Dow Partners With Macquarie In Gulf Coast Infrastructure Play, Retains Strategic Control
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 09 2024
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Should l Buy DOW?
Source: Benzinga
Dow Inc. Sale Agreement: Dow Inc. has agreed to sell a 40% equity stake in its U.S. Gulf Coast infrastructure assets to Macquarie Asset Management for approximately $2.4 billion, with potential proceeds of up to $3.0 billion if Macquarie increases its stake within six months.
Impact and Future Plans: The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2025 and will establish Diamond Infrastructure Solutions, which aims to enhance operational efficiency and drive growth while allowing Dow to maintain majority ownership.
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Analyst Views on DOW
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 38.810
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
Current: 38.810
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
About DOW
Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs a polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses: Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Sales Growth: Dow Inc. reported net sales of $9.8 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting a 3% sequential increase, with operating EBITDA at $873 million, indicating a significant rebound in market demand amid supply chain disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict.
- Future Outlook: The company anticipates approximately $12 billion in revenue and $2 billion in EBITDA for Q2, with management expressing optimism that this growth will offset rising feedstock and energy costs, showcasing confidence in market demand.
- Leadership Transition: Effective July 1, Karen will assume the role of CEO, marking a significant leadership change after a deliberate multi-year succession process, aimed at further advancing the company's strategic objectives.
- Cash Flow Management: Dow ended Q1 with over $4 billion in cash and approximately $14 billion in total liquidity, demonstrating strong financial health in a volatile market environment.
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- Logistical Recovery Challenges: Dow CEO Jim Fitterling indicated that even if the Strait of Hormuz were to reopen today, clearing the logistics backlog could take over 275 days, highlighting the complexity and duration of the recovery process.
- Significant Market Impact: Since the closure of the Strait in early March, 20% of global oil capacity and 50% of ethylene and polyethylene production have been affected, leading to a tight petrochemical supply chain that directly impacts the production of everyday plastic products.
- Surge in Pricing Trends: Due to supply constraints, prices increased by 10 cents per pound in March, followed by a 30-cent rise in April and an expected 20-cent increase in May, marking the most significant price uplift seen in over a decade, which further supports Dow's financial performance.
- Strong Stock Recovery: Dow reported solid revenue and a smaller-than-expected loss in its first-quarter report, with shares surging approximately 65% this year, reflecting market confidence in its future performance.
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- Performance Exceeds Expectations: Dow's net sales for Q1 reached $9.79 billion, despite a 6% year-over-year decline, surpassing analysts' expectations of $9.67 billion, demonstrating the company's resilience in challenging conditions.
- Improved Adjusted EPS Loss: The company reported an adjusted loss of $0.14 per share, better than the expected loss of $0.29, indicating that cost-cutting measures have somewhat alleviated market pressures.
- Significant Cash Flow Improvement: Cash provided by operating activities surged from $104 million a year earlier to $1.12 billion, showcasing effective liquidity management that supports future investments and growth.
- Strong Packaging Segment Performance: Although revenue from the Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment fell 7% to $4.9 billion, it remains the largest revenue source for the company, reflecting sustained market demand in this area.
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- Earnings Highlights: Dow Inc. reported a non-GAAP EPS of -$0.14 for Q1, beating expectations by $0.15, demonstrating the company's resilience amidst challenging economic conditions.
- Revenue Performance: The company achieved revenues of $9.79 billion in Q1, surpassing the anticipated $9.68 billion, indicating strong competitive positioning and stable product demand, potentially laying the groundwork for future growth.
- Market Reaction: Following the earnings report, the market reacted positively to Dow's stock, reflecting investor confidence in the company's future profitability and strategic direction, which may drive stock price appreciation.
- Strategic Outlook: At the JPMorgan Industrials Conference, Dow highlighted its growth plans, emphasizing the importance of seeking new investment opportunities in the current economic landscape, aiming to enhance long-term value through innovation and market expansion.
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- Widening Net Loss: Dow reported a net loss of $445 million in Q1, significantly up from a $290 million loss in the same period last year, indicating severe challenges to profitability in the current economic climate.
- Increased Loss Per Share: Loss per share rose from $0.44 to $0.74, reflecting ongoing operational pressures, particularly amid weak market demand, which could undermine investor confidence.
- Declining Revenue: The company’s net sales totaled $9.8 billion, down 6% year-over-year, with flat sales in Performance Materials & Coatings and declines in other segments, highlighting adverse impacts from the overall market environment.
- EBITDA Decline: Operating EBITDA fell from $944 million last year to $873 million, with an operating loss per share of $0.14 compared to a profit of $0.02 last year, indicating intensified cost pressures and market challenges facing the company.
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