XPOF Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how XPOF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, XPOF sees a +3.27% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.75%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
XPOF Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
80.49M
0.07%
5.19%
Gross Margin
67.49%
-9.45%
-3.14%
Operating Margin
14.17%
17.20%
-7.14%
Net Margin
-22.33%
246.74%
25.10%
EPS
-0.29
-42.00%
-0.00%
No Data Available
XPOF Earnings Analysis
Xponential Fitness, Inc. Corporation (XPOF.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Unit Volume Growth: North American run rate average unit volumes of $631,000 in the third quarter increased 8% from $585,000 in the prior year period.
Quarterly Revenue Increase: Revenue for the quarter was $80.5 million, up slightly from $80.4 million in the prior year period.
Recurring Revenue Analysis: 72% of the revenue for the quarter was recurring, which we define as including all revenue streams, except for franchise territory revenues and equipment revenues.
Franchise Revenue Increase: Franchise revenue was $44.5 million, up 22% year-over-year.
EBITDA Growth Analysis: Adjusted EBITDA was $31 million in the third quarter, up 17% compared to $26.5 million in the prior year period.
Negative
Unit Volume Growth: North American run rate average unit volumes of $631,000 in the third quarter increased 8% from $585,000 in the prior year period.
Global Studio Expansion: We ended the third quarter with 3,178 global open studios, opening 125 gross new studios during Q3 with 96 in North America and 29 internationally.
Global Studio Closures: There were 49 global studio closures in the period.
License Sales Decline: We sold 84 licenses globally in the third quarter, which trended lower due to lingering concerns in the franchise sales process around regulatory issues, personnel turnover in our franchise sales team and the culture shift that Mark spoke to earlier.
Quarterly Net Loss Comparison: We recorded a net loss of $18 million in the third quarter, or a loss of $0.29 per basic share, compared to a net loss of $5.2 million, or $0.91 per basic share in the prior year period.
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XPOF Earning Call Sentiment
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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XPOF.N
-3.52%Positive
The earnings call revealed mixed financial performance with some positive metrics like increased AUV and system-wide sales, but overall disappointing guidance for 2024. The Q&A highlighted uncertainties, especially regarding potential divestitures and inconsistent brand execution. The lack of a share repurchase program and increased net loss, alongside higher long-term debt, further contribute to a negative outlook. Given these factors, and the absence of a new partnership or strong guidance, a negative stock price movement is likely over the next two weeks.