Should I Buy UMB Financial Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UMBF has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
UMBF stock price ended at $103.11 on Thursday, after losing -1.66%
The UMB Financial Corp stock price decreased by -1.66% on the last trading day (12 Jun 2025), dropping from 104.15 to 103.11. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.50% , ranging from a day low of $102.61 to a day high of 104.15. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.66% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -269.34K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 415.48K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 42.82M.
UMBF Technical Signals
UMBF(UMB Financial Corp Corp) has 2 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-28. The total price change during this trend is -0.44%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UMBF over the last 5 trading days is 53.63M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
UMBF Moving Average Analysis
UMB Financial Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, June 13, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $108.05508, and $110.75200000000001. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $99.32892000000001, and $96.632. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UMBF Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of UMB Financial Corp(UMBF) as of 09 Jun 2025 is 20.69%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 104.79 to 105.89. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
2.446
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.886
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.68
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 5-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 250-day SMA
--
Bearish
UMBF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to UMB Financial Corp(UMBF), our algorithm predicts UMBF's 1-month price at $102.34, with an -2.34%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.11%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for UMB Financial Corp (UMBF.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 8, 2025 , forecasts a -2.34% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PNFP.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.11%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
UMBF
No Data
PNFP
Down: -2.34%Similarity: 98.11%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PNFP.O
98.11%
-2.34%
JHG.N
97.79%
+0.68%
OSBC.O
97.39%
+1.91%
PFBC.O
97.36%
+0.14%
AX.N
97.15%
+1.41%
MAR.O
97.09%
-0.90%
CTBI.O
96.98%
+0.60%
AMAL.O
96.87%
+1.31%
TNL.N
96.85%
+0.64%
UBSI.O
96.64%
-0.08%
UMBF Seasonality Analysis
Based on UMBF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is60.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UMBF. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at91.67%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying UMB Financial Corp (UMBF.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (91.67%), while March has the lowest probability (30.77%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows UMB Financial Corp. (UMBF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy UMB Financial Corp (UMBF.O) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying UMB Financial Corp (UMBF.O) stock in a year?
How has UMB Financial Corp. (UMBF)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does UMBF have?
Which bearish technical signals does UMBF have?
Is UMBF a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of UMB Financial Corp (UMBF)'s moving average?
What is price prediction for UMBF stock next month?
What is price prediction 2025 for UMBF Stock?