Technical Analysis: TCOM's stock shows a bullish momentum after recent earnings report. The stock closed at $67.02 on Friday with strong volume of 6.2M shares. RSI-14 at 46.39 indicates neutral territory, while MACD shows slight bearish divergence (-0.42).
Price Levels:
News Impact:
Price Prediction for Next Week: Based on technical indicators and recent earnings:
Target Price: $71.00
Recommendation: BUY
Rationale:
The price of TCOM is predicted to go up 4.67%, based on the high correlation periods with AG. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 94.47%.
TCOM
AG
The number of Chinese passport holders is only about 10%-15% of the population, which should provide Trip.com with secular demand given the low saturation.
International and outbound business will eventually recover and drive margins upwards. Margin expansion will be dictated by its higher-margin businesses, including international air and hotels.
The industry will see less competition in the future than before due to current headwinds faced, and thus lesser disruptions to its long-term business plan.
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