Bitcoin Price Pattern Echoes 2022 Collapse, Faces $95K Pressure

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Jan 16 2026

KAS+0.76%

BTC-0.192%

Should l Buy KAS?

Risk of Historical Repetition: Analyst Tryrex highlights that Bitcoin's price dropped approximately 45% after reaching an all-time high in 2022, entering a four-month consolidation phase, with current trends suggesting a similar risk of decline.
Fakeout Warning: In 2022, Bitcoin's breakout attempt led to a rapid reversal, resulting in a 19% drop, and the current upward movement may also become a fakeout due to lack of follow-through, increasing market uncertainty.
Critical Support Level: Tryrex emphasizes that Bitcoin is hovering around $95,515, and if it fails to recover quickly, it could drop approximately 11% towards the mid-$80K region, negatively impacting market sentiment.
Market Sentiment Monitoring: The future trajectory of Bitcoin's price will depend on its ability to rebuild strength above the breakout area; failure to do so may lead to another short-term decline, prompting investors to remain vigilant.

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Technical Analysis for KAS

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Kaspa (KAS). As of , Kaspa (KAS) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 4 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 4 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for KAS stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, KAS is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Kaspa (KAS) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	0.0224	0.0253	0.0278	0.0307	0.0332	0.0361	0.0386
Fibonacci	0.0253	0.0274	0.0287	0.0307	0.0328	0.0341	0.0361

About KAS

Kaspa is a proof-of-work (PoW) cryptocurrency which implements the GHOSTDAG protocol. Unlike traditional blockchains, GHOSTDAG does not orphan blocks created in parallel, rather allows them to coexist and orders them in consensus. The Kaspa blockchain is actually a blockDAG. This generalization of Nakamoto consensus allows for secure operation while maintaining very high block rates (currently one block per second, aiming for 10/sec, dreaming of 100/sec) and minuscule confirmation times dominated by internet latency.The Kaspa implementation includes a lot of cool features such as Reachability to query the DAG's topology, Block data pruning (with near-future plans for block header pruning), SPV proofs, and later subnetwork support which will make future implementation of layer 2 solutions much easier.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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