XPOF Valuation

Xponential Fitness Inc

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8.470

+0.19(2.295%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

XPOF Relative Valuation

XPOF's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, XPOF is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.94 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -25.69. The fair price of Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) is between 9.62 to 18.52 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 8.47 USD , Xponential Fitness Inc is Undervalued By 11.97%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

9.62-18.52

Current Price：8.47

11.97%

Undervalued

8.45

Trailing

Forward

6.03

EV/EBITDA

Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.03. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.26. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.83, Undervalued between 1.83 and 5.55, Fairly Valued between 12.97 and 5.55, Overvalued between 12.97 and 16.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.68. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.03 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.94

EV/EBIT

Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) has a current EV/EBIT of 9.94. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 17.72. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.39, Undervalued between -9.39 and 4.17, Fairly Valued between 31.28 and 4.17, Overvalued between 31.28 and 44.83, and Strongly Overvalued above 44.83. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 9.94 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.94

Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) has a current PS of 0.94. The 5-year average PS is 1.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.50, Undervalued between 0.50 and 1.12, Fairly Valued between 2.35 and 1.12, Overvalued between 2.35 and 2.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.97. The current Forward PS of 0.94 falls within the Undervalued range.

6.32

P/OCF

Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) has a current P/OCF of 6.32. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.36, Undervalued between 2.36 and 5.09, Fairly Valued between 10.55 and 5.09, Overvalued between 10.55 and 13.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.29. The current Forward P/OCF of 6.32 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.74

P/FCF

Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) has a current P/FCF of 5.74. The 5-year average P/FCF is 9.22. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.55, Undervalued between 2.55 and 5.89, Fairly Valued between 12.56 and 5.89, Overvalued between 12.56 and 15.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.89. The current Forward P/FCF of 5.74 falls within the Undervalued range.

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -1.29. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -3.35 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -61.45% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.89, the current P/B ratio is about -168.45% higher. Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 3.65%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.93%, the current FCF yield is approximately -25.91% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.32% , the current FCF yield is about -15.50% lower.

-1.29

P/B

Median3y

-3.35

Median5y

1.89

3.65

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.93

Median5y

4.32

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for XPOF's competitors is 0.74, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Xponential Fitness Inc Corp (XPOF) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.94, which is 26.79% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -0.90%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

XPOF.N

Xponential Fitness Inc

American Public Education Inc

SunCar Technology Group Inc

Ftai Infrastructure Inc

European Wax Center Inc

0.88

-6.61%

236.83M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of XPOF decreased by 33.23% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -2.70 to -4.79.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -0.90%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of XPOF in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-0.90%

76.90M → 76.21M

Revenue Growth

-109.49%

-18.65 → 1.77

Margin Expansion

77.16%

-2.70 → -4.79

P/E Change

-33.23%