
UFCS Stock Price Prediction
United Fire Group Inc
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
Should I Buy United Fire Group Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UFCS has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
UFCS stock price ended at $28.62 on Friday, after rising 0.35%
The United Fire Group Inc stock price increased by 0.35% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 28.32 to 28.62. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.34% , ranging from a day low of $28.15 to a day high of 28.81. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.03% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 5.65K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 84.78K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.42M.
UFCS Technical Signals
UFCS(United Fire Group Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-05-07. The total price change during this trend is +4.87%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of UFCS over the last 5 trading days is 2.64M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
UFCS Moving Average Analysis
United Fire Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $29.33786, and $30.205. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $26.53214, and $25.665. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UFCS Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of United Fire Group Inc(UFCS) as of 12 May 2025 is 9.87%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 27.93 to 27.92. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary

Neutral
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing

Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term

SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term

SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term

SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.551
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.174
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
20-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
136.694
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.01
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-15.859
Bearish
UFCS Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to United Fire Group Inc(UFCS), our algorithm predicts UFCS's 1-month price at $29.70, with an 3.79%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.67%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 3.79% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with JBSS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.67%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

UFCS
Future prediction
Up: 3.79%

JBSS
Up: 3.79%Similarity: 94.67%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down

JBSS.O
94.67%
+3.79%

MFIC.O
94.23%
+3.79%

BURL.N
94.13%
-0.35%

PRK.A
93.88%
+9.13%

SFL.N
93.87%
+1.41%

BLRX.O
93.86%
+11.76%

FRD.A
93.84%
+5.45%

CDW.O
93.66%
-3.31%

EOG.N
93.55%
+2.63%
UFCS Seasonality Analysis
Based on UFCS's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UFCS. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while August has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ

Should I buy United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UFCS has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

Which months have the highest win rate for buying United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock in a year?

How has United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS)'s stock price performed over the past three years?

Which bull technical signals does UFCS have?

Which bearish technical signals does UFCS have?

Is UFCS a buy based on overall technical signals summary?

What is the trend of United Fire Group Inc (UFCS)'s moving average?

What is price prediction for UFCS stock next month?

What is price prediction 2025 for UFCS Stock?
