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UMBF Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of UMB Financial Corp(UMBF) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of UMB Financial Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-28After Hours2.482.70+8.87661.09M686.65M+3.87-3.21-4.43
FY2025Q22025-07-29After Hours2.352.96+25.96635.86M697.50M+9.69+1.47+1.24
FY2025Q12025-04-29After Hours2.212.58+16.74559.01M571.34M+2.21-3.32+3.25
FY2024Q42025-01-28After Hours2.302.49+8.26412.27M440.55M+6.86+0.77-5.78
FY2024Q32024-10-29After Hours2.162.25+4.17398.94M410.10M+2.80+4.20+4.11
FY2024Q22024-07-30-1.962.16+10.20386.15M396.43M+2.66+1.04-7.62
FY2024Q12024-04-29-1.852.47+33.51368.03M405.19M+10.10-6.52-0.73
FY2023Q42024-01-30-1.762.29+30.11360.69M377.45M+4.65+0.07-3.74
FY2023Q32023-10-24-1.762.02+14.77365.29M355.45M-2.69+0.48+2.92
FY2023Q22023-07-25-1.991.93-3.02374.48M363.69M-2.88-0.72+2.36
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UMBF Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, UMB Financial Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-28. The company achieved an EPS of 2.70, compared to analyst estimates of 2.48 by 8.87% . Revenue for the quarter reached 686.65M compared to expectations of 661.09M by 3.87% .
The stock price reacted with a -3.21% one-day change and a -4.43% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in UMB Financial Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

UMBF Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, UMB Financial Corp(UMBF) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 677.30M and an EPS of 2.69.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.07%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 2.71%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.28% . These revisions correlate with a -6.90% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in UMB Financial Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between UMBF's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.07%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.71%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+1.28%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-6.90%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.61B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:10.69
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Stock Price115.88
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UMBF Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

UMB Financial Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-28,After Hours):
EPS: 2.70 (Actual) vs.2.48 (Estimate) (8.87%)
Revenue: 686.65M (Actual) vs. 661.09M (Estimate) (3.87%)
Price Reaction: -3.21%(1-Day), -4.43%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-29,After Hours):
EPS: 2.96 (Actual) vs.2.35 (Estimate) (25.96%)
Revenue: 697.50M (Actual) vs. 635.86M (Estimate) (9.69%)
Price Reaction: 1.47%(1-Day), 1.24%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-29,After Hours):
EPS: 2.58 (Actual) vs.2.21 (Estimate) (16.74%)
Revenue: 571.34M (Actual) vs. 559.01M (Estimate) (2.21%)
Price Reaction: -3.32%(1-Day), 3.25%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how UMBF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, UMBF sees a -2.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.55% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.35%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -3.21% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.22% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

UMB Financial Corp (UMBF) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-29
The earnings call highlights strong loan production, stable credit trends, and successful integration of HTLF lenders. The company sees significant growth opportunities, particularly in Heartland regions, and maintains a solid capital position. Despite a slight decline in core margin, the overall financial health is stable. The Q&A indicates positive sentiment from analysts, with no major concerns raised. Considering the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive reaction, with a predicted movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
UMB Financial Corp (UMBF) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-30
The earnings call highlighted strong financial metrics, including record high AUA and credit card volumes. The Q&A revealed ongoing synergies from the Heartland acquisition, stable deposit costs, and positive credit quality trends. While management avoided specific guidance on some metrics, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong growth prospects and effective integration strategies. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive prediction.
UMB Financial Corp (UMBF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows growth in net operating income and deposits, but there's no specific guidance on NII. The acquisition of Heartland presents potential synergies but also integration risks. The lack of a share repurchase plan and vague management responses add uncertainty. Despite positive revenue expectations and loan growth, the market cap of $4 billion suggests a moderate reaction. The combination of positive and negative factors, alongside unclear guidance and integration risks, leads to a neutral stock price prediction.
UMB Financial Corp (UMBF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positives such as strong loan and deposit growth, improved efficiency, and proactive risk management, the lack of specific guidance on NII and the vague responses to certain Q&A questions create uncertainty. The acquisition of Heartland and subsequent integration efforts are promising, but competitive pressures and interest rate sensitivity pose risks. The $1 million buyback authorization is neutral due to no immediate plans for engagement. Considering the company's market cap, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement in the near term.
UMB Financial Corp (UMBF) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-01
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant increases in net interest income, loan balances, and deposits. The acquisition of Heartland Financial is progressing well, with positive expectations for integration and cost savings. Despite some vague responses in the Q&A, the overall sentiment is optimistic, supported by strong credit quality and a favorable net interest margin outlook. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to news, leading to an expected stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-30
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, with increased earnings, loan balances, and deposits. The dividend hike is a positive signal for shareholders. Despite some risks like acquisition integration and credit quality, management's optimistic guidance on fee income and deposit pricing stability is reassuring. The market cap suggests moderate reactions, and the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, predicting a 2-8% stock price increase.
UMB Financial Corporation (UMBF) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-31
The earnings call summary reflects a positive outlook with strong financial performance, including increased net interest margin, loan balances, and deposits. The acquisition of Heartland Financial is expected to drive growth and synergies. Despite some unclear responses in the Q&A, overall sentiment remains positive with optimistic guidance on loan growth and institutional fee income. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a predicted stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of UMBF’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

UMBF reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-28, showcasing a revenue of 686.65M against an estimate of 661.09M, resulting in a 3.87% surprise. The EPS was 2.7, surpassing the expected 2.48 by 8.87% . The stock experienced a -3.21% price change on the earnings day and a -4.43% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did UMBF’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following UMBF’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-28, the stock price moved by -3.21% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -4.43% change. Historically, UMBF’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.38% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.55% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for UMBF for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate UMBF’s annual revenue to reach 677.30M, while the EPS is projected at 2.69. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.07% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.28% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does UMBF’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between UMBF’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.07%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.28% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from UMBF’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, UMBF’s stock price typically moves by -2.38% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.55% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.69 and revenue of 677.30M.
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What is the sentiment in UMB Financial Corp (UMBF) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong loan production, stable credit trends, and successful integration of HTLF lenders. The company sees significant growth opportunities, particularly in Heartland regions, and maintains a solid capital position. Despite a slight decline in core margin, the overall financial health is stable. The Q&A indicates positive sentiment from analysts, with no major concerns raised. Considering the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a positive reaction, with a predicted movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
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