts largely optimistic about performance, particularly due to the earlier-than-expected completion of the Confluent acquisition.
- Performance Expectations: Jefferies analysts predict an EPS of $1.81 (+13.1% Y/Y) and revenue of $15.65B (+7.6% Y/Y) for Q1, indicating strong performance in infrastructure and software sectors.
- Market Reaction and Stock Volatility: Despite a 13.5% drop in IBM's stock year-to-date, analysts believe growth in automation and transaction processing will drive a rebound, especially as the AI narrative strengthens.
- Investor Focus: Investors will closely watch management's comments on the Confluent acquisition, quantum computing initiatives, and AI infrastructure, as these factors could significantly impact future growth prospects and market confidence.
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