Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SBUX has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
SBUX stock price ended at $86.905 on Tuesday, after rising1.44%
The Starbucks Corp stock price increased by 1.44% on the last trading day (13 May 2025), rising from 83.65 to 85.67. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.47% , ranging from a day low of $83.64 to a day high of 86.54. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.11% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 9.03M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 17.24M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.47B.
SBUX Technical Signals
SBUX(Starbucks Corp Corp) has 7 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is +1.56%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of SBUX over the last 5 trading days is 768.51M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
SBUX Moving Average Analysis
Starbucks Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, May 14, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $88.08760020333332, and $92.17500020333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $74.86240020333332, and $70.77500020333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
SBUX Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Starbucks Corp(SBUX) as of 09 May 2025 is 28.48%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 82.19 to 80.30. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
7
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
7 Bullish Signals
7 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
2.11
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
86.01
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
126.564
Bearish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-3.242
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-2.12
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-1.776
Bearish
SBUX Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Starbucks Corp(SBUX), our algorithm predicts SBUX's 1-month price at $50.19, with an -37.5%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.58%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -37.5% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with APCX.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.58%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
SBUX
No Data
APCX
Down: -37.5%Similarity: 96.58%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
APCX.O
96.58%
-37.50%
VCEL.O
95.48%
+14.64%
AYRO.O
95.43%
+67.27%
QTRX.O
95.31%
+12.13%
IPHA.O
95.25%
+4.93%
SBUX Seasonality Analysis
Based on SBUX's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in SBUX. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while December has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SBUX has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while December has the lowest probability (30.00%).
How has Starbucks Corp. (SBUX)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
SBUX's stock price fell by -2.78% in 2023,decreased by -0.04% in 2024, and went down by 5.2% in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does SBUX have?
Bullish technical signals of SBUX include: MOM_10 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1, Price crosses above 5-day SMA, Price crosses above 10-day SMA, Price crosses above 20-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA.
Is SBUX a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
SBUX has 7 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for SBUX is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of SBUX.
What is the trend of Starbucks Corp (SBUX)'s moving average?
Starbucks Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 14 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for SBUX stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) stock, as of May 11 2025, forecasts a -37.5% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with APCX stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.58%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for SBUX Stock?
### **Price Prediction for SBUX Stock in 2025**
Based on current trends and analyst expectations, Starbucks (SBUX) stock is predicted to reach **$92 per share** by the end of 2025.
**Reasons for the Prediction:**
1. **Analyst Consensus**: The average price target from analysts is $94.74, with a range of $79 to $115, reflecting ongoing turnaround efforts and challenges.
2. **Recent U.S.-China Trade Agreement**: The reduction in tariffs is expected to ease supply chain pressures and improve margins, benefiting Starbucks' operations in China.
3. **Turnaround Efforts**: CEO Brian Niccol's "Back to Starbucks" plan is showing early signs of progress, though same-store sales remain a concern.
What is price prediction 2030 for SBUX Stock?
### **Price Prediction for SBUX Stock by 2030**
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is expected to reach a stock price of **$125 by 2030**, driven by its strong brand presence and ongoing turnaround efforts under CEO Brian Niccol.
1. **Brand Resilience and Turnaround Potential**: Starbucks has a proven track record of recovery, with CEO Brian Niccol's "Back to Starbucks" plan focusing on improving customer service and operational efficiency. Recent initiatives, such as reduced wait times and menu adjustments, show early signs of progress.
2. **Valuation and Market Sentiment**: The stock currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 31.18, reflecting investor optimism despite near-term challenges. Analysts maintain a Moderate Buy consensus, with a $104 average price target, indicating confidence in its long-term recovery.
3. **Growth Opportunities**: Starbucks' expansion plans, including thousands of new locations and improved profit margins, position it for sustained growth. Its ability to adapt to consumer preferences, such as faster service and personalized experiences, will be key drivers.
However, risks such as rising labor costs and competition from rivals like Dutch Bros could impact growth.