3 Unstoppable Vanguard ETFs to Buy Even if There's a Stock Market Sell-Off in 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 29 2024
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Should l Buy AAPL?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Market Valuation Concerns: Investors are cautious about potential stock market sell-offs in 2025 due to high equity prices outpacing earnings growth, but they are encouraged to focus on quality companies and consider investing in diversified ETFs like Vanguard's Dividend Appreciation, Communications, and S&P 500 ETFs.
Long-term Investment Strategy: Despite current high valuations, these Vanguard ETFs are recommended for long-term investors as they hold industry-leading companies that can withstand economic downturns and continue to grow earnings over time.
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Analyst Views on AAPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AAPL stock price to rise
27 Analyst Rating
17 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 266.430
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
Current: 266.430
Low
239.00
Averages
306.89
High
350.00
About AAPL
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. Its product categories include iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home and Accessories. Its software platforms include iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, visionOS, and tvOS. Its services include advertising, AppleCare, cloud services, digital content and payment services. The Company operates various platforms, including the App Store, that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games and podcasts. It also offers digital content through subscription-based services, including Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness+, Apple Music, Apple News+, and Apple TV+. Its products include iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16, iPhone 15, iPhone 14, iPhone SE, MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, iMac, Mac mini, Mac Studio, Mac Pro, iPad Pro, iPad Air, AirPods, AirPods Pro, AirPods Max, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Business Stability: Apple's core business is more predictable than many tech peers, and despite a 4% year-to-date stock decline, it generates tens of billions in sales during economic downturns, reflecting strong customer loyalty and market demand.
- Diverse Revenue Streams: With over 2.5 billion active devices, Apple offers various subscription services including music and video streaming, which provide a growing source of recurring revenue, enhancing its cash flow stability and risk resilience.
- Product Line Expansion: By introducing lower-priced products like the MacBook Neo, Apple is actively expanding its user base, while plans for a competitive iPhone Fold could further increase market share, positioning the company for future growth.
- Dividend Growth Potential: Although Apple's dividend yield is only 0.4%, its 82.5% growth over the past decade and a conservative 15.6% cash payout ratio indicate the company has room for further increases, making it attractive for retirees seeking stable income.
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- Recycled Materials Usage: Apple announced that by 2025, 30% of the materials used in its products will come from recycled sources, marking the highest level in the company's history and reflecting its ongoing commitment to environmental sustainability and innovation.
- Battery Material Recycling: The company now utilizes 100% recycled cobalt and rare earth elements in all its designed batteries, showcasing significant progress in emissions reduction within its supply chain, which enhances the environmental profile of its products.
- Plastic-Free Packaging: Apple has successfully eliminated plastic from its packaging, representing a crucial milestone in its sustainability goals, which strengthens consumer trust and loyalty towards the brand.
- Environmental Promotion: As part of its Earth Day celebration, Apple is incentivizing customers to recycle eligible products by offering a 10% discount, aiming to increase customer engagement and drive further product recycling, thereby supporting its environmental strategy.
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- NVIDIA Stock Performance: Over the past year, NVIDIA's shares have risen by 93.8%, slightly trailing the industry gain of 95.6%, benefiting from strong growth in artificial intelligence and high-performance computing, although it faces GPU supply constraints and competitive pressures.
- Apple's Growth: Apple's stock has increased by 35.9% in the past year, primarily driven by robust growth in iPhone and Services revenue, with expectations for net sales to grow between 13% and 16% year-over-year in the upcoming quarter, despite supply constraints and regulatory pressures.
- Coca-Cola's Market Performance: Coca-Cola's shares have gained 6.2%, below the industry's 7.6% growth, benefiting from the breadth of its product portfolio and improved margins, but facing challenges from uneven demand and currency volatility.
- Cato Company's Recovery: Cato's stock has risen by 20.4%, showing gradual recovery through store optimization and inventory reduction, improving cash flow; however, inconsistent profitability and macroeconomic sensitivity remain significant risks.
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- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks lowest among the Magnificent Seven, it still boasts a market cap of $1.5 trillion and a current stock price of $389.23, facing valuation challenges that require significant cash flows from projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots over the next decade to justify its price.
- Apple's Growth Slowdown: With the third-highest P/E ratio, Apple recently reported its best quarter in years, yet its slowing innovation and lack of engagement in the AI race have disappointed investors regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's P/E ratio stands at 32, which is high, but the market is underestimating the growth potential of its AWS business, particularly in the custom AI chip sector, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Microsoft's Investment Opportunity: Microsoft leads the Magnificent Seven with a P/E ratio of 24.6, and while it isn't the cheapest option, its current stock price is at a decade low, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to capitalize on this valuation.
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- Tesla's Investment Outlook: Although Tesla ranks at the bottom of the investment list, its stock price being down about 20% does not indicate a sell; rather, it may be a good time to wait for the next significant drop to capitalize on potential cash flow growth from its robotaxi and humanoid robot projects over the next decade.
- Apple's Valuation Concerns: Apple's valuation is troubling, as it is the slowest-growing stock among the seven, and despite its best quarterly performance in years, it seems passive in the AI race, leading to investor disappointment regarding its future prospects.
- Amazon's Cloud Business Potential: Amazon's valuation stands at 32 times forward earnings, which is high, but the massive upside of its AWS business is not fully priced in, with strong growth expected in the coming years, particularly in its custom AI chip division.
- Microsoft's Undervalued Opportunity: Microsoft trades at a forward P/E of 24.6, not the lowest, but its current stock price is among the lowest in the past decade, presenting a rare opportunity for investors to take advantage of before prices rise again.
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- Market Share Advantage: According to PwC analysts, Nvidia holds over 90% of the GPU market share in AI-accelerated data centers, attracting numerous businesses due to its superior computing capabilities, thereby solidifying its market leadership.
- Competitor Analysis: While companies like AMD, Broadcom, and Alphabet pose competition in the GPU market, Nvidia's biggest threat comes from its own customers, such as Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon, who are developing their own AI solutions that could undermine Nvidia's pricing power.
- Internal Development Threat: These large customers' internally developed GPUs are significantly cheaper than Nvidia's hardware and typically do not face delivery delays due to overwhelming demand, which could pressure Nvidia's gross margins, especially as AI GPU scarcity diminishes.
- Future Outlook: Although Nvidia's leadership in AI infrastructure appears secure, the rise of customer-developed chips may erode its data center market share in the coming quarters, potentially impacting its profitability.
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