The chart below shows how KLAC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, KLAC sees a -0.02% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.81% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.40%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Record Revenue Growth: 2024 revenue grew 12% to a record $10,850,000,000, with process control revenue also increasing by over 12%, indicating market share growth.
Services Revenue Growth: Services business revenue grew 15% to $2,500,000,000 for the year, demonstrating strong demand and consistent performance.
Strong Profitability Margins: KLA maintained industry-leading gross and operating margins at 61% and 41% respectively, reflecting strong profitability.
Free Cash Flow Increase: Free cash flow increased to $3,400,000,000, with a quarterly free cash flow of $757,000,000, representing a 31% free cash flow margin.
Capital Return to Shareholders: Total capital return for the year was $2,900,000,000, including $650,000,000 in share repurchases and $227,000,000 in dividends, highlighting a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Negative
Revenue Impact from Export Controls: KLA Corporation expects a revenue impact of approximately $500 million from recent U.S. export controls, with about 70% of this impact affecting the systems business, indicating significant headwinds for future revenue growth.
China Revenue Decline: The company's revenue from China is projected to decline by around 20% year-over-year, dropping from 41% of total business to approximately 29%, reflecting a substantial reduction in market presence in a key region.
Rising Operating Expenses: Operating expenses for the March quarter are forecasted to be approximately $585 million, with expected sequential increases of about $15 million per quarter, indicating rising costs that could pressure margins.
Services Business Growth Outlook: The services business is anticipated to grow in the high single digits for calendar 2025, which is below the long-term growth model, suggesting a slowdown in this segment's performance.
Backlog Decline and Challenges: KLA's remaining backlog was down by about $900 million, primarily due to deep bookings affected by recent regulations, indicating potential challenges in future revenue recognition.
Earnings call transcript: KLA Corp Q4 2024 beats estimates, stock dips slightly
KLAC.O
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