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VEL Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Velocity Financial Inc(VEL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Velocity Financial Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-06After Hours0.600.69+15.0048.89M85.77M+75.45+0.91-1.92
FY2025Q22025-08-07After Hours0.530.73+36.9639.87M47.59M+19.36+7.65+16.04
FY2025Q12025-05-01After Hours0.570.55-3.5140.37M37.51M-7.08-4.09-6.33
FY2024Q42025-03-06After Hours0.470.60+27.6642.70M71.16M+66.64+8.47+3.28
FY2024Q22024-08-01-0.430.45+4.6540.79M54.76M+34.25-1.48-3.43
FY2024Q12024-05-02-0.400.51+27.5038.56M29.47M-23.56+1.11+4.49
FY2023Q42024-03-07-0.360.46+27.7834.05M51.57M+51.44+0.12+4.79
FY2023Q32023-11-02-0.350.37+5.7131.35M44.57M+42.20+0.26+15.24
FY2023Q22023-08-03-0.340.38+11.7630.27M39.05M+28.99-3.37+10.98
-2023-05-04-0.270.33+22.22----1.16+3.12
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VEL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Velocity Financial Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of 0.69, compared to analyst estimates of 0.60 by 15.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 85.77M compared to expectations of 48.89M by 75.45% .
The stock price reacted with a 0.91% one-day change and a -1.92% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Velocity Financial Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

VEL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Velocity Financial Inc(VEL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 52.54M and an EPS of 0.67.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.83%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 8.13%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.43% . These revisions correlate with a -0.89% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Velocity Financial Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between VEL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.83%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+8.13%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+1.43%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-0.89%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:187.33M
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.70
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Stock Price18.97
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VEL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Velocity Financial Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.69 (Actual) vs.0.60 (Estimate) (15.00%)
Revenue: 85.77M (Actual) vs. 48.89M (Estimate) (75.45%)
Price Reaction: 0.91%(1-Day), -1.92%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.73 (Actual) vs.0.53 (Estimate) (36.96%)
Revenue: 47.59M (Actual) vs. 39.87M (Estimate) (19.36%)
Price Reaction: 7.65%(1-Day), 16.04%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,After Hours):
EPS: 0.55 (Actual) vs.0.57 (Estimate) (-3.51%)
Revenue: 37.51M (Actual) vs. 40.37M (Estimate) (-7.08%)
Price Reaction: -4.09%(1-Day), -6.33%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how VEL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VEL sees a -0.71% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.84% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.52%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.91% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.65% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance with record loan production and significant growth in earnings and net income. The company has a strong market position with robust credit performance and diversified funding sources. Despite some risks related to nonperforming loans and REO valuations, management addressed these concerns effectively in the Q&A. The overall sentiment is positive, with expectations for continued growth in earnings and book value.
Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-09
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, including a 76% increase in net income and a record high in loan production. Despite a high nonperforming loan rate, efforts to resolve delinquent loans have been successful. The company is optimistic about market conditions and has a strong liquidity position. The Q&A section reveals plans for technological improvements and potential private credit financing, which could further boost growth. Overall, the positive financial results and future outlook suggest a positive stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-02
The earnings call presents a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance, including a 69% increase in new loan originations and a 27% increase in net revenue. The company maintains stable asset quality and liquidity despite competitive pressures and macroeconomic risks. The Q&A reveals no major negative sentiment from analysts, though some concerns about future origination volumes and capital plans remain. Overall, the positive growth and stable financial metrics suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-08
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance with increased EPS, core earnings, and loan production. Positive guidance on future earnings and a healthy market outlook are complemented by effective NPL management and securitization success. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in handling market volatility and capital needs. Despite some regulatory and economic risks, the company's stable niche market position and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock reaction, likely in the 2% to 8% range.
Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-06
The earnings call presents mixed signals: solid financial performance with increased earnings and loan production, but competitive pressures and regulatory risks loom. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism but lacks concrete guidance, with management's unclear responses on production expectations and capital needs. Positive elements like securitization and loan resolution gains are offset by concerns over non-performing loans and potential economic impacts. Without market cap data, the overall sentiment is neutral, given the balance of positive financial metrics and underlying risks.
Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-10
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 15% revenue increase and 20% EPS growth. The company has stable margins and plans for a share repurchase, which typically boosts stock prices. Despite acknowledging risks, the management's optimistic outlook, new product launches, and growth strategy indicate positive sentiment. The lack of specific revenue targets for next year is a minor concern but not enough to overshadow the overall positive indicators.
Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-03
The earnings call summary reveals strong financial performance with a 41% revenue increase, a 20% rise in loan portfolio, and improved NIM. Despite competitive pressures and regulatory risks, the company maintains a positive market outlook and NPL resolutions. Securitization costs slightly impacted earnings, but the shareholder return plan and 5x25 growth strategy are promising. The Q&A section indicates confidence in production levels and ROE, with analysts generally positive. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to experience a positive movement of 2% to 8%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of VEL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

VEL reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 85.77M against an estimate of 48.89M, resulting in a 75.45% surprise. The EPS was 0.69, surpassing the expected 0.6 by 15% . The stock experienced a 0.91% price change on the earnings day and a -1.92% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did VEL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following VEL’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by 0.91% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.92% change. Historically, VEL’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.71% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +5.84% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for VEL for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate VEL’s annual revenue to reach 52.54M, while the EPS is projected at 0.67. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.83% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.43% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does VEL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between VEL’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.83%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.43% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from VEL’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, VEL’s stock price typically moves by -0.71% in the 10 days before its earnings and +5.84% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.67 and revenue of 52.54M.
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What is the sentiment in Velocity Financial Inc (VEL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance with record loan production and significant growth in earnings and net income. The company has a strong market position with robust credit performance and diversified funding sources. Despite some risks related to nonperforming loans and REO valuations, management addressed these concerns effectively in the Q&A. The overall sentiment is positive, with expectations for continued growth in earnings and book value.
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