VEL Stock Price Prediction

Velocity Financial Inc

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16.670

+0.160(+0.970%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Velocity Financial Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VEL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

VEL stock price ended at $16.67 on Friday, after rising 0.97%

The Velocity Financial Inc stock price increased by 0.97% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 16.52 to 16.67. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.94% , ranging from a day low of $16.47 to a day high of 16.79. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.63% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -20.93K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 91.67K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.53M.

VEL Technical Signals

VEL(Velocity Financial Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -0.18%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of VEL over the last 5 trading days is 2.79M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

VEL Moving Average Analysis

Velocity Financial Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, May 18, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $17.251966333333336, and $17.621933333333335. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $16.054900333333336, and $15.684933333333337. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

VEL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Velocity Financial Inc(VEL) as of 12 May 2025 is 6.50%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 16.30 to 16.47. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

Price crosses above 10-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.726

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.45

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.38

Bearish

VEL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Velocity Financial Inc(VEL), our algorithm predicts VEL's 1-month price at $17.88, with an 7.24%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.09%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 7.24% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ATHM.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.09%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

VEL

Future prediction

Up: 7.24%

ATHM

Up: 7.24%Similarity: 94.09%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ATHM.N

94.09%

+7.24%

ASC.N

93.59%

-23.29%

EA.O

93.55%

+8.81%

FRPH.O

93.53%

-1.12%

UFPT.O

93.37%

+4.17%

APGE.O

93.23%

+2.48%

MKTX.O

93.17%

+0.50%

XRTX.O

93.02%

+3.14%

RBA.N

93.01%

+11.49%

RNA.O

92.86%

+5.09%

VEL Seasonality Analysis

Based on VEL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is66.67%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in VEL. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while October has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.