Quarterly Results
SBUX Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, SBUX remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2027/Q1 project quarter revenue of 9.62B and an EPS of 0.59.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -1.76%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -10.32%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -2.25% . These revisions correlate with a 9.94% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in SBUX long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how SBUX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SBUX sees a -2.17% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.72% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.99%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.21% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 3.67% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of SBUX's latest earnings report for FY2026Q4?
SBUX reported its FY2026Q4 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 9.57B against an estimate of 9.35B, resulting in a 2.32% surprise. The EPS was 0.52, surpassing the expected 0.55 by -5.45% . The stock experienced a -1.21% price change on the earnings day and a -5.43% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did SBUX's stock price react after the FY2026Q4 earnings release?
Following SBUX's FY2026Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -1.21% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -5.43% change. Historically, SBUX's stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.17% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.72% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for SBUX for 2027/Q1?
For 2027/Q1, analysts estimate SBUX’s annual revenue to reach 9.62B, while the EPS is projected at 0.59. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.76% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -2.25% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does SBUX's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between SBUX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Downward by -1.76%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -2.25% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from SBUX's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, SBUX's stock price typically moves by -2.17% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.72% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2027/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.59 and revenue of 9.62B.
What is the sentiment in Starbucks Corp (SBUX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call reveals strong performance in key areas like the Global Coffee Alliance and at-home coffee categories. The 'Back to Starbucks' strategy is positively impacting customer experience, despite some store closures. The Q&A section highlights optimism in new service models and market expansion. While management avoided specific guidance, the focus on strategic growth, improved customer perception, and transaction growth in younger demographics supports a positive outlook. The lack of detailed guidance is a concern, but overall sentiment leans positive due to operational improvements and strategic initiatives.

