SBUX Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how SBUX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SBUX sees a -2.98% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.62% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.12%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
SBUX Key Earning Data
SBUX Earnings Analysis
Positive
Revenue Increase Analysis: Total company revenue reached $8.8 billion, indicating a 3% increase in constant currency compared to the previous year.
Store Expansion Growth: Global net new store growth of 213 coffee houses, demonstrating ongoing expansion efforts.
Partner Engagement Improvement: Partner engagement has improved, with turnover dropping to under 50%, marking a new record low.
Customer Traffic Recovery: Transaction declines are slowing across every daypart, indicating a recovery in customer traffic.
Positive Sales Growth: The Canadian business has returned to positive comparable store sales with positive transaction growth, showcasing regional strength.
North America Recovery Strategy: The Back to Starbucks strategy is gaining traction, with early indicators of recovery in the North America business.
Customer-Driven Culture Investment: The company is focused on building a customer-driven culture and investing in the Green Apron service model, which enhances customer connection.
Shift Marketplace Expansion: The launch of a new shift marketplace has increased the pool of partners to fill last-minute shift changes by 10 times, resulting in record high shift completion.
Coffeehouse Design Evolution: The company is evolving coffeehouse design standards to create welcoming spaces for customers, enhancing the overall experience.
Enhanced Customer Engagement: Starbucks is reintroducing the Starbucks Experience through brand storytelling and product innovation, leading to increased customer engagement and satisfaction.
Product Lineup Rationalization: The company is rationalizing its product lineup to focus on coffee and craft, which has led to a significant increase in matcha sales after removing sugar.
Digital Menu Board Implementation: The rollout of digital menu boards is underway, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency.
Global Market Performance: In international markets, eight of the top ten markets returned to flat or positive comparable sales, indicating strong global performance.
Long-Term Growth in China: The company is committed to long-term growth in China, with positive transaction growth and expanding margins in the region.
Negative
Revenue and Sales Decline: Total company revenue was $8.8 billion, with a global comparable store sales decline of 1%.
Operating Margin Decline: Global operating margin was 8.2%, contracting 450 basis points from the prior year, primarily driven by labor costs.
EPS Decline Analysis: Earnings per share (EPS) was $0.41, down 38% from the prior year, reflecting expense deleverage and heightened store investments.
Store Sales Decline: The U.S. market experienced a 2% decline in comparable store sales, with transaction declines improving to negative 4%.
Disappointing Financial Results: Despite some positive indicators, the overall financial results were described as disappointing and far below the company's potential.
Store Portfolio Evaluation: The company is evaluating its store portfolio and new store pipeline, indicating potential slower growth in the near term as they reassess their strategy.
Coffee Price Impact: There are concerns about the impact of rising coffee prices and tariffs on the company's margins, although coffee costs are only 10-15% of total product costs.
SBUX FAQs
How does SBUX typically perform around its earnings report dates?
SBUX's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -2.98% change leading up to the report and a +2.62% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Starbucks Corp (SBUX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
SBUX Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Starbucks misses Q2 2025 EPS forecast, stock drops

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