TCOM Should I Buy
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Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. Despite strong financial performance in the latest quarter, the ongoing antitrust investigation, class action lawsuits, and overbought technical indicators suggest caution. The lack of Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals further reduces the urgency to invest immediately.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI is at 84.695, signaling an overbought condition. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 54.396, R2: 55.758), which could limit short-term upside potential.
Hedge funds are increasing their positions, with a 118.94% rise in buying activity over the last quarter. The company reported strong financial growth in Q4 2025, with revenue up 20.83% YoY and net income up 98.38% YoY.
Ongoing antitrust investigation and multiple class action lawsuits could negatively impact the company's market position and profitability. Insider trading trends are neutral, and there is no recent congress trading data. Analysts have lowered price targets, reflecting concerns over margins and regulatory risks.
In Q4 2025, the company achieved strong financial results: revenue increased by 20.83% YoY, net income rose by 98.38% YoY, and EPS grew by 100.33% YoY. However, gross margin slightly declined by 0.40% YoY.
Analysts have maintained positive ratings (Overweight/Buy), but all have lowered price targets recently, citing concerns over margin pressures, regulatory risks, and lower industry multiples. The new price targets range from $68 to $79, down from previous estimates.
