Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that MP stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $63.63, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $63.21. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $65.01. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $28.89, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $123.81. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
MP stock price ended at $63.22 on Friday, after rising4.91%
The MP Materials Corp stock price increased by 4.91% on the last trading day (18 Jul 2025), rising from 60.3 to 63.22. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 9.71% , ranging from a day low of $58.8 to a day high of 64.51. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 98.56% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -13.04M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 29.03M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.81B.
MP Technical Signals
MP(MP Materials Corp Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-07-01. The total price change during this trend is +100.76%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MP over the last 5 trading days is 2.41B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
MP Moving Average Analysis
MP Materials Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, July 19, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $68.66, and $82.01. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $25.49, and $12.15. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MP Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of MP Materials Corp(MP) as of 17 Jul 2025 is 19.61%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 58.55 to 60.26. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
21.626
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
31.38
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
7.937
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
63.22
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, MP Materials Corp (MP) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $15.07 and $42.67.
MP Materials Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -23.88%
In Jan 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $26.95. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $23.54 and a high of $33.88.
Feb 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -34.11%
In Feb 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $23.32. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.21 and a high of $24.24.
Mar 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -16.22%
In Mar 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $29.66. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.02 and a high of $31.72.
Apr 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -30.32%
In Apr 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $24.67. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.88 and a high of $26.58.
May 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -6.69%
In May 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $33.03. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.19 and a high of $42.67.
Jun 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.28%
In Jun 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $30.34. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.64 and a high of $36.92.
Jul 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -18.38%
In Jul 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $28.89. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $25.63 and a high of $30.73.
Aug 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -34.11%
In Aug 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $23.32. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $15.07 and a high of $32.46.
Sep 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.25%
In Sep 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $30.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.61 and a high of $34.91.
Oct 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -32.82%
In Oct 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $23.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $23.53 and a high of $29.74.
Nov 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -6.69%
In Nov 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $33.03. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $32.88 and a high of $35.38.
Dec 2026: MP Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -17.10%
In Dec 2026, MP Materials Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $29.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $26.36 and a high of $38.29.
MP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to MP Materials Corp(MP), our algorithm predicts MP's 1-month price at $54.53, with an 20.89%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.05%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for MP Materials Corp (MP.N) stock, as of Sunday, July 13, 2025 , forecasts a 20.89% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IDCC.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.05%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MP
No Data
IDCC
Up: 20.89%Similarity: 97.05%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
IDCC.O
97.05%
+20.89%
WLFC.O
96.42%
-11.64%
PLXS.O
96.42%
+1.36%
REVG.N
96.31%
+17.08%
COHR.N
96.30%
+20.25%
HAFC.O
96.24%
+0.23%
NEWT.O
96.23%
-1.26%
SFBC.O
96.22%
-1.66%
ASRT.O
96.21%
+23.76%
GERN.O
96.15%
+25.46%
MP Seasonality Analysis
Based on MP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is100.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MP. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying MP Materials Corp (MP.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (40.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows MP Materials Corp. (MP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy MP Materials Corp (MP.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying MP Materials Corp (MP.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying MP Materials Corp (MP.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (40.00%).
How has MP Materials Corp. (MP)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MP's stock price fell by -17.77% in 2023,decreased by -20.65% in 2024, and went up by 285.72%in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does MP have?
Bullish technical signals of MP include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1.
Is MP a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MP has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MP is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MP.
What is the trend of MP Materials Corp (MP)'s moving average?
MP Materials Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of July 19 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MP stock next month?
The price prediction chart for MP Materials Corp (MP.N) stock, as of July 13 2025, forecasts a 20.89% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IDCC stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.05%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for MP Stock?
The price target for MP Materials (MP) stock in 2025 is **$34**, driven by Morgan Stanley's upgrade and a 32% upside potential. The stock is supported by its strategic role in the rare earth supply chain and positive geopolitical developments.
What is price prediction 2030 for MP Stock?
### **Price Prediction for MP Stock by 2030**
Based on current trends and strategic developments, MP Materials (MP) is expected to reach a stock price of **$45 to $65 by 2030**. This prediction is driven by its leadership in the rare earth supply chain and growing demand for critical minerals in electrification technologies. The company's strategic position amid U.S.-China trade tensions and its expansion into domestic magnet production further support long-term growth.