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UPST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
32.430
1 Day change
6.47%
52 Week Range
87.300
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Upstart Holdings Inc. (UPST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company shows strong revenue growth, positive sentiment from analysts despite lowered price targets, and a projected 36% revenue increase in 2026. While there are some risks, the growth potential outweighs the negatives for a long-term investor.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 57.405, and moving averages are converging, suggesting a potential breakout. Key resistance levels are at $33.313 and $34.465, while support levels are at $29.585 and $28.433.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue surged nearly 59% in FY 2025, marking a return to profitability.

  • Projected 36% revenue increase in

  • Analysts maintain positive ratings (Buy/Outperform) despite lowered price targets.

  • Strong performance in a tighter funding environment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Heavy expenses impacted Q1 profitability.

  • Reliance on a few key partners adds concentration risk.

  • Forward P/E ratio is higher than industry average, which may deter value investors.

Financial Performance

Upstart's revenue surged nearly 59% in FY 2025 to $1.1 billion, marking a return to profitability. The company is projected to grow revenue by 36% in 2026, exceeding $1.4 billion. However, Q1 results showed profitability challenges due to heavy expenses.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have lowered price targets recently but maintain positive ratings (Buy/Outperform). The price targets range from $35 to $46, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook. Analysts are impressed with Upstart's ability to navigate a tighter funding environment while maintaining top-line momentum.

Wall Street analysts forecast UPST stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast UPST stock price to rise
7 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 30.460
sliders
Low
20
Averages
56.73
High
80
Current: 30.460
sliders
Low
20
Averages
56.73
High
80
Mizuho
Dan Dolev
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$51 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
Reason
Mizuho
Dan Dolev
Price Target
$51 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev lowered the firm's price target on Upstart to $45 from $51 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$45 -> $35
2026-05-07
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$45 -> $35
2026-05-07
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Upstart to $35 from $45 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares.
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