Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that ULTA stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $529, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $525.11. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $534.29. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $460.19, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $522.30. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ULTA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
ULTA stock price ended at $533.95 on Thursday, after losing-1.94%
The Ulta Beauty Inc stock price decreased by -1.94% on the last trading day (04 Dec 2025), dropping from 547.07 to 533.95. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.70% , ranging from a day low of $530.09 to a day high of 554.9999. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 7.35% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.42M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.06M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.11B.
ULTA Technical Signals
ULTA(Ulta Beauty Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-12-01. The total price change during this trend is -2.50%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume increased, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of ULTA over the last 5 trading days is 461.75M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
ULTA Moving Average Analysis
Ulta Beauty Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, December 5, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $566.73, and $590.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $489.45, and $465.56. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ULTA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Ulta Beauty Inc(ULTA) as of 02 Dec 2025 is 24.36%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 547.64 to 548.05. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
21.02
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
36.54
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
4.29
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $364.22 and $556.82.
Ulta Beauty Inc Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -7.26%
In Jan 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $425.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $412.78 and a high of $430.66.
Feb 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -19.63%
In Feb 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $368.95. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $364.22 and a high of $443.49.
Mar 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -7.24%
In Mar 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $425.85. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $419.82 and a high of $445.59.
Apr 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 1.52%
In Apr 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $466.05. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $443.00 and a high of $508.09.
May 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -12.71%
In May 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $400.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $368.56 and a high of $456.31.
Jun 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.00%
In Jun 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $417.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $391.46 and a high of $418.53.
Jul 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -0.63%
In Jul 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $456.20. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $381.80 and a high of $496.40.
Aug 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.02%
In Aug 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $486.73. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $461.14 and a high of $542.89.
Sep 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.02%
In Sep 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $486.73. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $461.12 and a high of $556.82.
Oct 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.02%
In Oct 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $486.73. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $418.94 and a high of $513.11.
Nov 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 3.80%
In Nov 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $476.55. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $445.15 and a high of $479.30.
Dec 2026: ULTA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 0.24%
In Dec 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $460.19. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $437.05 and a high of $480.88.
ULTA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ulta Beauty Inc(ULTA), our algorithm predicts ULTA's 1-month price at $406.74, with an -21.11%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.42%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) stock, as of Sunday, November 23, 2025 , forecasts a -21.11% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CXDO.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.42%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ULTA
No Data
CXDO
Down: -21.11%Similarity: 91.42%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CXDO.O
91.42%
-21.11%
CMPR.O
91.36%
-3.20%
DELL.N
91.25%
+3.88%
TAK.N
90.96%
-1.05%
QGEN.N
90.94%
-5.77%
USB.N
90.81%
+17.09%
SSTK.N
90.64%
+31.22%
KEY.N
90.51%
+18.39%
BHB.A
90.44%
+13.16%
SKT.N
90.37%
-5.54%
ULTA Seasonality Analysis
Based on ULTA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ULTA. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.91%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.91%), while August has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ULTA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.91%), while August has the lowest probability (36.36%).
How has Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
ULTA's stock price rose by 3.89% in 2023,decreased by -10.62% in 2024, and went up by 24.42%in 2025.
Is ULTA a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
ULTA has 3 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for ULTA is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of ULTA.
What is the trend of Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA)'s moving average?
Ulta Beauty Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of December 05 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for ULTA stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) stock, as of November 23 2025, forecasts a -21.11% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CXDO stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.42%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $460.19. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $437.05 and a high of $480.88.
What is price prediction 2030 for Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Ulta Beauty Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $522.30. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $494.28 and a high of $562.64.