Autoliv Q1 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy ALV?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Release Date: Autoliv (ALV) is set to announce its Q1 earnings on April 17 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.84, reflecting a 14.4% year-over-year decline, indicating potential profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Expectations: The expected revenue for Q1 is $2.61 billion, representing a modest 1.2% year-over-year growth, which, while limited, suggests some market resilience that could positively influence investor sentiment.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Autoliv has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating financial stability and reliability that may attract increased investor interest.
- Revision Trends Observation: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates and five downward revisions, while revenue estimates also saw no upward adjustments and four downward revisions, indicating a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
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Analyst Views on ALV
Wall Street analysts forecast ALV stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 118.920
Low
117.60
Averages
135.47
High
150.00
Current: 118.920
Low
117.60
Averages
135.47
High
150.00
About ALV
Autoliv, Inc. is a developer, manufacturer, and supplier of safety systems to the automotive industry with a range of product offerings, primarily passive safety systems. Passive safety systems include modules and components for frontal-impact airbag protection systems, side-impact airbag protection systems, seatbelts, steering wheels, inflator technologies and battery cut-off switches. The Company also develops and manufactures mobility safety solutions, such as pedestrian protection, battery cut-off switches, connected safety services and safety solutions for riders of powered two wheelers. The Company has one operating segment, which includes Autoliv’s airbag and seatbelt products and components. Its subsidiaries include Autoliv AB and Autoliv ASP, Inc. The Company operates its business in geographical regions, such as Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and the Rest of Asia (ROA). The Company has approximately 62 production facilities in 25 countries.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Significant Sales Growth: Autoliv reported nearly $2.8 billion in net sales for Q1, marking a 7% year-over-year increase, with organic sales in India soaring by 38%, indicating strong performance in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly in China and India, which will further drive market share growth.
- Shareholder Return Strategy: The company paid a dividend of $0.87 per share, totaling $65 million, and authorized a $2.5 billion share repurchase program with an annual target of $300 million to $500 million, a strategy that not only boosts investor confidence but also reflects the company's optimistic outlook on future cash flows.
- Operational Challenges: Despite sales growth, adjusted operating income fell by 4% year-over-year, with adjusted operating margin decreasing to 8.9%, while operating cash flow was negative at $76 million, a significant decline of $153 million from last year, highlighting pressures on cost control and operational efficiency.
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- Performance Exceeds Expectations: Autoliv's Q1 2026 net sales rose nearly 7% year-over-year to $2.75 billion, significantly surpassing analyst expectations of $2.61 billion, indicating strong market performance despite organic growth being less than 1%.
- Net Income Decline: The company's non-GAAP net income fell by 8% to $154 million ($2.05 per share), highlighting challenges in cost control and profitability that could impact investor confidence moving forward.
- Market Growth Potential: Autoliv attributed its performance to increased vehicle safety demand in key Asian markets like India and China, particularly noting India's growing emphasis on vehicle safety, which underscores the strategic importance of its market positioning.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The company provided guidance for flat organic net sales growth in Q2 and throughout 2026, with an adjusted operating margin expected between 10.5% and 11%, and while no bottom-line forecast was given, this may reflect a conservative view on future growth potential.
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- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose 1.20% and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.29%, reaching all-time highs, reflecting investor optimism regarding US-Iran peace talks, which may enhance risk appetite in the markets.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude prices fell over 11% to a five-week low after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz is fully open, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year T-note yield to drop 7 basis points to 4.24%.
- Strong Earnings Season: The earnings season started robustly, with 81% of the 48 S&P 500 companies reporting Q1 earnings exceeding estimates, projecting a 12% year-over-year increase in earnings, providing strong support for the stock market.
- Airline Stocks Surge: Airline stocks surged as fuel costs decreased, with Alaska Air Group (ALK) rising over 10% and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) up more than 7%, indicating market confidence in the recovery of the airline industry.
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- Market Surge: The S&P 500 rose by 1.28% and the Nasdaq 100 reached an all-time high, reflecting investor optimism driven by peace talks between the US and Iran, which may enhance risk appetite and bolster overall market confidence.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell over 13% to a five-week low after the Strait of Hormuz reopened, easing inflation concerns and causing the 10-year Treasury yield to drop by 8 basis points, further supporting the bond market.
- Earnings Growth Expectations: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to increase by 12% year-over-year, although excluding the tech sector, growth is only 3%, indicating resilience in corporate performance amid economic recovery and providing market support.
- Airline Stocks Soar: With reduced fuel costs, Alaska Air Group and United Airlines surged by over 14% and 11%, respectively, demonstrating the positive impact of falling oil prices on the airline industry, which could enhance profitability for related companies.
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- Significant Sales Growth: Autoliv's Q1 2026 net sales reached nearly $2.8 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase driven by strong sales in March and a $154 million positive currency translation effect, showcasing the company's competitive strength and growth potential in the market.
- Outstanding Performance in China: In China, Autoliv's sales outpaced light vehicle production by over 40 percentage points, while India achieved a 38% organic growth, indicating the company's strategic positioning in the Asia-Pacific region is yielding substantial results and enhancing its market share.
- Share Buyback Plan Paused: Autoliv paused its stock buyback due to the appointment of a new CFO and multiple filing restrictions, yet maintains a $2.5 billion repurchase authorization, planning to repurchase between $300 million and $500 million annually through 2026, reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Rising Raw Material Costs: The company anticipates a $90 million gross impact from higher raw material prices in 2026, significantly up from the previous estimate of $30 million, although customer compensation mechanisms are in place to offset a meaningful portion of this cost, demonstrating its ability to navigate market fluctuations.
See More
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- Travel Stocks Rally: Following Iran's announcement to open the Strait of Hormuz for commercial shipping, Royal Caribbean surged 9.7%, United Airlines jumped over 9%, and Expedia gained 5%, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding travel recovery.
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