
VEL Stock Price Prediction
Velocity Financial Inc
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
Should I Buy Velocity Financial Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VEL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
VEL stock price ended at $17.655 on Thursday, after losing -1.2%
The Velocity Financial Inc stock price decreased by -1.2% on the last trading day (01 May 2025), dropping from 17.7 to 17.87. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.41% , ranging from a day low of $17.67 to a day high of 17.92. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 1.77% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 11.34K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 59.29K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.06M.
VEL Technical Signals
VEL(Velocity Financial Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-07. The total price change during this trend is -12.74%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of VEL over the last 5 trading days is 963.69K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
VEL Moving Average Analysis
Velocity Financial Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Thursday, May 1, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $18.22098, and $18.645. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $16.84902, and $16.425. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
VEL Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Velocity Financial Inc(VEL) as of 29 Apr 2025 is 11.70%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 17.69 to 17.87. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary

Sell
Sell
5
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing

Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term

SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term

SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term

SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.31
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
83.856
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.359
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.184
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
97.926
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-9.89
Bearish
VEL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Velocity Financial Inc(VEL), our algorithm predicts VEL's 1-month price at $19.02, with an 7.02%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.68%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 7.02% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PFX.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.68%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

VEL
Future prediction
Up: 7.02%

PFX
Up: 7.02%Similarity: 97.68%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down

PFX.O
97.68%
+7.02%

SBFG.O
97.58%
+0.50%

ENIC.N
97.55%
+9.35%
VEL Seasonality Analysis
Based on VEL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is80.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in VEL. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while October has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ

Should I buy Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VEL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

Which months have the highest win rate for buying Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock in a year?

How has Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL)'s stock price performed over the past three years?

Which bull technical signals does VEL have?

Which bearish technical signals does VEL have?

Is VEL a buy based on overall technical signals summary?

What is the trend of Velocity Financial Inc (VEL)'s moving average?

What is price prediction for VEL stock next month?

What is price prediction 2025 for VEL Stock?
