LendingClub (LC) Receives Strong Buy Upgrade: Key Information You Need to Know
LendingClub's Upgrade: LendingClub has received a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) upgrade, indicating a positive outlook due to rising earnings estimates, which are crucial for stock price movements.
Zacks Rating System: The Zacks rating system, which evaluates stocks based on earnings estimate revisions, has a strong track record, with Zacks Rank #1 stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 1988.
Earnings Growth: Analysts have increased their earnings estimates for LendingClub by 71.6% over the past three months, reflecting an improvement in the company's business fundamentals.
Market Position: LendingClub's strong earnings growth positions it favorably in the market, suggesting potential for stock price increases as it ranks in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks based on estimate revisions.
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- Significant Earnings Growth: LendingClub reported a diluted EPS of $0.45 in 2024, which surged by 154% to $1.15 in 2025, with management guiding for an EPS of $1.65 to $1.80 this year, indicating robust growth potential that may attract more investor interest.
- Simplified Accounting Policy: This year, LendingClub adopted the fair value option for accounting, streamlining loan processing and aligning revenue recognition with loss timing, which enhances transparency and could bolster institutional investor confidence.
- Increased Loan Origination Targets: Management has set a loan origination target of $12.1 billion for this year, with a long-term goal of ramping up to $18 billion to $22 billion, which could significantly enhance profitability and market competitiveness, driving stock price appreciation.
- Clear Valuation Advantage: LendingClub trades at less than 10 times earnings, significantly lower than SoFi's 34 times, suggesting that if market confidence in its future earnings grows, the stock price could reach $24, indicating strong upside potential.
- SoFi Stock Performance: SoFi Technologies has seen its stock rise over 37% in the past year, yet it trades at a high valuation of nearly 34 times earnings, which may pose risks to investor confidence moving forward.
- LendingClub Earnings Growth: LendingClub reported earnings per share of $0.45 in 2024, with a projected 154% increase to $1.15 in 2025, and further guidance of $1.65 to $1.80 for 2026, indicating strong potential for profitability.
- Accounting Policy Change: This year, LendingClub adopted the fair value option for loan accounting, simplifying its financial reporting and aligning revenue recognition with loss timing, which could enhance transparency and attract institutional investors.
- Loan Origination Goals: LendingClub aims to ramp up loan originations to between $18 billion and $22 billion by 2025, with a current run rate of $12 billion, showcasing its ambition for business expansion and market opportunities.
- Earnings Beat but Stock Drop: LendingClub reported Q4 revenue of $266.5 million, a 22.7% increase, and EPS surged 338% to $0.35, surpassing expectations; however, the stock fell nearly 16%, indicating market caution regarding future earnings forecasts.
- Future Growth Outlook: Management projects flat loan originations at $2.6 billion for Q1 2026, while full-year guidance of $11.6 to $12.6 billion suggests a 26% growth potential, yet investor expectations for short-term profit growth were not fully met.
- Accounting Method Transition Impact: LendingClub will adopt a new fair value accounting method starting in 2026, expected to enhance earnings performance; while initial costs may rise, the long-term benefits could attract more investor interest and improve profitability.
- Increased Marketing Investment: The company plans to ramp up marketing investments in 2025 to support future growth; although initial efficiency may be lower, the development and optimization of new channels are expected to yield higher profit growth in 2027 and beyond, further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Performance: LendingClub reported Q4 2025 diluted EPS of $0.35 and total revenue of nearly $267 million, driven by approximately $2.6 billion in loan originations, all significantly higher year-over-year and exceeding market expectations.
- Optimistic Guidance: The company guided for $2.6 billion in loan originations and diluted EPS of $0.365 for Q1 2026, with full-year guidance of $12.1 billion in originations and EPS of $1.725, reflecting 48% and 26% year-over-year growth, indicating robust growth potential.
- Accounting Change Impact: LendingClub plans to mark all loans as held-for-sale (HFS), shifting from previously accounting for some loans as held-for-investment (HFI), which may lead investors to misinterpret future guidance, impacting stock performance.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Despite strong earnings, shares dropped nearly 13%, trading at about 10 times forward earnings, suggesting that the market needs time to digest the new accounting policy, presenting a potential entry point for investors.
- Significant Performance Growth: LendingClub reported a 40% year-over-year increase in loan originations to $2.6 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting strong market demand and product innovation, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- New Product Launch: The company introduced a structured certificate product aimed at insurance capital and initiated a direct forward flow agreement with a top U.S. insurance company, further expanding its market share and product offerings.
- Increase in Net Interest Income: Net interest income rose 14% year-over-year to $163 million, with a net interest margin of 6%, indicating the company's strong profitability in the current interest rate environment.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: LendingClub expects Q1 2026 loan originations to range between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 28% to 33%, with plans to increase marketing investments to support ongoing growth.
- Soft Earnings Guidance: LendingClub projects Q1 2026 GAAP EPS between $0.34 and $0.39, trailing the $0.30 average analyst estimate, leading to an 8.3% drop in after-hours trading, indicating market concerns over future profitability.
- Strong Q4 Performance: Q4 EPS of $0.35 exceeded Wall Street's $0.33 expectation but fell from $0.37 in the prior quarter, reflecting challenges in sustaining profit growth, while Q4 net revenue reached $266.5 million, slightly above the $262 million forecast.
- Stable Loan Originations: Q4 loan originations held steady at $2.6 billion, showing a 40% year-over-year increase, indicating robust market demand despite the pressure from the earnings guidance, which underscores the company's operational resilience.
- Positive Future Outlook: CEO Scott Sanborn emphasized entering 2026 from a position of strength, with plans to leverage product innovations and marketing investments to enhance earnings power, particularly through new opportunities in home improvement financing, reflecting confidence in future growth.










