
UFCS Stock Price Prediction
United Fire Group Inc
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
Should I Buy United Fire Group Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UFCS has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
UFCS stock price ended at $27.73 on Thursday, after rising 0.22%
The United Fire Group Inc stock price increased by 0.22% on the last trading day (01 May 2025), rising from 27.46 to 27.73. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.68% , ranging from a day low of $27.2301 to a day high of 27.96. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.25% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 7.02K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 121.01K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.36M.
UFCS Technical Signals
UFCS(United Fire Group Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +0.95%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of UFCS over the last 5 trading days is 2.82M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
UFCS Moving Average Analysis
United Fire Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 2, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $28.879073066666667, and $29.75186666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $26.05506026666667, and $25.182266666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UFCS Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of United Fire Group Inc(UFCS) as of 30 Apr 2025 is 15.99%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 28.05 to 27.67. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary

Sell
Sell
3
Buy
1
Moving Average
Swing

Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term

SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term

SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term

SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
1 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.61
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.351
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.021
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
86.57
Bearish
UFCS Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to United Fire Group Inc(UFCS), our algorithm predicts UFCS's 1-month price at $28.13, with an 2.42%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.07%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 2.42% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with THG.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.07%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

UFCS
Future prediction
Up: 2.42%

THG
Up: 2.42%Similarity: 99.07%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down

THG.N
99.07%
+2.42%

CPT.N
98.40%
+0.73%

IRT.N
98.15%
-2.15%

UDR.N
97.95%
+3.15%

ESS.N
97.86%
+3.26%

TTE.N
97.41%
-3.64%

BBDC.N
97.37%
-2.82%

HLF.N
97.37%
+14.46%

GLAD.O
97.36%
-2.08%

PAGP.O
97.33%
-7.89%
UFCS Seasonality Analysis
Based on UFCS's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UFCS. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while August has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ

Should I buy United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UFCS has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

Which months have the highest win rate for buying United Fire Group Inc (UFCS.O) stock in a year?

How has United Fire Group Inc. (UFCS)'s stock price performed over the past three years?

Which bull technical signals does UFCS have?

Which bearish technical signals does UFCS have?

Is UFCS a buy based on overall technical signals summary?

What is the trend of United Fire Group Inc (UFCS)'s moving average?

What is price prediction for UFCS stock next month?

What is price prediction 2025 for UFCS Stock?
