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ULTA Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
652.640
1 Day change
0.84%
52 Week Range
714.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has strong analyst support and a history of growth, the current technical indicators, recent congress trading activity, and mixed financial performance suggest caution. Holding the stock or waiting for a clearer entry point is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding at -6.122, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 24.88, in the neutral zone but leaning towards oversold territory. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 646.077, with resistance at 670.949. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish or neutral trend.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high implied volatility (49.17%) and IV percentile (95.22%) indicate significant market uncertainty. The put-call ratios suggest a slightly bearish sentiment in the options market.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with most maintaining Buy or Overweight ratings.

  • The company is expected to benefit from strong beauty trends and new product launches, such as Rare Beauty.

  • Revenue growth of 12.95% YoY in Q3 2026 indicates strong top-line performance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Congress members have sold ULTA stock in the last 90 days, indicating caution.

  • Net income dropped by 4.67% YoY in Q3 2026, showing pressure on profitability.

  • The MACD and RSI indicate bearish momentum, and the stock is trading near support levels.

  • The upcoming earnings report on March 12, 2026, adds uncertainty.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue increased by 12.95% YoY to $2.86 billion, showing strong growth. However, net income dropped by 4.67% YoY to $230.88 million, indicating margin pressures. EPS remained flat at 5.14, while gross margin improved slightly to 40.44%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are bullish on ULTA, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. The average price target is around $750-$800, reflecting strong confidence in the company's growth potential. However, JPMorgan removed ULTA from its Analyst Focus List due to conservative guidance for 2026.

Wall Street analysts forecast ULTA stock price to rise
22 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ULTA stock price to rise
15 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 647.230
sliders
Low
450
Averages
647.83
High
780
Current: 647.230
sliders
Low
450
Averages
647.83
High
780
Evercore ISI
Outperform
maintain
$660 -> $725
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
New
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$660 -> $725
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI raised the firm's price target on Ulta Beauty to $725 from $660 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The outlook for Q4 and Q1 is "promising," driven by positive beauty category dynamics and successful product innovations, the analyst tells investors in a preview. Margins are improving and EPS estimates for Q4 have been raised to $8.27, above Street expectations, adds the analyst, who sees the company leveraging investments positively in 2026.
Canaccord
Buy
maintain
$674 -> $799
2026-03-10
New
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$674 -> $799
2026-03-10
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Ulta Beauty to $799 from $674 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its model ahead of earnings as they believe Ulta can continue to see sales growth, margin expansion, and EPS growth as they win back share and start to expand internationally. They will be listening for how the holiday season performed, market share performance across mass and prestige beauty, the promotional environment, updates on growth initiatives, and initial FY26 expectations.
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