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GFL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy GFL Environmental Inc (GFL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
39.400
1 Day change
-2.67%
52 Week Range
52.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
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GFL Environmental Inc is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators show a bearish trend, and the stock is trading below key support levels. While analysts maintain positive ratings and there are growth prospects in the long term, the company's recent financial performance shows a significant decline in net income and EPS, which raises concerns. Additionally, there are no recent positive news catalysts or trading signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals to suggest an immediate opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 31.64, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 42.108, with resistance at 43.513. Overall, the technical outlook suggests a bearish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have a positive outlook on the company's growth potential, with several maintaining Outperform ratings and price targets significantly above the current price. Wolfe Research highlights improving margins, free cash flow, and leverage as key strengths.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's Q4 financials show a significant decline in net income (-110.88% YoY) and EPS (-111.54% YoY), which could deter investor confidence. No recent news or events provide a positive catalyst, and technical indicators suggest bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.33% YoY to $1.686 billion, but net income dropped significantly by -110.88% YoY to $22.1 million, and EPS fell by -111.54% YoY to $0.06. Gross margin improved by 5.31% YoY to 20.02%, indicating some operational efficiency gains.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain positive ratings, with Wolfe Research initiating coverage with an Outperform rating and a C$74 price target. Barclays raised its price target to $63, while Scotiabank and Citi slightly lowered their targets but retained Outperform and Buy ratings, respectively. Analysts highlight the company's potential for margin improvement and long-term growth.

Wall Street analysts forecast GFL stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GFL stock price to rise
11 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 40.480
sliders
Low
34.03
Averages
55.3
High
64.06
Current: 40.480
sliders
Low
34.03
Averages
55.3
High
64.06
Wolfe Research
Outperform
initiated
$74
AI Analysis
2026-03-13
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
$74
AI Analysis
2026-03-13
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research initiated coverage of GFL Environmental with an Outperform rating and C$74 price target. GFL Environmental remains a relative newcomer in the solid waste industry, but its growth versus peers appears sustainable as margins, free cash flow, and leverage rapidly improve toward levels seen at more established competitors, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The company represents a compelling rate-of-change story as operational and financial metrics continue to strengthen, the firm says.
Barclays
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$62 -> $63
2026-02-12
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$62 -> $63
2026-02-12
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on GFL Environmental to $63 from $62 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
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