Analyst Warns Fed Overlooking Recession Signals
- Clear Recession Signals: Analyst Danielle DiMartino Booth highlights that weakening labor markets, declining regional activity, and elevated recession probabilities into mid-2026 indicate increasingly evident signs of economic recession, directly challenging the Fed's pace of monetary easing under Chair Jerome Powell.
- Fed Data Supports Warning: Despite the FOMC maintaining the federal funds target range at 3.5% to 3.75% during its March meeting, data indicates low job gains and five Federal Reserve districts reporting flat or declining activity, suggesting widespread economic slowdown.
- Consumer Confidence Decline: The Conference Board's consumer expectations index fell to 65.1 in January 2026, significantly below the historical threshold of 80 that signals a recession, reflecting market pessimism and exacerbating the disconnect between Fed policy and economic realities.
- Impact on Crypto Market: Bitcoin traded at $71,592 at press time, illustrating market sensitivity to Fed policy uncertainty; if recession signals persist without a Fed pivot, risk assets may face increased pressure, further affecting crypto market sentiment.
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Technical Analysis for BTC
Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC). As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 7 technical signals, shows that 3 indicators are flashing buy, while 4 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 59025.565 | 62818.613 | 67338.545 | 71131.593 | 75651.525 | 79444.573 | 83964.505 |
| Fibonacci | 62818.613 | 65994.171 | 67956.034 | 71131.593 | 74307.151 | 76269.014 | 79444.573 |
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