TCOM Stock Price Prediction

Trip.com Group Ltd

Add to Watchlist

Advanced Chart

61.220

+0.730(+1.210%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Trip.com Group Ltd Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TCOM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

TCOM stock price ended at $61.22 on Tuesday, after rising 1.21%

The Trip.com Group Ltd stock price increased by 1.21% on the last trading day (06 May 2025), rising from 60.99 to 61.22. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.56% , ranging from a day low of $60.83 to a day high of 62.39. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 7.65% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.73M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.92M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 241.92M.

TCOM Technical Signals

TCOM(Trip.com Group Ltd Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +5.16%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of TCOM over the last 5 trading days is 133.66M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

TCOM Moving Average Analysis

Trip.com Group Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 6, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $61.48394666666667, and $63.187666666666665. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $55.97138666666666, and $54.26766666666666. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

TCOM Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Trip.com Group Ltd(TCOM) as of 02 May 2025 is 20.12%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 59.38 to 60.17. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.0146

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

5.24

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

60.49

Bullish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

91.574

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

117.423

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.162

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-6.782

Bearish

TCOM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Trip.com Group Ltd(TCOM), our algorithm predicts TCOM's 1-month price at $63.85, with an 6.11%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.66%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a 6.11% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with DOC.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.66%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

TCOM

Future prediction

Up: 6.11%

DOC

Up: 6.11%Similarity: 97.66%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

DOC.N

97.66%

+6.11%

DAC.N

97.52%

-7.10%

TMCI.O

97.35%

-14.92%

RPT.N

97.31%

+3.04%

JNPR.N

97.30%

+3.28%

TCOM Seasonality Analysis

Based on TCOM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TCOM. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM.O) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Trip.com Group Ltd. (TCOM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.