VEL Stock Price Prediction

Velocity Financial Inc

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18.910

+0.17(0.907%)1D

Should I Buy Velocity Financial Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VEL has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

VEL stock price ended at $18.91 on Friday, after rising 0.91%

The Velocity Financial Inc stock price increased by 0.91% on the last trading day (07 Nov 2025), rising from 19.64 to 18.91. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.38% , ranging from a day low of $18.29 to a day high of 19.64. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.96% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 90.30K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 134.25K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.54M.

VEL Technical Signals

VEL(Velocity Financial Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-10-21. The total price change during this trend is +4.76%. Recently, the price has increased significantly while volume increased, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of VEL over the last 5 trading days is 1.20M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

VEL Moving Average Analysis

Velocity Financial Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, November 9, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $19.74, and $20.31. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $17.90, and $17.33. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

VEL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Velocity Financial Inc(VEL) as of 07 Nov 2025 is 5.98%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 18.74 to 18.91. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.422

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.18

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.132

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 5-day SMA

Bullish

2 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

130.189

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

90.791

Bearish

VEL Stock Forecast

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI
Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI
Jan 2026	$18.78	$20.92	$23.14	+10.76%
Feb 2026	$22.78	$25.46	$27.76	+34.79%
Mar 2026	$16.49	$19.03	$23.13	+0.75%
Apr 2026	$23.47	$25.34	$25.81	+34.17%
May 2026	$22.67	$22.83	$25.24	+20.87%
Jun 2026	$20.83	$22.64	$25.27	+19.87%
Jul 2026	$24.80	$25.46	$27.01	+34.79%
Aug 2026	$23.39	$24.28	$29.04	+28.51%
Sep 2026	$18.27	$19.96	$24.72	+5.67%
Oct 2026	$21.12	$21.78	$26.36	+15.28%
Nov 2026	$19.08	$23.29	$26.08	+23.28%
Dec 2026	$22.13	$25.12	$27.53	+32.99%

Unlock Free Stock Price Forecast

In 2026, Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $16.49 and $29.04.

Velocity Financial Inc Stock Forecast 2026

Jan 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 10.76%

In Jan 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.78 and a high of $23.14.

Feb 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 34.79%

In Feb 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.46. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.78 and a high of $27.76.

Mar 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 0.75%

In Mar 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $19.03. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.49 and a high of $23.13.

Apr 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 34.17%

In Apr 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.34. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $23.47 and a high of $25.81.

May 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 20.87%

In May 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $22.83. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.67 and a high of $25.24.

Jun 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 19.87%

In Jun 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $22.64. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.83 and a high of $25.27.

Jul 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 34.79%

In Jul 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.46. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.80 and a high of $27.01.

Aug 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 28.51%

In Aug 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $24.28. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $23.39 and a high of $29.04.

Sep 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 5.67%

In Sep 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $19.96. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.27 and a high of $24.72.

Oct 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 15.28%

In Oct 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $21.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.12 and a high of $26.36.

Nov 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 23.28%

In Nov 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $23.29. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $19.08 and a high of $26.08.

Dec 2026: VEL Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 32.99%

In Dec 2026, Velocity Financial Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.13 and a high of $27.53.

VEL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Velocity Financial Inc(VEL), our algorithm predicts VEL's 1-month price at $20.48, with an 10%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.61%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock, as of Sunday, November 2, 2025 , forecasts a 10% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with INLX.A stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.61%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

VEL

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INLX

Up: 10%Similarity: 92.61%

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Up/Down

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KMPR.N

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VEL Seasonality Analysis

Based on VEL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in November is83.33%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in VEL. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Velocity Financial Inc (VEL.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (33.33%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Velocity Financial Inc. (VEL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.