XPOF

Xponential Fitness Inc

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Advanced Chart

7.810

+0.080(+1.030%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

High

7.920

Open

7.730

VWAP

7.77

Vol

406.01K

Mkt Cap

378.66M

Low

7.535

Amount

3.15M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

7.81

Total Shares

31.58M

731.16M

EV/OCF(TTM)

62.62

P/S(TTM)

0.77

Xponential Fitness, Inc. is the global franchisor of boutique fitness brands. The Company operates a diversified platform of ten brands spanning across verticals, including pilates, indoor cycling, barre, stretching, rowing, dancing, boxing, running, functional training and yoga. The Company's portfolio of brands includes Club Pilates, a Pilates brand in the United States; CycleBar, the indoor cycling brand in the United States; StretchLab, a concept offering one-on-one and group stretching services; Row House, the franchised indoor rowing brand in the United States; AKT, a dance-based cardio workout combining toning, interval and circuit training; YogaSix, a yoga brand in the United States; Pure Barre, a total body workout that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; BFT, a functional training and strength-based program; Rumble, a boxing-inspired full-body workout, and Lindor, a provider of medically guided wellness and metabolic health solutions.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q1

FY2025Q2

FY2025Q3

75.37M

-5.22%

0.153

-4.17%

77.32M

+1.04%

0.197

-755.57%

81.00M

+0.64%

0.238

-695.82%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -6% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -51.49%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-6%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-9.8%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-51.49%

In Past 3 Month

7 Analyst Rating

82.97% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast XPOF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XPOF is 14.29 USD with a low forecast of 9.00 USD and a high forecast of 32.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

5 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

82.97% Upside

Current: 7.810

Low

9.00

Averages

14.29

High

32.00

82.97% Upside

Current: 7.810

Low

9.00

Averages

14.29

High

32.00

B. Riley Securities

Jeff Van Sinderen

Hold

Maintains

$12 → $9

2025-03-14

Reason

B. Riley Securities

Jeff Van Sinderen

Price Target

$12 → $9

2025-03-14

Maintains

Hold

Reason

B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Xponential Fitness to $9 from $12 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Xponential Fitness reported Q4 revenue and AEBITDA above consensus and below consensus, respectively, with system-wide comps above consensus, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm thinks the realignment of the company will take considerable time, considering the company's current initiatives, including optimizing its brand portfolio, rebuilding/improving franchisee relationships, and hiring new management talent.

Stifel

Chris O'Cull

Strong Buy

Hold

Downgrades

$20 → $12

2025-03-14

Reason

Stifel

Chris O'Cull

Price Target

$20 → $12

2025-03-14

Downgrades

Strong Buy

Hold

Reason

Piper Sandler

Korinne Wolfmeyer

Hold

Maintains

$16 → $9

2025-03-14

Reason

Piper Sandler

Korinne Wolfmeyer

Price Target

$16 → $9

2025-03-14

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Xponential Fitness to $9 from $16 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The weaker 2025 outlook and lack of visibility around unit growth are pressuring shares, and while the firm does see some green shoots from the work management is doing, these efforts are getting masked by continued struggling brands and pressured units, Piper says. If efforts do materialize, the outlook beyond 2025 starts to look compelling, and despite the issues, there is true value in Xponential's largest brand, Club Pilates, in Piper's view. However, the near-term turbulence is not abating, and thus while the firm wouldn't take a bear thesis here, it also can't recommend purchase at this time.

Lake Street

Ryan Meyers

Strong Buy

Maintains

$20 → $16

2025-03-14

Reason

Lake Street

Ryan Meyers

Price Target

$20 → $16

2025-03-14

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Lake Street analyst Ryan Meyers lowered the firm's price target on Xponential Fitness to $16 from $20 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Xponential reported Q4 results that were slightly ahead on revenue and below expectations on adjusted EBITDA, while revenue and EBITDA guidance for 2025 came in lower than expected, the analyst noted. While the Q4 EBITDA miss and 2025 guidance are "disappointing," the company is resetting expectations as 2025 is now being communicated as "a rebuilding year," adds the analyst, who thinks if shares sell off the valuation "looks compelling given the long-term opportunity."

Northland Capital Markets

Owen Rickert

Hold

Initiates

$18

2025-01-23

Reason

Northland Capital Markets

Owen Rickert

Price Target

$18

2025-01-23

Initiates

Hold

Reason

Northland analyst Owen Rickert initiated coverage of Xponential Fitness with a Market Perform rating and $17.50 price target.

Piper Sandler

Korinne Wolfmeyer

Hold

Maintains

$12 → $16

2025-01-06

Reason

Piper Sandler

Korinne Wolfmeyer

Price Target

$12 → $16

2025-01-06

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on Xponential Fitness to $16 from $12 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Heading into the new year, the firm is watching the impact of rates and lending standards across its coverage, as well as the influence of the new administration, including tax policy, potential tariffs, and appointee beliefs. Piper believes it's prudent to favor GARP and value with a strong focus on fundamentals, but does feel comfortable paying a bit of a higher price if those fundamentals align.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF.N) is 8.49, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -28.54. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Xponential Fitness Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average PE

-28.54

Current PE

8.49

Overvalued PE

245.57

Undervalued PE

-302.64

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

9.54

Current EV/EBITDA

5.31

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

13.27

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

5.81

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PS

1.80

Current PS

0.82

Overvalued PS

2.40

Undervalued PS

1.20

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

FY2024Q4

YoY :

-6.32%

83.82M

Total Revenue

FY2024Q4

YoY :

+29.03%

19.21M

Operating Profit

FY2024Q4

YoY :

+354.24%

-62.71M

Net Income after Tax

FY2024Q4

-1.37

EPS - Diluted

FY2024Q4

YoY :

-105.66%

382.00K

Free Cash Flow

FY2024Q4

YoY :

+1.36%

69.38

Gross Profit Margin - %

FY2024Q4

YoY :

-78.07%

1.61

FCF Margin - %

FY2024Q4

YoY :

+384.90%

-74.82

Net Margin - %

FY2024Q4

N/A

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 12129.71% over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

39.8M

USD

6-9

Months

525.2K

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

Volume

3-6

Months

0.0

Volume

6-9

Months

0.0

Volume

0-12

Months

2.1M

Volume

Bought

0-3

0.0

Volume

Months

3-6

101.9K

Volume

Months

6-9

0.0

Volume

Months

0-12

0.0

Volume

Months

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

0.0

USD

6-9

Months

0.0

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

Insider

Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 12129.71% over the last month.

Sold

0-3

Months

0.0

USD

3-6

Months

39.8M

USD

6-9

Months

525.2K

USD

0-12

Months

0.0

USD

Bought

0-3

0.0

USD

Months

3-6

0.0

USD

Months

6-9

0.0

USD

Months

0-12

0.0

USD

Months

XPOF News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-03-17 (ET)

2025-03-17

12:01:49

Xponential Fitness rises 20.5%

2025-03-14 (ET)

2025-03-14